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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Palladyne Ai Corp. (PDYN) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Neutral Alpha
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 45.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $187M small-cap · #60 of 60 peers
Summary

Palladyne Ai Corp. (PDYN) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 16, 2026, PDYN is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.

Palladyne Ai Corp. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $187M. It ranks number 60 by market capitalization among the 60 Services-Prepackaged Software issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its Gross Margin of 19.8% is the lowest of the 56 peers that report one.

For PDYN, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 45.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 20.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

PDYN price chart and AI forecast

PDYN
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How PDYN ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Palladyne Ai Corp. (PDYN) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Prepackaged Software peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricPDYNIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $187M $14.51B 60/60
P/E Ratio 22.29x 31.32x 27/39
P/B Ratio 2.64x 7.22x 49/53
EPS $0.17 – –
Book Value/Share $1.44 – –
Revenue/Share $0.24 – –
FCF/Share $-0.74 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricPDYNIndustry medianRank
ROIC -49.6% 7.0% 52/54
Gross Margin 19.8% 75.2% 56/56
Operating Margin -360.7% 8.5% 59/59
EBT Margin -276.2% 11.1% 59/59
Tax Rate 7.8% – –

Financial Health

MetricPDYNIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 6.30x 1.57x 2/59
Quick Ratio 6.19x 1.82x 1/10
D/E Ratio 0.33x 0.77x 43/54
Financial Leverage 1.33x 1.79x 42/52
Interest Coverage -51.2x 6.8x 41/46
Working Capital $44M $541M 49/59

Cash Flow

MetricPDYNIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow -$35M $648M 59/59
Free Cash Flow -$37M $453M 48/50
Capital Spending -$2M -$24M 2/50
FCF/Sales -310.0% 25.0% 50/50
CapEx/Sales 12.7% 1.1% 4/50

Operational Efficiency

MetricPDYNIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.13x 0.54x 48/49
Receivables Turnover 5.1x 6.4x 37/52
Inventory Turnover 6.3x 62.8x 7/9
Fixed Assets Turnover 1.3x 27.5x 49/52
Days Sales Outstanding 71 days 57 days 16/52
Days Inventory 58 days 6 days 3/9
Payables Period 73 days 24 days 9/56
Cash Conversion Cycle 56 days 45 days 3/7

Income Statement

MetricPDYNIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $12M $2.51B 53/53
Operating Income -$43M $182M 40/59
R&D Expense $15M $502M 59/59
SG&A Expense $40M $1.59B 58/58
Cost of Goods Sold $6M $528M 57/57

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricPDYNIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 49M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$52M55.1% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$34M35.8% of assets
Accounts Receivable$2M2.4% of assets
Inventory$940K1.0% of assets
Total Liabilities$24M24.9% of assets
Short-term Debt$7M7.5% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

PDYN quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Services-Prepackaged Software

