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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Northeast Community Bancorp, Inc./Md/ (NECB) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Neutral Total
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 15.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $380M small-cap · #11 of 31 peers
Summary

Northeast Community Bancorp, Inc./Md/ (NECB) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 16, 2026, NECB is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.

Northeast Community Bancorp, Inc./Md/ is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $380M. It ranks number 11 by market capitalization among the 31 Savings Institutions, Not Federally Chartered issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/E Ratio of 8.77x is the lowest of the 27 peers that report one.

For NECB, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 15.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 13.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.0%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

NECB price chart and AI forecast

NECB
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How NECB ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Northeast Community Bancorp, Inc./Md/ (NECB) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Savings Institutions, Not Federally Chartered peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricNECBIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $380M $148M 11/31
P/E Ratio 8.77x 20.14x 27/27
P/B Ratio 1.05x 0.95x 11/31
Dividend Yield 3.67% 2.17% 3/14
EPS $3.15 – –
Book Value/Share $26.34 – –
Revenue/Share $7.49 – –
FCF/Share $3.52 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricNECBIndustry medianRank
ROE 11.7% 5.5% 3/27
ROA 2.0% 0.7% 1/25
Net Margin 41.1% 20.1% 2/27
EBT Margin 58.2% 23.9% 2/28
Tax Rate 29.4% – –

Financial Health

MetricNECBIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 4.83x 6.95x 27/33
Financial Leverage 5.83x 7.60x 25/31

Cash Flow

MetricNECBIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $49M $18M 8/28
Free Cash Flow $48M $22M 5/19
Capital Spending -$840K -$2M 7/18
OCF Growth YoY -3.8% 39.6% 21/22
FCF Growth YoY -2.7% 31.5% 12/14
FCF/Sales 47.0% 27.3% 3/19
CapEx/Sales 0.8% 2.8% 17/18

Operational Efficiency

MetricNECBIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.05x 0.03x 1/25
Fixed Assets Turnover 4.1x 3.9x 10/25

Income Statement

MetricNECBIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $103M $41M 9/27
Net Income $42M $4M 8/27

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricNECBIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $1.01 – –
Payout Ratio 32.1% 32.1% 7/13
Shares Outstanding 14M – –
Net Income Growth -5.0% 22.9% 17/20
EPS Growth -6.5% 29.6% 14/18

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$73M3.5% of assets
Total Liabilities$1.75B82.9% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

NECB quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Savings Institutions, Not Federally Chartered

Northeast Community Bancorp, Inc./Md/ (NECB) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Northeast Community Bancorp, Inc./Md/ (Savings Institutions, Not Federally Chartered): 33 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
NECB Northeast Community Bancorp, Inc./Md/ ▶ $380M 8.8x 1.1x
FLG Flagstar Bank, National Association ▼ $4.60B – 0.6x
BBT Beacon Financial Corp ▶ $2.30B 24.1x 1.9x
HFWA Heritage Financial Corp /Wa/ ▶ $1.13B 13.6x 1.0x
NBBK Nb Bancorp, Inc. ▼ $958M 14.8x 1.1x
SMBC Southern Missouri Bancorp, Inc. ▼ $773M 10.9x 2.3x
TCBX Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. ▶ $691M 10.6x 1.0x
GCBC Greene County Bancorp Inc ▼ $587M 14.3x 2.1x
HBCP Home Bancorp, Inc. ▶ $519M 11.0x 1.1x
PBFS Pioneer Bancorp, Inc./Md ▼ $440M 126.7x 1.3x
AVBC Avidia Bancorp, Inc. ▶ $439M 104.6x 1.1x
TSBK Timberland Bancorp Inc ▶ $354M 9.4x 1.3x
FBLA Fb Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ ▼ $262M 821.9x 0.9x
RBKB Rhinebeck Bancorp, Inc. ▼ $201M 14.1x 1.4x
ECBK Ecb Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ ▲ $172M 16.9x 1.0x
SRBK Sr Bancorp, Inc. ▶ $148M 35.1x 0.8x
HYNE Hoyne Bancorp, Inc. ▼ $136M 647.9x 0.9x
WSBK Winchester Bancorp, Inc./Md/ ▼ $120M 26.4x 1.0x
BSBK Bogota Financial Corp. ▼ $116M 43.4x 0.8x
CULL Cullman Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ ▼ $97M 34.5x 1.0x
FNWB First Northwest Bancorp ▶ $91M 59.5x 0.6x
FMFG Farmers & Merchants Bancshares, Inc. ▼ $61M 9.3x 0.9x
TCBS Texas Community Bancshares, Inc. ▼ $50M 15.4x 0.9x
MBBC Marathon Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ ▼ $44M 22.0x 0.9x
QNTO Quaint Oak Bancorp, Inc. ▼ $38M 72.5x 0.7x
PFSB Pfs Bancorp, Inc. ▶ $34M 20.1x 0.9x
URSB Ursb Bancorp, Inc. ▼ $30M – 0.8x
GOVB Gouverneur Bancorp, Inc./Md/ ▶ $22M 28.6x 0.7x
MSBB Mercer Bancorp, Inc. ▶ $21M 16.1x 0.9x
PNSB Psb Financial, Inc. ▼ $19M – 0.6x
CSBA Csb Financial Inc. ▼ $19M – 1.2x
FBSI First Bancshares Inc /Mo/ ▼ N/A – –
VWFB Vwf Bancorp, Inc. ▼ N/A – –

Where NECB sits on the market map

Finance · Savings Institutions, Not Federally Chartered
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News

Northeast Community Bancorp, Inc./Md/ (NECB) stock news

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FAQ

Northeast Community Bancorp, Inc./Md/ (NECB) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Northeast Community Bancorp, Inc./Md/ (NECB) stock forecast?

On Oct. 16, 2026, NECB is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Northeast Community Bancorp, Inc./Md/ stock predictions?

For NECB, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 15.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 13.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Northeast Community Bancorp, Inc./Md/ forecasts updated?

Northeast Community Bancorp, Inc./Md/ forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Northeast Community Bancorp, Inc./Md/'s industry peers?

33 issuers in our coverage, NECB included, share the SEC industry code Savings Institutions, Not Federally Chartered. The largest are: Flagstar Bank, National Association (FLG), Beacon Financial Corp (BBT), Heritage Financial Corp /Wa/ (HFWA), Nb Bancorp, Inc. (NBBK), Southern Missouri Bancorp, Inc. (SMBC), Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. (TCBX).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.