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Model output · Signal date 2026-11-06

Penumbra Inc (PEN) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026

Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Unlock rating and forecasts
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage of 5150 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 24.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $12.66B large-cap · #12 of 60 peers
Summary

Penumbra Inc (PEN) stock forecast summary

Our AI scores Penumbra Inc every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

Penumbra Inc is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $12.66B. It ranks number 12 by market capitalization among the 60 Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For PEN, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 24.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 21.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, PEN included.

Price

PEN price chart and AI forecast

PEN
Cross-section · 2026-11-06

How PEN ranks among 5150 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-09-30

Penumbra Inc (PEN) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricPENIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $12.66B $1.24B 12/60
P/E Ratio 80.89x 31.01x 3/27
P/B Ratio 7.99x 4.84x 16/55
EPS $3.97 – –
Book Value/Share $40.18 – –
Revenue/Share $39.59 – –
FCF/Share $5.08 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricPENIndustry medianRank
ROE 9.9% -3.5% 14/40
ROA 7.8% -3.5% 12/43
ROIC 10.6% -1.7% 14/54
Gross Margin 68.0% 67.3% 27/54
Operating Margin 12.1% -0.6% 17/55
Net Margin 10.1% -2.0% 14/42
EBT Margin 13.3% 1.4% 15/55
Tax Rate 24.4% – –

Financial Health

MetricPENIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 5.89x 3.62x 15/59
Quick Ratio 3.92x 2.34x 16/55
D/E Ratio 0.28x 0.62x 44/56
Financial Leverage 1.28x 1.62x 43/54
Working Capital $1.14B $260M 11/59

Cash Flow

MetricPENIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $261M $40M 18/56
Free Cash Flow $200M $12M 15/50
Capital Spending -$61M -$23M 36/50
OCF Growth YoY 28.4% 3.1% 11/32
FCF Growth YoY 31.2% 3.4% 10/27
FCF/Sales 12.8% 3.2% 14/50
CapEx/Sales 3.9% 3.4% 20/50

Operational Efficiency

MetricPENIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.77x 0.74x 24/52
Receivables Turnover 8.0x 6.6x 9/52
Inventory Turnover 1.1x 2.0x 44/52
Fixed Assets Turnover 10.0x 6.4x 21/54
Days Sales Outstanding 46 days 56 days 44/52
Days Inventory 335 days 181 days 9/52
Payables Period 31 days 63 days 42/47
Cash Conversion Cycle 350 days 184 days 2/42

Income Statement

MetricPENIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $1.56B $670M 17/54
Operating Income $189M -$2M 16/56
Net Income $157M -$14M 12/43
R&D Expense $95M $62M 19/53
SG&A Expense $777M $323M 12/54
Cost of Goods Sold $500M $172M 18/54

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricPENIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 39M – –
Net Income Growth -4.3% 16.4% 15/18
EPS Growth -11.4% 13.6% 16/21

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$1.38B68.0% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$254M12.6% of assets
Accounts Receivable$195M9.6% of assets
Inventory$459M22.7% of assets
Total Liabilities$442M21.8% of assets
Short-term Debt$192M9.5% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

