Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd (TAK) stock forecast summary
Our AI scores Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $66.19B.
It ranks number 15 by market capitalization among the 60 Pharmaceutical Preparations issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For TAK, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -17.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -15.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does.
Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, TAK included.
Price
TAK price chart and AI forecast
TAK
Cross-section · 2026-11-06
How TAK ranks among 5150 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Pharmaceutical Preparations peers listed below that report each metric.
Statement values were filed in JPY and are shown converted to USD (flows at the trailing twelve-month average rate, balances at the balance-sheet date rate).
Valuation & Market
Metric
TAK
Industry median
Rank
Market Cap
$66.19B
$12.65B
15/60
P/E Ratio
6.38x
36.06x
28/32
EPS
$3.32
–
–
Revenue/Share
$34.55
–
–
FCF/Share
$6.79
–
–
Profitability & Margins
Metric
TAK
Industry median
Rank
Gross Margin
67.4%
82.1%
29/36
Operating Margin
9.2%
10.3%
20/38
Net Margin
4.9%
6.3%
19/35
EBT Margin
5.5%
9.9%
26/46
Tax Rate
11.7%
–
–
Cash Flow
Metric
TAK
Industry median
Rank
Operating Cash Flow
$25.43B
$199M
8/59
Free Cash Flow
$21.23B
$196M
5/50
Capital Spending
-$4.20B
-$52M
46/50
FCF Growth YoY
0.0%
0.0%
15/32
FCF/Sales
19.7%
16.9%
18/42
CapEx/Sales
3.9%
2.6%
17/42
Income Statement
Metric
TAK
Industry median
Rank
Total Revenue
$107.93B
$2.87B
4/46
Operating Income
$9.90B
$88M
7/50
Net Income
$5.25B
$81M
9/46
R&D Expense
$17.20B
$603M
7/58
Cost of Goods Sold
$35.17B
$1.87B
3/37
Dividend & Shareholder Information
Metric
TAK
Industry median
Rank
Shares Outstanding
3124M
–
–
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions, converted from JPY)
Total Liabilities
$48.76B
Quarterly Financial Reports
TAK quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · Pharmaceutical Preparations
Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd (TAK) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd (Pharmaceutical Preparations): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
This article first appeared on GuruFocus. Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd (TSE:4502) is set to release its Q2 2025 earnings on Oct 30, 2025. The consensus estimate for Q2 2025 revenue is $1.17 billion, ...
Takeda's pivot to rare diseases and plasma therapies tests if specialized drugs can drive steady growth amid patent cliffs. For investors in the United States and English-speaking markets worldwide, ...
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Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd (TAK) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd (TAK) stock forecast?
Our AI scores Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
How accurate are Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd stock predictions?
For TAK, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -17.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -15.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd forecasts updated?
Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.
Which companies are Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd's industry peers?
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
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