Yum! Brands earnings beat masks Taco Bell weakness, but CEO sees recovery taking hold
<?xml encoding="utf-8" ?> Yum! Brands Inc YUM stock is little changed on Tuesday after the restaurant operator reported mixed ...
Model output · Signal date 2026-11-06
Yum Brands Inc (YUM) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026
Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Rating · 90D
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90-day forecast
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Alpha
Rank in coverage
of 5150 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D
23.0%
Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap
$45.33B
large-cap · #2 of 41 peers
Summary
Yum Brands Inc (YUM) stock forecast summary
Our AI scores Yum Brands Inc every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
Yum Brands Inc is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $45.33B. It ranks number 2 by market capitalization among the 41 Retail-Eating Places issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For YUM, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 23.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 20.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, YUM included.
Price
YUM price chart and AI forecast
Cross-section · 2026-11-06
How YUM ranks among 5150 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Fundamentals · 2026-06-30
Yum Brands Inc (YUM) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Retail-Eating Places peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | YUM | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $45.33B | 2/41 |
| P/E Ratio | 18.77x | 17/27 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.78% | 9/14 |
| EPS | $8.85 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $31.96 | – |
| FCF/Share | $6.15 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | YUM | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROA | 25.5% | 1/26 |
| ROIC | 61.6% | 1/33 |
| Gross Margin | 68.1% | 9/17 |
| Operating Margin | 31.0% | 2/37 |
| Net Margin | 25.4% | 2/29 |
| EBT Margin | 25.2% | 3/39 |
| Tax Rate | -0.9% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | YUM | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.59x | 22/39 |
| Working Capital | -$1.75B | 38/39 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | YUM | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $2.08B | 3/39 |
| Free Cash Flow | $1.68B | 2/33 |
| Capital Spending | -$404M | 28/33 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 13.6% | 15/34 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 9.4% | 11/20 |
| FCF/Sales | 19.2% | 2/33 |
| CapEx/Sales | 4.6% | 20/33 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | YUM | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 1.00x | 17/31 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 5.4x | 9/33 |
| Payables Period | 156 days | 1/14 |
Income Statement
| Metric | YUM | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $8.72B | 7/34 |
| Operating Income | $2.70B | 2/37 |
| Net Income | $2.22B | 2/29 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $2.78B | 2/16 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | YUM | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $2.96 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 33.5% | 11/13 |
| Shares Outstanding | 273M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 54.8% | 4/20 |
| EPS Growth | 112.2% | 1/22 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $2.54B | 29.3% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $674M | 7.8% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $15.79B | |
| Short-term Debt | $3.10B | 35.7% of assets |
Quarterly Financial Reports
YUM quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · Retail-Eating Places
Yum Brands Inc (YUM) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Yum Brands Inc (Retail-Eating Places): 41 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| YUM Yum Brands Inc | $45.33B | |
| MCD Mcdonalds Corp | $196.75B | |
| CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc | $43.55B | |
| QSR Restaurant Brands International Inc. | $27.08B | |
| DRI Darden Restaurants Inc | $25.61B | |
| YUMC Yum China Holdings, Inc. | $17.04B | |
| ARMK Aramark | $13.85B | |
| TXRH Texas Roadhouse, Inc. | $12.59B | |
| EAT Brinker International, Inc | $8.58B | |
| CAVA Cava Group, Inc. | $6.91B | |
| JMKE Jersey Mike's Subs Inc. | $6.04B | |
| CAKE Cheesecake Factory Inc | $5.31B | |
| WING Wingstop Inc. | $4.42B | |
| CBRL Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc | $1.45B | |
| SG Sweetgreen, Inc. | $1.43B | |
| BJRI Bjs Restaurants Inc | $1.18B | |
| BH Biglari Holdings Inc. | $1.02B | |
| BLMN Bloomin' Brands, Inc. | $835M | |
| FWRG First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. | $794M | |
| PZZA Papa Johns International Inc | $655M | |
| PTLO Portillo's Inc. | $480M | |
| DIN Dine Brands Global, Inc. | $454M | |
| LOCO El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. | $453M | |
| KRUS Kura Sushi Usa, Inc. | $333M | |
| PLAY Dave & Buster's Entertainment, Inc. | $272M | |
| JACK Jack In The Box Inc | $270M | |
| RICK Rci Hospitality Holdings, Inc. | $221M | |
| RRGB Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc | $163M | |
| BDL Flanigans Enterprises Inc | $109M | |
| NDLS Noodles & Co | $84M | |
| GENK Gen Restaurant Group, Inc. | $43M | |
| STKS One Group Hospitality, Inc. | $36M | |
| LVO Liveone, Inc. | $32M | |
| ARKR Ark Restaurants Corp | $17M | |
| CCHH Cch Holdings Ltd | $16M | |
| NROM Noble Romans Inc | $14M | |
| GTIM Good Times Restaurants Inc. | $13M | |
| REBN Reborn Coffee, Inc. | $11M | |
| BTBD Bt Brands, Inc. | $10M | |
| BABB Bab, Inc. | $6M | |
| VSTD Vestand Inc. | $20K |
Where YUM sits on the market map
Trade & Services · Retail-Eating Places
News
Yum Brands Inc (YUM) stock news
This Yum! Brands analyst raises price target after Q3 results
Shares of Yum! Brands Inc YUM rallied in early trading on Wednesday, after the company reported its third-quarter results.
Yum! Brands Inc. stock underperforms Wednesday when compared to competitors despite daily gains
Yum! Brands Inc. closed 2.25% below its 52-week high of $170.14, which the company reached on July 7th.
FAQ
Yum Brands Inc (YUM) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Yum Brands Inc (YUM) stock forecast?
Our AI scores Yum Brands Inc every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
How accurate are Yum Brands Inc stock predictions?
For YUM, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 23.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 20.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Yum Brands Inc forecasts updated?
Yum Brands Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.
Which companies are Yum Brands Inc's industry peers?
41 issuers in our coverage, YUM included, share the SEC industry code Retail-Eating Places. The largest are: Mcdonalds Corp (MCD), Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (CMG), Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR), Darden Restaurants Inc (DRI), Yum China Holdings, Inc. (YUMC), Aramark (ARMK).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.