Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Our AI scores El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $453M. It ranks number 23 by market capitalization among the 41 Retail-Eating Places issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For LOCO, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 4.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -2.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, LOCO included.
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Retail-Eating Places peers listed below that report each metric.
| Metric | LOCO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $453M | 23/41 |
| P/E Ratio | 16.91x | 20/27 |
| P/B Ratio | 1.40x | 25/29 |
| EPS | $0.88 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $10.61 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $16.61 | – |
| FCF/Share | $1.04 | – |
| Metric | LOCO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 10.7% | 12/22 |
| ROA | 5.6% | 12/26 |
| ROIC | 9.6% | 14/33 |
| Operating Margin | 10.2% | 13/37 |
| Net Margin | 6.8% | 11/29 |
| EBT Margin | 9.6% | 10/39 |
| Tax Rate | 29.0% | – |
| Metric | LOCO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.29x | 33/39 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.27x | 25/33 |
| D/E Ratio | 0.90x | 26/30 |
| Financial Leverage | 1.90x | 24/27 |
| Interest Coverage | 22.9x | 6/33 |
| Working Capital | -$55M | 23/39 |
| Metric | LOCO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $67M | 21/39 |
| Free Cash Flow | $32M | 16/33 |
| Capital Spending | -$35M | 10/33 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 67.1% | 4/34 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 47.1% | 7/20 |
| FCF/Sales | 6.2% | 10/33 |
| CapEx/Sales | 6.9% | 11/33 |
| Metric | LOCO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.82x | 22/31 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 4.9x | 11/33 |
| Metric | LOCO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $506M | 24/34 |
| Operating Income | $51M | 16/37 |
| Net Income | $34M | 14/29 |
| Metric | LOCO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 30M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 32.8% | 7/20 |
| EPS Growth | -2.2% | 12/22 |
| Total Current Assets | $22M | 3.6% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $3M | 0.6% of assets |
| Inventory | $2M | 0.3% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $290M | 47.3% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $65M | 10.5% of assets |
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. (Retail-Eating Places): 41 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| LOCO El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. | $453M | |
| MCD Mcdonalds Corp | $196.75B | |
| YUM Yum Brands Inc | $45.33B | |
| CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc | $43.55B | |
| QSR Restaurant Brands International Inc. | $27.08B | |
| DRI Darden Restaurants Inc | $25.61B | |
| YUMC Yum China Holdings, Inc. | $17.04B | |
| ARMK Aramark | $13.85B | |
| TXRH Texas Roadhouse, Inc. | $12.59B | |
| EAT Brinker International, Inc | $8.58B | |
| CAVA Cava Group, Inc. | $6.91B | |
| JMKE Jersey Mike's Subs Inc. | $6.04B | |
| CAKE Cheesecake Factory Inc | $5.31B | |
| WING Wingstop Inc. | $4.42B | |
| CBRL Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc | $1.45B | |
| SG Sweetgreen, Inc. | $1.43B | |
| BJRI Bjs Restaurants Inc | $1.18B | |
| BH Biglari Holdings Inc. | $1.02B | |
| BLMN Bloomin' Brands, Inc. | $835M | |
| FWRG First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. | $794M | |
| PZZA Papa Johns International Inc | $655M | |
| PTLO Portillo's Inc. | $480M | |
| DIN Dine Brands Global, Inc. | $454M | |
| KRUS Kura Sushi Usa, Inc. | $333M | |
| PLAY Dave & Buster's Entertainment, Inc. | $272M | |
| JACK Jack In The Box Inc | $270M | |
| RICK Rci Hospitality Holdings, Inc. | $221M | |
| RRGB Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc | $163M | |
| BDL Flanigans Enterprises Inc | $109M | |
| NDLS Noodles & Co | $84M | |
| GENK Gen Restaurant Group, Inc. | $43M | |
| STKS One Group Hospitality, Inc. | $36M | |
| LVO Liveone, Inc. | $32M | |
| ARKR Ark Restaurants Corp | $17M | |
| CCHH Cch Holdings Ltd | $16M | |
| NROM Noble Romans Inc | $14M | |
| GTIM Good Times Restaurants Inc. | $13M | |
| REBN Reborn Coffee, Inc. | $11M | |
| BTBD Bt Brands, Inc. | $10M | |
| BABB Bab, Inc. | $6M | |
| VSTD Vestand Inc. | $20K |
El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. Reports Earnings Results for the Third Quarter and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2026 CI Oct. 21 El Pollo Loco Holdings Insider Sold Shares Worth $421,674, According to ...
Fast food chain El Pollo Loco (NASDAQ:LOCO) in Q3 2026, with revenue up 3.9% year on year to $126.3 million. Its non-GAAP ...
COSTA MESA, Calif. (AP) — COSTA MESA, Calif. (AP) — El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc. (LOCO) on Thursday reported third-quarter net income of $6.9 million. On a per-share basis, the Costa Mesa, ...
Our AI scores El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
For LOCO, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 4.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -2.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.
41 issuers in our coverage, LOCO included, share the SEC industry code Retail-Eating Places. The largest are: Mcdonalds Corp (MCD), Yum Brands Inc (YUM), Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (CMG), Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR), Darden Restaurants Inc (DRI), Yum China Holdings, Inc. (YUMC).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
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