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Model output · Signal date 2026-11-06

Sps Commerce Inc (SPSC) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026

Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Unlock rating and forecasts
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage of 5150 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 47.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $2.93B mid-cap · #60 of 60 peers
Summary

Sps Commerce Inc (SPSC) stock forecast summary

Our AI scores Sps Commerce Inc every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

Sps Commerce Inc is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $2.93B. It ranks number 60 by market capitalization among the 60 Services-Prepackaged Software issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For SPSC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 47.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 28.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, SPSC included.

Price

SPSC price chart and AI forecast

SPSC
Cross-section · 2026-11-06

How SPSC ranks among 5150 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-09-30

Sps Commerce Inc (SPSC) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Prepackaged Software peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricSPSCIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $2.93B $15.02B 60/60
P/E Ratio 38.95x 38.95x 21/41
P/B Ratio 3.14x 6.97x 46/51
EPS $2.12 – –
Book Value/Share $26.32 – –
Revenue/Share $22.02 – –
FCF/Share $5.72 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricSPSCIndustry medianRank
ROE 8.9% 13.9% 30/43
ROA 7.3% 6.6% 21/45
ROIC 11.0% 8.9% 23/54
Gross Margin 70.2% 75.2% 39/56
Operating Margin 13.8% 9.4% 25/59
Net Margin 10.7% 13.5% 29/47
EBT Margin 14.6% 12.2% 28/59
Tax Rate 26.9% – –

Financial Health

MetricSPSCIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 2.25x 1.55x 17/57
D/E Ratio 0.21x 0.79x 47/52
Financial Leverage 1.21x 1.80x 46/51
Interest Coverage 112.0x 12.8x 7/47
Working Capital $193M $525M 40/57

Cash Flow

MetricSPSCIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $232M $667M 51/59
Free Cash Flow $203M $448M 44/50
Capital Spending -$29M -$26M 30/50
OCF Growth YoY 33.5% 28.2% 22/52
FCF Growth YoY 36.5% 29.6% 15/44
FCF/Sales 26.0% 26.0% 25/50
CapEx/Sales 3.7% 1.0% 7/50

Operational Efficiency

MetricSPSCIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.69x 0.56x 14/50
Receivables Turnover 11.8x 6.5x 12/50
Fixed Assets Turnover 17.8x 29.7x 32/49
Days Sales Outstanding 31 days 56 days 39/50
Payables Period 16 days 24 days 39/53

Income Statement

MetricSPSCIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $780M $2.53B 51/53
Operating Income $108M $232M 37/59
Net Income $83M $296M 35/47
R&D Expense $68M $474M 59/59
SG&A Expense $449M $1.60B 53/58
Cost of Goods Sold $232M $510M 54/57

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricSPSCIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 35M – –
Net Income Growth -2.3% 12.6% 23/31
EPS Growth -18.8% 24.7% 31/37

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$347M30.6% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$154M13.6% of assets
Accounts Receivable$66M5.8% of assets
Total Liabilities$200M17.6% of assets
Short-term Debt$144M12.7% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

SPSC quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Services-Prepackaged Software

