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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Novo Nordisk A S (NVO) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 3.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $172.56B large-cap · #8 of 60 peers
Summary

Novo Nordisk A S (NVO) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Novo Nordisk A S outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Novo Nordisk A S is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $172.56B. It ranks number 8 by market capitalization among the 60 Pharmaceutical Preparations issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its ROE of 176.6% is the highest of the 38 peers that report one. Its Current Ratio of 0.80x is the lowest of the 59 peers that report one.

For NVO, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 3.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -3.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, NVO included.

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Price

NVO price chart and AI forecast

NVO
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How NVO ranks among 5184 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2025-12-31

Novo Nordisk A S (NVO) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Pharmaceutical Preparations peers listed below that report each metric. Statement values were filed in DKK and are shown converted to USD (flows at the trailing twelve-month average rate, balances at the balance-sheet date rate).

Valuation & Market

MetricNVOIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $172.56B $11.72B 8/60
P/E Ratio 2.88x 29.24x 31/32
EPS $13.48 – –
Revenue/Share $34.48 – –
FCF/Share $9.66 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricNVOIndustry medianRank
ROE 176.6% 7.7% 1/38
ROA 63.1% 2.1% 1/43
ROIC 132.4% 2.3% 1/46
Gross Margin 83.4% 82.0% 16/35
Operating Margin 43.0% 12.4% 5/39
Net Margin 34.0% 8.3% 6/35
EBT Margin 42.8% 12.5% 7/46
Tax Rate 20.6% – –

Financial Health

MetricNVOIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 0.80x 3.08x 59/59
Quick Ratio 0.57x 1.44x 41/43
D/E Ratio 1.80x 1.23x 13/48
Financial Leverage 2.80x 2.09x 12/48
Working Capital -$6.79B $877M 58/59

Cash Flow

MetricNVOIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $64.99B $166M 1/59
Free Cash Flow $42.93B $148M 2/50
Capital Spending -$22.06B -$55M 50/50
OCF Growth YoY 115.7% 7.9% 6/33
FCF Growth YoY 0.0% 0.0% 16/31
FCF/Sales 28.0% 16.8% 9/42
CapEx/Sales 14.4% 2.6% 6/42

Operational Efficiency

MetricNVOIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 1.86x 0.49x 2/40
Inventory Turnover 3.4x 1.7x 10/35
Days Inventory 108 days 212 days 26/35

Income Statement

MetricNVOIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $153.22B $2.83B 2/46
Operating Income $65.83B $93M 1/51
Net Income $52.04B $28M 1/46
R&D Expense $23.79B $527M 6/58
Cost of Goods Sold $25.45B $1.83B 7/36

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricNVOIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 4444M – –
Net Income Growth 104.6% 2.6% 2/18
EPS Growth 24.9% 0.8% 8/24

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions, converted from DKK)

Total Current Assets$27.12B
Cash & Short-term Investments$4.16B
Inventory$7.80B
Total Liabilities$54.86B
Quarterly Financial Reports

NVO quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Pharmaceutical Preparations

