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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

First Northwest Bancorp (FNWB) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Neutral Total
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 10.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $91M small-cap · #21 of 31 peers
Summary

First Northwest Bancorp (FNWB) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 16, 2026, FNWB is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.

First Northwest Bancorp is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $91M. It ranks number 21 by market capitalization among the 31 Savings Institutions, Not Federally Chartered issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its D/E Ratio of 12.42x is the highest of the 33 peers that report one.

For FNWB, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 10.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -11.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

FNWB price chart and AI forecast

FNWB
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How FNWB ranks among 5184 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

First Northwest Bancorp (FNWB) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Savings Institutions, Not Federally Chartered peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricFNWBIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $91M $146M 21/31
P/E Ratio 59.51x 20.14x 6/27
P/B Ratio 0.57x 0.95x 30/31
Dividend Yield 2.89% 2.17% 5/14
EPS $0.16 – –
Book Value/Share $16.64 – –
Revenue/Share $8.20 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricFNWBIndustry medianRank
ROE 0.9% 5.5% 24/27
ROA 0.1% 0.7% 22/25
Net Margin 1.9% 20.1% 24/27
EBT Margin 1.0% 23.9% 26/28
Tax Rate -92.0% – –

The effective tax rate is outside the normal band, which points to a large non-recurring tax item in the trailing twelve months; headline net income, net margin and P/E are affected by it.

Financial Health

MetricFNWBIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 12.42x 6.95x 1/33
Financial Leverage 13.42x 7.60x 1/31

Cash Flow

MetricFNWBIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $17M $18M 15/28
OCF Growth YoY 338.0% 39.6% 4/22

Operational Efficiency

MetricFNWBIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.04x 0.03x 4/25
Fixed Assets Turnover 8.5x 3.9x 3/25

Income Statement

MetricFNWBIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $78M $41M 12/27
Net Income $1M $4M 21/27

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricFNWBIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $0.27 – –
Payout Ratio 168.8% 32.1% 2/13
Shares Outstanding 10M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$98M4.6% of assets
Total Liabilities$1.97B92.5% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

FNWB quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Savings Institutions, Not Federally Chartered

First Northwest Bancorp (FNWB) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as First Northwest Bancorp (Savings Institutions, Not Federally Chartered): 33 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
FNWB First Northwest Bancorp ▶ $91M 59.5x 0.6x
FLG Flagstar Bank, National Association ▶ $4.60B – 0.6x
BBT Beacon Financial Corp ▶ $2.30B 24.1x 1.9x
HFWA Heritage Financial Corp /Wa/ ▶ $1.13B 13.6x 1.0x
NBBK Nb Bancorp, Inc. ▼ $958M 14.8x 1.1x
SMBC Southern Missouri Bancorp, Inc. ▼ $773M 10.9x 2.3x
TCBX Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. ▶ $691M 10.6x 1.0x
GCBC Greene County Bancorp Inc ▼ $587M 14.3x 2.1x
HBCP Home Bancorp, Inc. ▶ $519M 11.0x 1.1x
AVBC Avidia Bancorp, Inc. ▶ $439M 104.6x 1.1x
PBFS Pioneer Bancorp, Inc./Md ▼ $437M 125.6x 1.3x
NECB Northeast Community Bancorp, Inc./Md/ ▶ $380M 8.8x 1.1x
TSBK Timberland Bancorp Inc ▶ $354M 9.4x 1.3x
FBLA Fb Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ ▼ $262M 821.9x 0.9x
RBKB Rhinebeck Bancorp, Inc. ▼ $201M 14.1x 1.4x
ECBK Ecb Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ ▲ $172M 16.9x 1.0x
SRBK Sr Bancorp, Inc. ▲ $146M 34.8x 0.8x
HYNE Hoyne Bancorp, Inc. ▼ $136M 647.9x 0.9x
WSBK Winchester Bancorp, Inc./Md/ ▼ $120M 26.4x 1.0x
BSBK Bogota Financial Corp. ▼ $116M 43.4x 0.8x
CULL Cullman Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ ▼ $97M 34.5x 1.0x
FMFG Farmers & Merchants Bancshares, Inc. ▼ $61M 9.3x 0.9x
TCBS Texas Community Bancshares, Inc. ▼ $49M 15.2x 0.9x
MBBC Marathon Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ ▼ $44M 22.0x 0.9x
QNTO Quaint Oak Bancorp, Inc. ▼ $38M 72.5x 0.7x
PFSB Pfs Bancorp, Inc. ▶ $34M 20.1x 0.9x
URSB Ursb Bancorp, Inc. ▼ $30M – 0.8x
GOVB Gouverneur Bancorp, Inc./Md/ ▶ $22M 28.6x 0.7x
MSBB Mercer Bancorp, Inc. ▶ $21M 16.1x 0.9x
PNSB Psb Financial, Inc. ▼ $19M – 0.6x
CSBA Csb Financial Inc. ▼ $19M – 1.2x
FBSI First Bancshares Inc /Mo/ ▼ N/A – –
VWFB Vwf Bancorp, Inc. ▼ N/A – –

Where FNWB sits on the market map

Finance · Savings Institutions, Not Federally Chartered
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FAQ

First Northwest Bancorp (FNWB) stock forecast FAQ

What is the First Northwest Bancorp (FNWB) stock forecast?

On Oct. 16, 2026, FNWB is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are First Northwest Bancorp stock predictions?

For FNWB, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 10.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -11.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are First Northwest Bancorp forecasts updated?

First Northwest Bancorp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are First Northwest Bancorp's industry peers?

33 issuers in our coverage, FNWB included, share the SEC industry code Savings Institutions, Not Federally Chartered. The largest are: Flagstar Bank, National Association (FLG), Beacon Financial Corp (BBT), Heritage Financial Corp /Wa/ (HFWA), Nb Bancorp, Inc. (NBBK), Southern Missouri Bancorp, Inc. (SMBC), Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. (TCBX).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.