PEN quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus

Penumbra Inc (PEN) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Penumbra Inc (Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
PEN Penumbra Inc $12.66B 80.9x 8.0x
SYK Stryker Corp $127.56B 35.7x 5.4x
MMM 3m Co $95.67B 27.6x 23.2x
BSX Boston Scientific Corp $61.95B 17.5x 2.4x
BDX Becton Dickinson & Co $57.71B 68.8x 2.4x
MDLN Medline Inc. $52.27B 180.7x 4.4x
RMD Resmed Inc $33.10B 21.4x 5.6x
DXCM Dexcom Inc $29.62B 28.9x 11.7x
WST West Pharmaceutical Services Inc $27.85B 44.9x 9.4x
SOLV Solventum Corp $14.84B 80.7x 3.1x
BAX Baxter International Inc $13.34B – 2.1x
GKOS Glaukos Corp $13.28B – 18.5x
GMED Globus Medical Inc $10.93B 17.7x 5.5x
PODD Insulet Corp $10.16B 21.1x 6.4x
TFX Teleflex Inc $6.39B 17.3x 1.8x
HAE Haemonetics Corp $5.46B 53.5x 6.1x
MMSI Merit Medical Systems Inc $5.23B 35.2x 3.0x
MMED Minimed Group, Inc. $4.70B – 1.3x
HTFL Heartflow, Inc. $4.52B – 16.2x
ICUI Icu Medical Inc/De $4.30B 53.8x 2.0x
PLSE Pulse Biosciences, Inc. $3.80B – 20.7x
STVN Stevanato Group S.P.A. $3.71B 5.9x –
ATRC Atricure, Inc. $2.98B – 5.6x
IRTC Irhythm Holdings, Inc. $2.97B – 16.8x
UFPT Ufp Technologies Inc $2.35B 31.0x 4.8x
LMAT Lemaitre Vascular Inc $1.85B 31.6x 4.3x
INSP Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. $1.85B 17.3x 2.2x
KMTS Kestra Medical Technologies, Ltd. $1.72B – 7.7x
NVCR Novocure Ltd $1.55B – 4.4x
TNDM Tandem Diabetes Care Inc $1.25B – 9.3x
SGP Spyglass Pharma, Inc. $1.24B – 5.3x
PRCT Procept Biorobotics Corp $1.18B – 3.6x
DRTS Alpha Tau Medical Ltd. $1.17B – 15.2x
ATEC Alphatec Holdings, Inc. $1.15B – –
IRMD Iradimed Corp $1.10B 47.2x 10.4x
SIBN Si-Bone, Inc. $1.09B – 5.9x
IART Integra Lifesciences Holdings Corp $1.04B – 1.0x
AORT Artivion, Inc. $985M – 2.2x
BBNX Beta Bionics, Inc. $854M – 2.1x
KIDS Orthopediatrics Corp $829M – 2.4x
BVS Bioventus Inc. $727M 29.5x 3.0x
TCMD Tactile Systems Technology Inc $590M 33.8x 2.6x
SGHT Sight Sciences, Inc. $555M – 11.3x
DCTH Delcath Systems, Inc. $527M 213.3x 4.4x
ANGO Angiodynamics Inc $493M – 3.0x
RCEL Avita Medical, Inc. $485M – –
MDXG Mimedx Group, Inc. $478M 21.9x 2.3x
BWAY Brainsway Ltd. $437M – –
NPCE Neuropace Inc $436M – 36.7x
SSII Ss Innovations International, Inc. $429M – 8.0x
CERS Cerus Corp $407M – 5.4x
CARL Carlsmed, Inc. $396M – 4.7x
MOBI Mobia Medical, Inc. $373M – 2.4x
EMBC Embecta Corp. $351M 5.2x –
OBIO Orchestra Biomed Holdings, Inc. $341M – 17.7x
OFIX Orthofix Medical Inc. $321M – 0.8x
CLPT Clearpoint Neuro, Inc. $276M – 10.1x
PROF Profound Medical Corp. $263M 7.7x 6.2x
TMCI Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. $262M – 4.3x
OSUR Orasure Technologies Inc $232M – 0.7x

Where PEN sits on the market map

Industrial Applications and Services · Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus
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News

Penumbra Inc (PEN) stock news

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FAQ

Penumbra Inc (PEN) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Penumbra Inc (PEN) stock forecast?

Our AI scores Penumbra Inc every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

How accurate are Penumbra Inc stock predictions?

For PEN, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 24.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 21.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Penumbra Inc forecasts updated?

Penumbra Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.

Which companies are Penumbra Inc's industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, PEN included, share the SEC industry code Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus. The largest are: Stryker Corp (SYK), 3m Co (MMM), Boston Scientific Corp (BSX), Becton Dickinson & Co (BDX), Medline Inc. (MDLN), Resmed Inc (RMD).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.