Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Our AI ranks Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $37.82B. It ranks number 3 by market capitalization among the 41 Retail-Eating Places issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For CMG, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 23.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 28.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, CMG included.
Follow CMG free90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Retail-Eating Places peers listed below that report each metric.
| Metric | CMG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $37.82B | 3/41 |
| P/E Ratio | 26.22x | 11/28 |
| P/B Ratio | 11.25x | 4/28 |
| EPS | $1.14 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $2.66 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $9.82 | – |
| FCF/Share | $1.24 | – |
| Metric | CMG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 42.8% | 3/20 |
| Operating Margin | 16.8% | 7/38 |
| Net Margin | 13.3% | 5/30 |
| EBT Margin | 17.3% | 6/40 |
| Tax Rate | 24.1% | – |
| Metric | CMG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.72x | 18/39 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.68x | 14/34 |
| D/E Ratio | 1.50x | 16/29 |
| Working Capital | -$374M | 35/39 |
| Metric | CMG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $2.33B | 2/40 |
| Free Cash Flow | $1.57B | 4/34 |
| Capital Spending | -$759M | 33/34 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 11.3% | 15/35 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 7.0% | 14/21 |
| FCF/Sales | 12.6% | 5/34 |
| CapEx/Sales | 6.1% | 13/34 |
| Metric | CMG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Receivables Turnover | 123.9x | 5/24 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 4.3x | 18/34 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 3 days | 20/24 |
| Metric | CMG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $12.42B | 5/35 |
| Operating Income | $1.82B | 4/38 |
| Net Income | $1.44B | 3/30 |
| Metric | CMG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 1265M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 0.0% | 14/21 |
| EPS Growth | 3.6% | 12/23 |
| Total Current Assets | $941M | 11.2% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $228M | 2.7% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $100M | 1.2% of assets |
| Inventory | $47M | 0.6% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $5.05B | 60.0% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $1.06B | 12.6% of assets |
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (Retail-Eating Places): 41 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc | ▲ | $37.82B |
| MCD Mcdonalds Corp | ▶ | $171.94B |
| YUM Yum Brands Inc | ▼ | $41.07B |
| QSR Restaurant Brands International Inc. | ▼ | $26.12B |
| DRI Darden Restaurants Inc | ▼ | $24.48B |
| YUMC Yum China Holdings, Inc. | ▼ | $15.45B |
| ARMK Aramark | ▼ | $14.57B |
| TXRH Texas Roadhouse, Inc. | ▶ | $11.05B |
| EAT Brinker International, Inc | ▶ | $8.53B |
| CAVA Cava Group, Inc. | ▶ | $6.69B |
| CAKE Cheesecake Factory Inc | ▲ | $5.72B |
| WING Wingstop Inc. | ▶ | $3.59B |
| CBRL Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc | ▲ | $1.54B |
| BH Biglari Holdings Inc. | ▲ | $1.37B |
| BJRI Bjs Restaurants Inc | ▶ | $1.26B |
| SG Sweetgreen, Inc. | ▲ | $1.19B |
| BLMN Bloomin' Brands, Inc. | ▲ | $852M |
| FWRG First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. | ▶ | $748M |
| PZZA Papa Johns International Inc | ▲ | $638M |
| LOCO El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. | ▼ | $497M |
| KRUS Kura Sushi Usa, Inc. | ▲ | $463M |
| NATH Nathans Famous, Inc. | ▼ | $418M |
| DIN Dine Brands Global, Inc. | ▶ | $405M |
| PTLO Portillo's Inc. | ▲ | $354M |
| PLAY Dave & Buster's Entertainment, Inc. | ▲ | $265M |
| JACK Jack In The Box Inc | ▲ | $234M |
| RICK Rci Hospitality Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $196M |
| RRGB Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc | ▲ | $167M |
| BDL Flanigans Enterprises Inc | ▶ | $89M |
| NDLS Noodles & Co | ▲ | $83M |
| GENK Gen Restaurant Group, Inc. | ▶ | $56M |
| STKS One Group Hospitality, Inc. | ▲ | $45M |
| LVO Liveone, Inc. | ▲ | $35M |
| CCHH Cch Holdings Ltd | ▶ | $19M |
| ARKR Ark Restaurants Corp | ▲ | $16M |
| GTIM Good Times Restaurants Inc. | ▲ | $15M |
| NROM Noble Romans Inc | ▲ | $14M |
| REBN Reborn Coffee, Inc. | ▼ | $12M |
| BTBD Bt Brands, Inc. | ▲ | $10M |
| BABB Bab, Inc. | ▶ | $6M |
| VSTD Vestand Inc. | ▼ | $20K |
Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) has been one of the most searched-for stocks on Zacks.com lately. So, you might want to look at some of the facts that could shape the stock's performance in the near term ...
Chipotle's European restaurants posted high-single-digit comparable-sales growth in Q2 2026, supporting plans to accelerate ...
Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) has been one of the most searched-for stocks on Zacks.com lately. So, you might want to look at some of the facts that could shape the stock's performance in the near term ...
Our AI ranks Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
For CMG, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 23.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 28.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
41 issuers in our coverage, CMG included, share the SEC industry code Retail-Eating Places. The largest are: Mcdonalds Corp (MCD), Yum Brands Inc (YUM), Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR), Darden Restaurants Inc (DRI), Yum China Holdings, Inc. (YUMC), Aramark (ARMK).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
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