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Model output · Signal date 2026-11-06

Novartis Ag (NVS) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026

Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Unlock rating and forecasts
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage of 5150 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D -7.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $310.17B mega-cap · #5 of 60 peers
Summary

Novartis Ag (NVS) stock forecast summary

Our AI scores Novartis Ag every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

Novartis Ag is a mega-cap company with a market capitalization of $310.17B. It ranks number 5 by market capitalization among the 60 Pharmaceutical Preparations issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For NVS, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -7.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -11.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, NVS included.

Price

NVS price chart and AI forecast

NVS
Cross-section · 2026-11-06

How NVS ranks among 5150 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2025-12-31

Novartis Ag (NVS) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Pharmaceutical Preparations peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricNVSIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $310.17B $12.65B 5/60
P/E Ratio 9.75x 36.06x 26/32
EPS $16.67 – –
FCF/Share $23.48 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricNVSIndustry medianRank
ROE 72.0% 5.4% 5/38
ROA 29.9% 1.9% 4/42
ROIC 49.1% 1.3% 3/44
Tax Rate 13.5% – –

Financial Health

MetricNVSIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.12x 2.46x 50/58
Quick Ratio 0.89x 1.64x 35/43
D/E Ratio 1.40x 1.22x 18/47
Financial Leverage 2.41x 2.12x 16/47
Working Capital $3.18B $911M 12/58

Cash Flow

MetricNVSIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $48.30B $199M 2/59
Free Cash Flow $44.80B $196M 1/50
Capital Spending -$3.50B -$52M 44/50
OCF Growth YoY 34.1% 3.7% 8/34
FCF Growth YoY 0.0% 0.0% 15/32

Operational Efficiency

MetricNVSIndustry medianRank
Inventory Turnover 5.3x 1.7x 6/35
Days Inventory 69 days 216 days 30/35

Income Statement

MetricNVSIndustry medianRank
Operating Income $41.07B $88M 2/50
Net Income $33.21B $81M 2/46
R&D Expense $26.32B $603M 4/58
SG&A Expense $32.35B $1.49B 3/40
Cost of Goods Sold $33.02B $1.87B 4/37

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricNVSIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 1908M – –
Net Income Growth 28.6% 5.9% 10/23
EPS Growth 37.2% 8.3% 9/24

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$30.46B27.5% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$11.44B10.3% of assets
Inventory$6.27B5.7% of assets
Total Liabilities$64.40B58.0% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

NVS quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Pharmaceutical Preparations

Novartis Ag (NVS) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Novartis Ag (Pharmaceutical Preparations): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
NVS Novartis Ag $310.17B 9.8x –
LLY Eli Lilly & Co $1.28T 44.3x 130.6x
JNJ Johnson & Johnson $664.95B 42.0x 8.2x
ABBV Abbvie Inc. $514.78B 44.6x –
MRK Merck & Co., Inc. $362.01B 151.3x 8.1x
AZN Astrazeneca Plc $288.97B 13.5x –
ABT Abbott Laboratories $191.15B 38.8x 3.8x
NVO Novo Nordisk A S $179.14B 3.0x –
PFE Pfizer Inc $167.51B 37.2x 1.9x
VRTX Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc / Ma $137.50B 34.9x 6.6x
BMY Bristol Myers Squibb Co $127.02B 13.8x 5.4x
SNY Sanofi $115.97B – –
GSK Gsk Plc $101.54B 5.6x –
REGN Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc. $93.11B 20.0x 2.8x
TAK Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd $66.19B 6.4x –
TEVA Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd $49.65B 41.0x 6.2x
ONC Beone Medicines Ltd. $46.26B 1130.5x 8.0x
GMAB Genmab A/S $34.50B 2.2x –
ZTS Zoetis Inc. $33.93B 14.0x 10.3x
RPRX Royalty Pharma Plc $28.82B 47.1x 4.2x
ROIV Roivant Sciences Ltd. $26.45B – 6.3x
INSM Insmed Inc $25.10B – 34.6x
UTHR United Therapeutics Corp $24.11B 21.2x 3.8x
VTRS Viatris Inc $22.87B – –
ALNY Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. $20.89B 7.3x 5.8x
ASND Ascendis Pharma A/S $16.86B – –
JAZZ Jazz Pharmaceuticals Plc $15.24B 77.5x 3.6x
BBIO Bridgebio Pharma, Inc. $14.47B – –
SMMT Summit Therapeutics Inc. $13.03B – 23.1x
ELAN Elanco Animal Health Inc $12.86B – 1.9x
RDY Dr Reddys Laboratories Ltd $12.44B 16.4x –
BMRN Biomarin Pharmaceutical Inc $10.85B 560.3x 1.7x
MDGL Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. $9.24B – 14.7x
TGTX Tg Therapeutics, Inc. $9.20B 21.9x 15.2x
SYRE Spyre Therapeutics, Inc. $9.16B – 8.7x
PTGX Protagonist Therapeutics, Inc $8.54B 33.6x 7.9x
ARWR Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. $8.22B – 17.7x
CORT Corcept Therapeutics Inc $7.87B 43.6x 9.4x
PRAX Praxis Precision Medicines, Inc. $7.75B – 5.8x
RYTM Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. $7.73B – 87.9x
ALKS Alkermes Plc. $7.70B 44.6x 4.1x
ABVX Abivax S.A. $7.50B – –
CYTK Cytokinetics Inc $7.46B – –
KNSA Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals International, Plc $7.37B 86.9x 10.4x
AXSM Axsome Therapeutics, Inc. $6.93B – 65.8x
ORKA Oruka Therapeutics, Inc. $6.81B – 6.1x
IONS Ionis Pharmaceuticals Inc $6.55B – 14.9x
AMRX Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. $6.43B 61.0x –
LGND Ligand Pharmaceuticals Inc $6.12B 116.9x 6.4x
MIRM Mirum Pharmaceuticals, Inc. $6.07B – –
BLTE Belite Bio, Inc $6.07B – 7.9x
MANE Veradermics, Inc $5.80B – 7.1x
SUPN Supernus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. $5.56B – 5.2x
COGT Cogent Biosciences, Inc. $5.49B – 10.6x
PTCT Ptc Therapeutics, Inc. $5.47B – –
ERAS Erasca, Inc. $5.04B – 13.9x
EWTX Edgewise Therapeutics, Inc. $4.89B 5.4x 3.0x
DNTH Dianthus Therapeutics, Inc. /De/ $4.81B – 3.9x
TVTX Travere Therapeutics, Inc. $4.44B – 196.6x
LEGN Legend Biotech Corp $4.33B – –

Where NVS sits on the market map

Life Sciences · Pharmaceutical Preparations
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News

Novartis Ag (NVS) stock news

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FAQ

Novartis Ag (NVS) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Novartis Ag (NVS) stock forecast?

Our AI scores Novartis Ag every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

How accurate are Novartis Ag stock predictions?

For NVS, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -7.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -11.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Novartis Ag forecasts updated?

Novartis Ag forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.

Which companies are Novartis Ag's industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, NVS included, share the SEC industry code Pharmaceutical Preparations. The largest are: Eli Lilly & Co (LLY), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), Abbvie Inc. (ABBV), Merck & Co., Inc. (MRK), Astrazeneca Plc (AZN), Abbott Laboratories (ABT).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.