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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Ecb Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ (ECBK) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 30.0% Spearman, 342 dates
Market Cap $172M small-cap · #15 of 31 peers
Summary

Ecb Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ (ECBK) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Ecb Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Ecb Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $172M. It ranks number 15 by market capitalization among the 31 Savings Institutions, Not Federally Chartered issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For ECBK, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 30.0%, measured on 342 forecast dates between 2022-11-11 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 25.0%, measured on 385 forecast dates between 2022-11-11 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, ECBK included.

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Price

ECBK price chart and AI forecast

ECBK
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How ECBK ranks among 5184 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Ecb Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ (ECBK) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Savings Institutions, Not Federally Chartered peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricECBKIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $172M $146M 15/31
P/E Ratio 16.94x 20.14x 15/27
P/B Ratio 0.95x 0.95x 16/31
EPS $1.16 – –
Book Value/Share $20.59 – –
Revenue/Share $4.37 – –
FCF/Share $2.56 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricECBKIndustry medianRank
ROE 6.3% 5.5% 12/27
ROA 0.7% 0.7% 14/25
Net Margin 29.9% 20.1% 7/27
EBT Margin 40.5% 23.9% 6/28
Tax Rate 26.2% – –

Financial Health

MetricECBKIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 8.29x 6.95x 13/33
Financial Leverage 9.29x 7.60x 11/31

Cash Flow

MetricECBKIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $23M $18M 13/28
Free Cash Flow $22M $22M 10/19
Capital Spending -$360K -$2M 3/18
OCF Growth YoY 244.6% 39.6% 5/22
FCF Growth YoY 242.6% 31.5% 3/14
FCF/Sales 58.7% 27.3% 1/19
CapEx/Sales 0.9% 2.8% 16/18

Operational Efficiency

MetricECBKIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.02x 0.03x 22/25
Fixed Assets Turnover 10.9x 3.9x 2/25

Income Statement

MetricECBKIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $38M $41M 16/27
Net Income $11M $4M 10/27

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricECBKIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 9M – –
Net Income Growth 114.8% 22.9% 3/20
EPS Growth 107.1% 29.6% 3/18

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$124M7.4% of assets
Total Liabilities$1.49B89.2% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

ECBK quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Savings Institutions, Not Federally Chartered

Ecb Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ (ECBK) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Ecb Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ (Savings Institutions, Not Federally Chartered): 33 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
ECBK Ecb Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ ▲ $172M 16.9x 1.0x
FLG Flagstar Bank, National Association ▶ $4.60B – 0.6x
BBT Beacon Financial Corp ▶ $2.30B 24.1x 1.9x
HFWA Heritage Financial Corp /Wa/ ▶ $1.13B 13.6x 1.0x
NBBK Nb Bancorp, Inc. ▼ $958M 14.8x 1.1x
SMBC Southern Missouri Bancorp, Inc. ▼ $773M 10.9x 2.3x
TCBX Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. ▶ $691M 10.6x 1.0x
GCBC Greene County Bancorp Inc ▼ $587M 14.3x 2.1x
HBCP Home Bancorp, Inc. ▶ $519M 11.0x 1.1x
AVBC Avidia Bancorp, Inc. ▶ $439M 104.6x 1.1x
PBFS Pioneer Bancorp, Inc./Md ▼ $437M 125.6x 1.3x
NECB Northeast Community Bancorp, Inc./Md/ ▶ $380M 8.8x 1.1x
TSBK Timberland Bancorp Inc ▶ $354M 9.4x 1.3x
FBLA Fb Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ ▼ $262M 821.9x 0.9x
RBKB Rhinebeck Bancorp, Inc. ▼ $201M 14.1x 1.4x
SRBK Sr Bancorp, Inc. ▲ $146M 34.8x 0.8x
HYNE Hoyne Bancorp, Inc. ▼ $136M 647.9x 0.9x
WSBK Winchester Bancorp, Inc./Md/ ▼ $120M 26.4x 1.0x
BSBK Bogota Financial Corp. ▼ $116M 43.4x 0.8x
CULL Cullman Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ ▼ $97M 34.5x 1.0x
FNWB First Northwest Bancorp ▶ $91M 59.5x 0.6x
FMFG Farmers & Merchants Bancshares, Inc. ▼ $61M 9.3x 0.9x
TCBS Texas Community Bancshares, Inc. ▼ $49M 15.2x 0.9x
MBBC Marathon Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ ▼ $44M 22.0x 0.9x
QNTO Quaint Oak Bancorp, Inc. ▼ $38M 72.5x 0.7x
PFSB Pfs Bancorp, Inc. ▶ $34M 20.1x 0.9x
URSB Ursb Bancorp, Inc. ▼ $30M – 0.8x
GOVB Gouverneur Bancorp, Inc./Md/ ▶ $22M 28.6x 0.7x
MSBB Mercer Bancorp, Inc. ▶ $21M 16.1x 0.9x
PNSB Psb Financial, Inc. ▼ $19M – 0.6x
CSBA Csb Financial Inc. ▼ $19M – 1.2x
FBSI First Bancshares Inc /Mo/ ▼ N/A – –
VWFB Vwf Bancorp, Inc. ▼ N/A – –

Where ECBK sits on the market map

Finance · Savings Institutions, Not Federally Chartered
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News

Ecb Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ (ECBK) stock news

FAQ

Ecb Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ (ECBK) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Ecb Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ (ECBK) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Ecb Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Ecb Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ stock predictions?

For ECBK, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 30.0%, measured on 342 forecast dates between 2022-11-11 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 25.0%, measured on 385 forecast dates between 2022-11-11 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Ecb Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ forecasts updated?

Ecb Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Ecb Bancorp, Inc. /Md/'s industry peers?

33 issuers in our coverage, ECBK included, share the SEC industry code Savings Institutions, Not Federally Chartered. The largest are: Flagstar Bank, National Association (FLG), Beacon Financial Corp (BBT), Heritage Financial Corp /Wa/ (HFWA), Nb Bancorp, Inc. (NBBK), Southern Missouri Bancorp, Inc. (SMBC), Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. (TCBX).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.