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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Timberland Bancorp Inc (TSBK) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Neutral Total
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 20.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $354M small-cap · #12 of 31 peers
Summary

Timberland Bancorp Inc (TSBK) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 16, 2026, TSBK is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.

Timberland Bancorp Inc is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $354M. It ranks number 12 by market capitalization among the 31 Savings Institutions, Not Federally Chartered issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For TSBK, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 20.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 19.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, TSBK included.

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Price

TSBK price chart and AI forecast

TSBK
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How TSBK ranks among 5184 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Timberland Bancorp Inc (TSBK) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Savings Institutions, Not Federally Chartered peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricTSBKIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $354M $146M 12/31
P/E Ratio 9.40x 20.14x 25/27
P/B Ratio 1.30x 0.95x 6/31
Dividend Yield 2.49% 2.17% 7/14
EPS $4.84 – –
Book Value/Share $35.14 – –
Revenue/Share $11.04 – –
FCF/Share $3.74 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricTSBKIndustry medianRank
ROE 11.5% 5.5% 4/27
ROA 1.5% 0.7% 2/25
Net Margin 36.7% 20.1% 3/27
EBT Margin 45.6% 23.9% 4/28
Tax Rate 19.5% – –

Financial Health

MetricTSBKIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 6.54x 6.95x 19/33
Financial Leverage 7.54x 7.60x 17/31

Cash Flow

MetricTSBKIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $31M $18M 11/28
Free Cash Flow $29M $22M 8/19
Capital Spending -$2M -$2M 12/18
OCF Growth YoY 17.1% 39.6% 16/22
FCF Growth YoY 15.1% 31.5% 10/14
FCF/Sales 33.9% 27.3% 8/19
CapEx/Sales 2.5% 2.8% 11/18

Operational Efficiency

MetricTSBKIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.04x 0.03x 4/25
Fixed Assets Turnover 3.9x 3.9x 15/25

Income Statement

MetricTSBKIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $86M $41M 11/27
Net Income $32M $4M 9/27

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricTSBKIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $1.13 – –
Payout Ratio 23.4% 32.1% 8/13
Shares Outstanding 8M – –
Net Income Growth 16.4% 22.9% 12/20
EPS Growth 45.8% 29.6% 6/18

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$246M11.9% of assets
Total Liabilities$1.79B86.8% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

TSBK quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Savings Institutions, Not Federally Chartered

Timberland Bancorp Inc (TSBK) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Timberland Bancorp Inc (Savings Institutions, Not Federally Chartered): 33 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
TSBK Timberland Bancorp Inc ▶ $354M 9.4x 1.3x
FLG Flagstar Bank, National Association ▶ $4.60B – 0.6x
BBT Beacon Financial Corp ▶ $2.30B 24.1x 1.9x
HFWA Heritage Financial Corp /Wa/ ▶ $1.13B 13.6x 1.0x
NBBK Nb Bancorp, Inc. ▼ $958M 14.8x 1.1x
SMBC Southern Missouri Bancorp, Inc. ▼ $773M 10.9x 2.3x
TCBX Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. ▶ $691M 10.6x 1.0x
GCBC Greene County Bancorp Inc ▼ $587M 14.3x 2.1x
HBCP Home Bancorp, Inc. ▶ $519M 11.0x 1.1x
AVBC Avidia Bancorp, Inc. ▶ $439M 104.6x 1.1x
PBFS Pioneer Bancorp, Inc./Md ▼ $437M 125.6x 1.3x
NECB Northeast Community Bancorp, Inc./Md/ ▶ $380M 8.8x 1.1x
FBLA Fb Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ ▼ $262M 821.9x 0.9x
RBKB Rhinebeck Bancorp, Inc. ▼ $201M 14.1x 1.4x
ECBK Ecb Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ ▲ $172M 16.9x 1.0x
SRBK Sr Bancorp, Inc. ▲ $146M 34.8x 0.8x
HYNE Hoyne Bancorp, Inc. ▼ $136M 647.9x 0.9x
WSBK Winchester Bancorp, Inc./Md/ ▼ $120M 26.4x 1.0x
BSBK Bogota Financial Corp. ▼ $116M 43.4x 0.8x
CULL Cullman Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ ▼ $97M 34.5x 1.0x
FNWB First Northwest Bancorp ▶ $91M 59.5x 0.6x
FMFG Farmers & Merchants Bancshares, Inc. ▼ $61M 9.3x 0.9x
TCBS Texas Community Bancshares, Inc. ▼ $49M 15.2x 0.9x
MBBC Marathon Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ ▼ $44M 22.0x 0.9x
QNTO Quaint Oak Bancorp, Inc. ▼ $38M 72.5x 0.7x
PFSB Pfs Bancorp, Inc. ▶ $34M 20.1x 0.9x
URSB Ursb Bancorp, Inc. ▼ $30M – 0.8x
GOVB Gouverneur Bancorp, Inc./Md/ ▶ $22M 28.6x 0.7x
MSBB Mercer Bancorp, Inc. ▶ $21M 16.1x 0.9x
PNSB Psb Financial, Inc. ▼ $19M – 0.6x
CSBA Csb Financial Inc. ▼ $19M – 1.2x
FBSI First Bancshares Inc /Mo/ ▼ N/A – –
VWFB Vwf Bancorp, Inc. ▼ N/A – –

Where TSBK sits on the market map

Finance · Savings Institutions, Not Federally Chartered
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News

Timberland Bancorp Inc (TSBK) stock news

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FAQ

Timberland Bancorp Inc (TSBK) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Timberland Bancorp Inc (TSBK) stock forecast?

On Oct. 16, 2026, TSBK is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Timberland Bancorp Inc stock predictions?

For TSBK, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 20.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 19.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Timberland Bancorp Inc forecasts updated?

Timberland Bancorp Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Timberland Bancorp Inc's industry peers?

33 issuers in our coverage, TSBK included, share the SEC industry code Savings Institutions, Not Federally Chartered. The largest are: Flagstar Bank, National Association (FLG), Beacon Financial Corp (BBT), Heritage Financial Corp /Wa/ (HFWA), Nb Bancorp, Inc. (NBBK), Southern Missouri Bancorp, Inc. (SMBC), Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. (TCBX).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.