Novo Nordisk A S (NVO) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Novo Nordisk A S (Pharmaceutical Preparations): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
NVO Novo Nordisk A S ▼ $172.56B 2.9x –
LLY Eli Lilly & Co ▶ $1.18T 42.2x 120.4x
JNJ Johnson & Johnson ▼ $615.87B 29.7x 7.3x
ABBV Abbvie Inc. ▶ $504.37B 73.8x –
MRK Merck & Co., Inc. ▲ $360.08B 116.8x 8.6x
NVS Novartis Ag ▼ $287.41B 9.0x –
AZN Astrazeneca Plc ▼ $256.39B 11.9x –
ABT Abbott Laboratories ▼ $182.39B 29.4x 3.5x
PFE Pfizer Inc ▶ $168.60B 36.5x 2.0x
VRTX Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc / Ma ▶ $126.66B 29.1x 6.3x
BMY Bristol Myers Squibb Co ▶ $122.05B 13.1x 5.5x
GSK Gsk Plc ▼ $100.46B 5.5x –
SNY Sanofi ▼ $100.12B – –
REGN Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ▶ $81.76B 19.6x 2.6x
TAK Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd ▼ $61.45B 5.9x –
TEVA Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd ▼ $48.36B 86.5x 6.2x
ONC Beone Medicines Ltd. ▲ $41.96B 1272.7x 8.1x
ZTS Zoetis Inc. ▼ $32.80B 13.1x 10.4x
ALNY Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ▶ $31.02B 58.3x 22.9x
RPRX Royalty Pharma Plc ▶ $26.88B 34.8x 3.9x
ROIV Roivant Sciences Ltd. ▲ $24.22B – 5.7x
GMAB Genmab A/S ▲ $23.80B 1.5x –
UTHR United Therapeutics Corp ▶ $22.87B 19.1x 3.6x
VTRS Viatris Inc ▼ $21.43B – –
INSM Insmed Inc ▶ $21.02B – 27.8x
ASND Ascendis Pharma A/S ▲ $14.85B – –
JAZZ Jazz Pharmaceuticals Plc ▼ $13.65B 14.4x 2.8x
BBIO Bridgebio Pharma, Inc. ▶ $12.98B – –
CORT Corcept Therapeutics Inc ▲ $11.91B 123.8x 16.9x
ELAN Elanco Animal Health Inc ▼ $11.77B – 1.8x
SMMT Summit Therapeutics Inc. ▶ $11.67B – 18.5x
RDY Dr Reddys Laboratories Ltd ▼ $10.91B 14.4x –
BMRN Biomarin Pharmaceutical Inc ▶ $10.58B 68.4x 1.7x
MDGL Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ▶ $10.39B – 19.8x
CYTK Cytokinetics Inc ▲ $8.61B – –
TGTX Tg Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $8.56B 20.4x 14.2x
PTGX Protagonist Therapeutics, Inc ▶ $8.33B 163.0x 9.9x
AXSM Axsome Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $8.23B – 98.8x
ARWR Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ▲ $7.90B – 17.0x
ABVX Abivax S.A. ▼ $7.74B – –
IONS Ionis Pharmaceuticals Inc ▲ $7.14B – 16.2x
SYRE Spyre Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $7.05B – 6.4x
ALKS Alkermes Plc. ▲ $6.92B 45.3x 3.8x
PRAX Praxis Precision Medicines, Inc. ▲ $6.75B – 5.0x
KNSA Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals International, Plc ▶ $6.13B 86.4x 10.1x
AMRX Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ▲ $6.13B 58.1x –
RYTM Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ▲ $5.93B – 57.6x
LGND Ligand Pharmaceuticals Inc ▶ $5.89B 28.6x 6.1x
BLTE Belite Bio, Inc ▲ $5.62B – 7.3x
MIRM Mirum Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ▲ $5.20B – –
COGT Cogent Biosciences, Inc. ▶ $5.12B – 9.6x
PTCT Ptc Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $4.94B – –
ORKA Oruka Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $4.76B – 4.3x
ERAS Erasca, Inc. ▲ $4.68B – 12.9x
MANE Veradermics, Inc ▲ $4.55B – 5.6x
TVTX Travere Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $4.44B – 181.0x
EWTX Edgewise Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $4.04B – 9.0x
DNTH Dianthus Therapeutics, Inc. /De/ ▲ $4.03B – 3.4x
INDV Indivior Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ▶ $3.83B 13.1x –
TNGX Tango Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $3.72B – 3.6x

Where NVO sits on the market map

Life Sciences · Pharmaceutical Preparations
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News

Novo Nordisk A S (NVO) stock news

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FAQ

Novo Nordisk A S (NVO) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Novo Nordisk A S (NVO) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Novo Nordisk A S outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Novo Nordisk A S stock predictions?

For NVO, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 3.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -3.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Novo Nordisk A S forecasts updated?

Novo Nordisk A S forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Novo Nordisk A S's industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, NVO included, share the SEC industry code Pharmaceutical Preparations. The largest are: Eli Lilly & Co (LLY), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), Abbvie Inc. (ABBV), Merck & Co., Inc. (MRK), Novartis Ag (NVS), Astrazeneca Plc (AZN).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.