Sps Commerce Inc (SPSC) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Sps Commerce Inc (Services-Prepackaged Software): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
SPSC Sps Commerce Inc $2.93B 39.0x 3.1x
MSFT Microsoft Corp $3.94T 27.7x 8.4x
PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. $385.38B 180.2x 34.3x
ORCL Oracle Corp $351.06B 18.2x 5.3x
SAP Sap Se $286.79B 13.0x –
CRWD Crowdstrike Holdings, Inc. $222.09B 2410.0x –
SHOP Shopify Inc. $191.59B 135.4x 15.0x
CRM Salesforce, Inc. $175.83B 19.5x 5.1x
NET Cloudflare, Inc. $95.00B – 64.9x
ADBE Adobe Inc. $93.14B 13.4x 7.9x
CDNS Cadence Design Systems Inc $87.78B 63.6x 12.8x
SNPS Synopsys Inc $84.38B 83.4x 2.7x
NTES Netease, Inc. $82.37B – –
DDOG Datadog, Inc. $64.29B 337.8x 13.6x
ADSK Autodesk, Inc. $54.70B 31.1x 16.2x
XYZ Block, Inc. $50.49B 59.6x 2.2x
VEEV Veeva Systems Inc $49.18B 49.7x 6.6x
TTWO Take Two Interactive Software Inc $40.18B – 11.1x
TEAM Atlassian Corp $38.90B 452.0x 42.7x
RBLX Roblox Corp $35.28B – –
TWLO Twilio Inc $31.26B 26.4x 3.4x
OKTA Okta, Inc. $29.49B 106.1x 4.2x
CRWV Coreweave, Inc. $25.59B – 5.1x
MDB Mongodb, Inc. $25.20B – 8.5x
RBRK Rubrik, Inc. $21.92B – –
PTC Ptc Inc. $21.12B 17.8x 6.1x
SSNC Ss&C Technologies Holdings Inc $18.24B 22.9x 2.8x
GEN Gen Digital Inc. $17.67B 16.2x 6.5x
TYL Tyler Technologies Inc $17.11B 54.2x 6.1x
NTNX Nutanix, Inc. $15.79B 11.3x –
CHKP Check Point Software Technologies Ltd $15.22B 11.7x 5.3x
MANH Manhattan Associates Inc $14.82B 70.9x 73.8x
BSY Bentley Systems Inc $13.49B 46.5x 10.5x
GWRE Guidewire Software, Inc. $13.23B 99.0x 11.1x
DT Dynatrace, Inc. $12.55B 74.9x 5.5x
FROG Jfrog Ltd $12.45B – 12.3x
PCOR Procore Technologies, Inc. $11.45B – 10.6x
PAYC Paycom Software, Inc. $11.27B 24.0x 15.9x
SAIL Sailpoint, Inc. $10.97B – 1.6x
FIG Figma, Inc. $10.03B – 6.5x
HUBS Hubspot Inc $10.00B 65.1x 6.2x
PCTY Paylocity Holding Corp $9.19B 33.8x 8.0x
ESTC Elastic N.V. $9.04B 24.6x 7.0x
NTSK Netskope Inc $8.70B – 55.5x
APPF Appfolio Inc $8.18B 41.2x 14.0x
GTLB Gitlab Inc. $8.16B – 8.8x
DSGX Descartes Systems Group Inc $8.09B 26.8x 5.0x
DBX Dropbox, Inc. $7.82B 18.2x –
TTAN Servicetitan, Inc. $7.80B – –
S Sentinelone, Inc. $7.58B – 5.2x
DUOL Duolingo, Inc. $7.51B 55.1x 5.1x
GLBE Global-E Online Ltd. $7.26B – 7.8x
ZETA Zeta Global Holdings Corp. $7.26B – 7.8x
PATH Uipath, Inc. $6.78B 22.0x 3.5x
QLYS Qualys, Inc. $6.59B 32.9x 11.7x
CVLT Commvault Systems Inc $6.45B 81.3x 514.5x
NAVN Navan, Inc. $6.33B – 4.8x
KVYO Klaviyo, Inc. $5.90B – 6.8x
NICE Nice Ltd. $5.80B 15.1x 1.5x
BOX Box Inc $5.76B 67.7x –

Where SPSC sits on the market map

Technology · Services-Prepackaged Software
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News

Sps Commerce Inc (SPSC) stock news

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FAQ

Sps Commerce Inc (SPSC) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Sps Commerce Inc (SPSC) stock forecast?

Our AI scores Sps Commerce Inc every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

How accurate are Sps Commerce Inc stock predictions?

For SPSC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 47.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 28.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Sps Commerce Inc forecasts updated?

Sps Commerce Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.

Which companies are Sps Commerce Inc's industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, SPSC included, share the SEC industry code Services-Prepackaged Software. The largest are: Microsoft Corp (MSFT), Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR), Oracle Corp (ORCL), Sap Se (SAP), Crowdstrike Holdings, Inc. (CRWD), Shopify Inc. (SHOP).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.