Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
On Oct. 16, 2026, MDGL is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.
Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $10.39B. It ranks number 34 by market capitalization among the 60 Pharmaceutical Preparations issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For MDGL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -3.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 12.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, MDGL included.
Follow MDGL free90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Pharmaceutical Preparations peers listed below that report each metric.
| Metric | MDGL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $10.39B | 34/60 |
| P/B Ratio | 19.84x | 7/42 |
| EPS | $-12.87 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $22.67 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $61.51 | – |
| FCF/Share | $-8.93 | – |
| Metric | MDGL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | -62.1% | 30/38 |
| ROA | -26.1% | 35/43 |
| ROIC | -37.1% | 36/46 |
| Operating Margin | -22.7% | 27/39 |
| Net Margin | -22.9% | 25/35 |
| EBT Margin | -21.9% | 34/46 |
| Metric | MDGL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 3.20x | 28/59 |
| Quick Ratio | 2.94x | 13/43 |
| D/E Ratio | 1.38x | 19/48 |
| Financial Leverage | 2.38x | 17/48 |
| Interest Coverage | -24.1x | 30/36 |
| Working Capital | $825M | 34/59 |
| Metric | MDGL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | -$198M | 48/59 |
| Free Cash Flow | -$206M | 40/50 |
| Capital Spending | -$9M | 19/50 |
| FCF/Sales | -14.5% | 35/42 |
| CapEx/Sales | 0.6% | 33/42 |
| Metric | MDGL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 1.14x | 5/40 |
| Receivables Turnover | 7.4x | 9/37 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 122.6x | 9/41 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 49 days | 29/37 |
| Metric | MDGL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $1.42B | 27/46 |
| Operating Income | -$323M | 42/51 |
| Net Income | -$325M | 36/46 |
| R&D Expense | $490M | 31/58 |
| SG&A Expense | $1.01B | 23/40 |
| Metric | MDGL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 23M | – |
| Total Current Assets | $1.20B | 96.3% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $293M | 23.5% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $192M | 15.5% of assets |
| Inventory | $99M | 8.0% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $721M | 57.9% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $340M | 27.3% of assets |
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (Pharmaceutical Preparations): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| MDGL Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | ▶ | $10.39B |
| LLY Eli Lilly & Co | ▶ | $1.18T |
| JNJ Johnson & Johnson | ▼ | $615.87B |
| ABBV Abbvie Inc. | ▶ | $504.37B |
| MRK Merck & Co., Inc. | ▲ | $360.08B |
| NVS Novartis Ag | ▼ | $287.41B |
| AZN Astrazeneca Plc | ▼ | $256.39B |
| ABT Abbott Laboratories | ▼ | $182.39B |
| NVO Novo Nordisk A S | ▼ | $172.56B |
| PFE Pfizer Inc | ▶ | $168.60B |
| VRTX Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc / Ma | ▶ | $126.66B |
| BMY Bristol Myers Squibb Co | ▶ | $122.05B |
| GSK Gsk Plc | ▼ | $100.46B |
| SNY Sanofi | ▼ | $100.12B |
| REGN Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | ▶ | $81.76B |
| TAK Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd | ▼ | $61.45B |
| TEVA Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd | ▼ | $48.36B |
| ONC Beone Medicines Ltd. | ▲ | $41.96B |
| ZTS Zoetis Inc. | ▼ | $32.80B |
| ALNY Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | ▶ | $31.02B |
| RPRX Royalty Pharma Plc | ▶ | $26.88B |
| ROIV Roivant Sciences Ltd. | ▲ | $24.22B |
| GMAB Genmab A/S | ▲ | $23.80B |
| UTHR United Therapeutics Corp | ▶ | $22.87B |
| VTRS Viatris Inc | ▼ | $21.43B |
| INSM Insmed Inc | ▶ | $21.02B |
| ASND Ascendis Pharma A/S | ▲ | $14.85B |
| JAZZ Jazz Pharmaceuticals Plc | ▼ | $13.65B |
| BBIO Bridgebio Pharma, Inc. | ▶ | $12.98B |
| CORT Corcept Therapeutics Inc | ▲ | $11.91B |
| ELAN Elanco Animal Health Inc | ▼ | $11.77B |
| SMMT Summit Therapeutics Inc. | ▶ | $11.67B |
| RDY Dr Reddys Laboratories Ltd | ▼ | $10.91B |
| BMRN Biomarin Pharmaceutical Inc | ▶ | $10.58B |
| CYTK Cytokinetics Inc | ▲ | $8.61B |
| TGTX Tg Therapeutics, Inc. | ▲ | $8.56B |
| PTGX Protagonist Therapeutics, Inc | ▶ | $8.33B |
| AXSM Axsome Therapeutics, Inc. | ▲ | $8.23B |
| ARWR Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | ▲ | $7.90B |
| ABVX Abivax S.A. | ▼ | $7.74B |
| IONS Ionis Pharmaceuticals Inc | ▲ | $7.14B |
| SYRE Spyre Therapeutics, Inc. | ▲ | $7.05B |
| ALKS Alkermes Plc. | ▲ | $6.92B |
| PRAX Praxis Precision Medicines, Inc. | ▲ | $6.75B |
| KNSA Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals International, Plc | ▶ | $6.13B |
| AMRX Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | ▲ | $6.13B |
| RYTM Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | ▲ | $5.93B |
| LGND Ligand Pharmaceuticals Inc | ▶ | $5.89B |
| BLTE Belite Bio, Inc | ▲ | $5.62B |
| MIRM Mirum Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | ▲ | $5.20B |
| COGT Cogent Biosciences, Inc. | ▶ | $5.12B |
| PTCT Ptc Therapeutics, Inc. | ▲ | $4.94B |
| ORKA Oruka Therapeutics, Inc. | ▲ | $4.76B |
| ERAS Erasca, Inc. | ▲ | $4.68B |
| MANE Veradermics, Inc | ▲ | $4.55B |
| TVTX Travere Therapeutics, Inc. | ▲ | $4.44B |
| EWTX Edgewise Therapeutics, Inc. | ▲ | $4.04B |
| DNTH Dianthus Therapeutics, Inc. /De/ | ▲ | $4.03B |
| INDV Indivior Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | ▶ | $3.83B |
| TNGX Tango Therapeutics, Inc. | ▲ | $3.72B |
Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. announced the publication of a pre-specified secondary analysis from the Phase 3 MAESTRO-NASH trial in the Journal of Hepatology evaluating whether common genetic risk ...
Hi. Good afternoon, everyone. My name is Edward Nash, Senior Biotech Analyst here at Canaccord Genuity. It is my pleasure to have with us today the management team from Madrigal Pharmaceuticals.
Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is currently listed on NASDAQ under MDGL. One share of MDGL stock can currently be purchased for approximately $471.75. Is Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. listed on the ...
On Oct. 16, 2026, MDGL is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.
For MDGL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -3.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 12.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
60 issuers in our coverage, MDGL included, share the SEC industry code Pharmaceutical Preparations. The largest are: Eli Lilly & Co (LLY), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), Abbvie Inc. (ABBV), Merck & Co., Inc. (MRK), Novartis Ag (NVS), Astrazeneca Plc (AZN).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
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