Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Our AI scores Texas Roadhouse, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
Texas Roadhouse, Inc. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $12.59B. It ranks number 8 by market capitalization among the 41 Retail-Eating Places issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For TXRH, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 35.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 18.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, TXRH included.
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Retail-Eating Places peers listed below that report each metric.
| Metric | TXRH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $12.59B | 8/41 |
| P/E Ratio | 30.64x | 9/27 |
| P/B Ratio | 8.08x | 6/29 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.50% | 11/14 |
| EPS | $6.26 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $23.74 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $94.93 | – |
| FCF/Share | $6.19 | – |
| Metric | TXRH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 26.5% | 6/22 |
| ROA | 11.2% | 6/26 |
| ROIC | 16.8% | 8/33 |
| Operating Margin | 7.8% | 14/37 |
| Net Margin | 6.6% | 12/29 |
| EBT Margin | 7.8% | 12/39 |
| Tax Rate | 13.3% | – |
| Metric | TXRH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.46x | 27/39 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.39x | 21/33 |
| D/E Ratio | 1.34x | 19/30 |
| Financial Leverage | 2.36x | 18/27 |
| Interest Coverage | 545.0x | 2/33 |
| Working Capital | -$429M | 34/39 |
| Metric | TXRH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $803M | 9/39 |
| Free Cash Flow | $406M | 9/33 |
| Capital Spending | -$397M | 27/33 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 8.2% | 16/34 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 8.8% | 12/20 |
| FCF/Sales | 6.5% | 9/33 |
| CapEx/Sales | 6.4% | 13/33 |
| Metric | TXRH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 1.70x | 6/31 |
| Receivables Turnover | 84.0x | 13/23 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 3.3x | 23/33 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 4 days | 11/23 |
| Metric | TXRH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $6.23B | 8/34 |
| Operating Income | $483M | 9/37 |
| Net Income | $413M | 8/29 |
| Metric | TXRH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $2.87 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 45.9% | 8/13 |
| Shares Outstanding | 66M | – |
| Net Income Growth | -5.7% | 17/20 |
| EPS Growth | -4.4% | 13/22 |
| Total Current Assets | $362M | 9.9% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $202M | 5.5% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $74M | 2.0% of assets |
| Inventory | $50M | 1.4% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $2.09B | 57.0% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $612M | 16.7% of assets |
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Texas Roadhouse, Inc. (Retail-Eating Places): 41 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| TXRH Texas Roadhouse, Inc. | $12.59B | |
| MCD Mcdonalds Corp | $196.75B | |
| YUM Yum Brands Inc | $45.33B | |
| CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc | $43.55B | |
| QSR Restaurant Brands International Inc. | $27.08B | |
| DRI Darden Restaurants Inc | $25.61B | |
| YUMC Yum China Holdings, Inc. | $17.04B | |
| ARMK Aramark | $13.85B | |
| EAT Brinker International, Inc | $8.58B | |
| CAVA Cava Group, Inc. | $6.91B | |
| JMKE Jersey Mike's Subs Inc. | $6.04B | |
| CAKE Cheesecake Factory Inc | $5.31B | |
| WING Wingstop Inc. | $4.42B | |
| CBRL Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc | $1.45B | |
| SG Sweetgreen, Inc. | $1.43B | |
| BJRI Bjs Restaurants Inc | $1.18B | |
| BH Biglari Holdings Inc. | $1.02B | |
| BLMN Bloomin' Brands, Inc. | $835M | |
| FWRG First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. | $794M | |
| PZZA Papa Johns International Inc | $655M | |
| PTLO Portillo's Inc. | $480M | |
| DIN Dine Brands Global, Inc. | $454M | |
| LOCO El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. | $453M | |
| KRUS Kura Sushi Usa, Inc. | $333M | |
| JACK Jack In The Box Inc | $275M | |
| PLAY Dave & Buster's Entertainment, Inc. | $272M | |
| RICK Rci Hospitality Holdings, Inc. | $221M | |
| RRGB Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc | $163M | |
| BDL Flanigans Enterprises Inc | $109M | |
| NDLS Noodles & Co | $84M | |
| GENK Gen Restaurant Group, Inc. | $43M | |
| STKS One Group Hospitality, Inc. | $36M | |
| LVO Liveone, Inc. | $32M | |
| ARKR Ark Restaurants Corp | $17M | |
| CCHH Cch Holdings Ltd | $16M | |
| NROM Noble Romans Inc | $14M | |
| GTIM Good Times Restaurants Inc. | $13M | |
| REBN Reborn Coffee, Inc. | $11M | |
| BTBD Bt Brands, Inc. | $10M | |
| BABB Bab, Inc. | $6M | |
| VSTD Vestand Inc. | $20K |
Texas Roadhouse, Inc. (NasdaqGS: TXRH), today announced financial results for the 13 and 39 weeks ended September 29, 2026. Financial Results Financial results for the 13 and 39 weeks ended September 29,
Oct. 21 Deutsche Bank Adjusts Texas Roadhouse Price Target to $200 From $234, Maintains Buy Rating MT Oct. 16 BofA Adjusts Price Target on Texas Roadhouse to $225 From $276 MT Oct. 15 Morgan Stanley Adjusts Price Target on Texas Roadhouse to $221 From $212, Keeps Overweight Rating MT Oct. 14 Texas Roadhouse Shares Rise After Jefferies Upgrade MT Oct. 14 Jefferies Upgrades Texas Roadhouse to Buy From Hold, $190 Price Target MT Oct. 14 Analyst recommendations: Albemarle, Dell Technologies, Domino's Pizza, Broadcom… Oct. 07 McDonald's Franchisees Balk at Costly Bill to Upgrade Stores MT Oct. 05 RBC Cuts Price Target on Texas Roadhouse to $220 From $235, Keeps Outperform Rating MT Oct. 05 Evercore ISI Upgrades Texas Roadhouse to Outperform From In Line, Adjusts PT to $200 From $220 MT Oct. 05 Evercore ISI Upgrades Texas Roadhouse to Outperform From In Line, Adjusts PT to $200 From $220 MT
Results at company restaurants for the 13 weeks ended June 30, 2026, as compared to the prior year as applicable, included the following: Results at company restaurants for the 26 weeks ended June 30, 2026, as compared to the prior year as applicable ...
Our AI scores Texas Roadhouse, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
For TXRH, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 35.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 18.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Texas Roadhouse, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.
41 issuers in our coverage, TXRH included, share the SEC industry code Retail-Eating Places. The largest are: Mcdonalds Corp (MCD), Yum Brands Inc (YUM), Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (CMG), Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR), Darden Restaurants Inc (DRI), Yum China Holdings, Inc. (YUMC).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
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