Palladyne Ai Corp. (PDYN) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Palladyne Ai Corp. (Services-Prepackaged Software): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
PDYN Palladyne Ai Corp. ▶ $187M 22.3x 2.6x
MSFT Microsoft Corp ▼ $3.93T 29.5x 8.9x
PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. ▲ $447.01B 204.4x 45.7x
ORCL Oracle Corp ▲ $387.73B 20.1x 5.8x
SAP Sap Se ▼ $275.54B 12.5x –
CRWD Crowdstrike Holdings, Inc. ▲ $232.83B 2526.6x –
SHOP Shopify Inc. ▲ $218.11B 120.2x 17.2x
CRM Salesforce, Inc. ▶ $198.10B 22.0x 5.8x
NET Cloudflare, Inc. ▲ $105.51B – 65.1x
ADBE Adobe Inc. ▼ $95.43B 13.7x 8.1x
DDOG Datadog, Inc. ▲ $88.73B 588.4x 20.3x
SNPS Synopsys Inc ▼ $87.12B 86.1x 2.8x
CDNS Cadence Design Systems Inc ▼ $86.97B 74.5x 13.3x
NTES Netease, Inc. ▼ $80.22B – –
TEAM Atlassian Corp ▶ $52.61B – 49.7x
VEEV Veeva Systems Inc ▼ $50.25B 50.8x 6.8x
ADSK Autodesk, Inc. ▼ $50.14B 28.5x 14.8x
XYZ Block, Inc. ▶ $46.80B 56.4x 2.1x
TTWO Take Two Interactive Software Inc ▶ $38.38B – 10.6x
TWLO Twilio Inc ▲ $37.53B 36.2x 4.2x
RBLX Roblox Corp ▲ $35.39B – 232.9x
CRWV Coreweave, Inc. ▲ $33.86B – 6.7x
OKTA Okta, Inc. ▲ $32.74B 117.8x 4.7x
MDB Mongodb, Inc. ▲ $27.19B – 9.1x
RBRK Rubrik, Inc. ▲ $23.30B – –
PTC Ptc Inc. ▶ $20.94B 17.6x 6.0x
SSNC Ss&C Technologies Holdings Inc ▼ $19.73B 24.7x 3.0x
NTNX Nutanix, Inc. ▶ $18.11B 13.0x –
DT Dynatrace, Inc. ▶ $17.66B 122.2x 7.2x
TYL Tyler Technologies Inc ▼ $14.78B 47.9x 4.9x
CHKP Check Point Software Technologies Ltd ▼ $14.56B 11.2x 5.1x
GEN Gen Digital Inc. ▲ $14.46B 14.1x 5.4x
GWRE Guidewire Software, Inc. ▲ $13.85B 103.6x 11.6x
MANH Manhattan Associates Inc ▶ $12.95B 63.1x 82.2x
HUBS Hubspot Inc ▲ $11.52B 129.7x 7.0x
FIG Figma, Inc. ▲ $11.45B – 7.8x
PAYC Paycom Software, Inc. ▲ $11.34B 26.8x 19.9x
SAIL Sailpoint, Inc. ▲ $10.70B – 1.6x
BSY Bentley Systems Inc ▶ $10.69B 40.2x 8.9x
FROG Jfrog Ltd ▲ $10.40B – 10.8x
ESTC Elastic N.V. ▶ $9.63B 26.2x 7.4x
PCTY Paylocity Holding Corp ▼ $8.82B 33.8x 7.2x
GTLB Gitlab Inc. ▲ $8.79B – 9.5x
PCOR Procore Technologies, Inc. ▲ $8.66B – 6.8x
DBX Dropbox, Inc. ▲ $8.03B 19.4x –
ZETA Zeta Global Holdings Corp. ▲ $7.83B – 8.5x
NTSK Netskope Inc ▲ $7.76B – 49.5x
APPF Appfolio Inc ▼ $7.51B 40.5x 14.3x
S Sentinelone, Inc. ▲ $7.51B – 5.2x
DSGX Descartes Systems Group Inc ▼ $7.49B 24.8x 4.6x
TTAN Servicetitan, Inc. ▲ $7.15B – –
NICE Nice Ltd. ▲ $6.78B 17.6x 1.8x
PATH Uipath, Inc. ▲ $6.70B 21.8x 3.4x
DUOL Duolingo, Inc. ▲ $6.63B 17.0x 4.7x
NAVN Navan, Inc. ▲ $6.61B – 5.0x
GLBE Global-E Online Ltd. ▲ $6.56B – 7.0x
QLYS Qualys, Inc. ▲ $6.26B 31.3x 11.1x
CVLT Commvault Systems Inc ▲ $6.18B 95.6x 118.7x
MBLY Mobileye Global Inc. ▶ $5.88B – 0.4x
VRNS Varonis Systems Inc ▶ $5.60B – 12.6x

Where PDYN sits on the market map

Technology · Services-Prepackaged Software
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News

Palladyne Ai Corp. (PDYN) stock news

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FAQ

Palladyne Ai Corp. (PDYN) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Palladyne Ai Corp. (PDYN) stock forecast?

On Oct. 16, 2026, PDYN is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Palladyne Ai Corp. stock predictions?

For PDYN, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 45.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 20.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Palladyne Ai Corp. forecasts updated?

Palladyne Ai Corp. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Palladyne Ai Corp.'s industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, PDYN included, share the SEC industry code Services-Prepackaged Software. The largest are: Microsoft Corp (MSFT), Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR), Oracle Corp (ORCL), Sap Se (SAP), Crowdstrike Holdings, Inc. (CRWD), Shopify Inc. (SHOP).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.