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Model output · Signal date Oct. 16, 2026

Daily SignalsNeutral

2759 companies scored · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · 30D 90D

Signal date 2026-10-16 Cut-offs from the 2026-10-16 run
Companies scored 2759 IC ≥ 0 · market cap ≥ $100M
Median forecast -0.41% Alpha · 90D
Long–short spread +5.11% Strong Buy minus Strong Sell, mean
Median IC 0.27 Spearman · 90D
Rating changes ▲ 290 ▼ 470 vs the previous run
Cross-section

Distribution of the day's forecasts

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Signals · Neutral

188 companies

Sorted by 90D forecast ↓

# Ticker Sector IC Mkt cap Rating 30D 90D Δ
1 FBNCFIRST BANCORP /NC/ Finance 0.20 $2.5B Neutral +0.09% +0.21% ·
2 COSOCoastalSouth Bancshares, Inc. Finance 0.30 $320M Neutral +0.09% +0.20% ▼ 1
3 HOPEHOPE BANCORP INC Finance 0.09 $1.7B Neutral +0.09% +0.20% ·
4 CACCAMDEN NATIONAL CORP Finance 0.25 $948M Neutral +0.08% +0.18% ·
5 RVSBRIVERVIEW BANCORP INC Finance 0.11 $119M Neutral +0.08% +0.18% ▼ 1
6 RRBIRED RIVER BANCSHARES INC Finance 0.28 $667M Neutral +0.07% +0.16% ·
7 SMBKSMARTFINANCIAL INC. Finance 0.02 $866M Neutral +0.07% +0.16% ·
8 MTBM&T BANK CORP Finance 0.27 $31.1B Neutral +0.06% +0.15% ·
9 TREELendingTree, Inc. Finance 0.41 $356M Neutral +0.06% +0.15% ·
10 TPGTPG Inc. Finance 0.32 $16.3B Neutral +0.04% +0.11% ·
11 GBFHGBank Financial Holdings Inc. Finance 0.26 $254M Neutral +0.04% +0.10% ·
12 PEBOPEOPLES BANCORP INC Finance 0.09 $1.3B Neutral +0.03% +0.10% ·
13 TSBKTIMBERLAND BANCORP INC Finance 0.20 $354M Neutral +0.04% +0.10% ▼ 2
14 UNTYUNITY BANCORP INC /NJ/ Finance 0.27 $566M Neutral +0.03% +0.10% ▼ 2
15 FCNCAFIRST CITIZENS BANCSHARES INC /DE/ Finance 0.28 $24.0B Neutral +0.03% +0.09% ▼ 1
16 SBCFSEACOAST BANKING CORP OF FLORIDA Finance 0.31 $3.2B Neutral +0.03% +0.09% ·
17 FHNFIRST HORIZON CORP Finance 0.43 $10.8B Neutral +0.03% +0.08% ·
18 TBBKBancorp, Inc. Finance 0.28 $2.0B Neutral +0.02% +0.08% ▼ 1
19 OSBCOLD SECOND BANCORP INC Finance 0.08 $1.3B Neutral +0.01% +0.06% ·
20 OMFOneMain Holdings, Inc. Finance 0.23 $6.6B Neutral +0.01% +0.05% ·
21 UNMUnum Group Finance 0.23 $14.6B Neutral 0.00% +0.02% ·
22 BUSEFIRST BUSEY CORP /NV/ Finance 0.14 $2.4B Neutral -0.01% +0.01% ·
23 SHBISHORE BANCSHARES INC Finance 0.20 $753M Neutral -0.01% +0.01% ▼ 1
24 TFSLTFS Financial CORP Finance 0.27 $4.6B Neutral -0.01% +0.01% ▼ 1
25 WFCWELLS FARGO & COMPANY/MN Finance 0.35 $250.2B Neutral -0.01% +0.01% ·
26 FFINFIRST FINANCIAL BANKSHARES INC Finance 0.21 $4.4B Neutral -0.02% 0.00% ·
27 MSMORGAN STANLEY Finance 0.26 $283.6B Neutral -0.02% 0.00% ·
28 CNCCENTENE CORP Finance 0.68 $34.2B Neutral -0.02% -0.01% ·
29 CPFCENTRAL PACIFIC FINANCIAL CORP Finance 0.35 $939M Neutral -0.02% -0.01% ·
30 LCNBLCNB CORP Finance 0.15 $269M Neutral -0.02% -0.01% ·
31 FRAFFRANKLIN FINANCIAL SERVICES CORP /PA/ Finance 0.25 $282M Neutral -0.03% -0.02% ·
32 FSUNFIRSTSUN CAPITAL BANCORP Finance 0.03 $1.8B Neutral -0.03% -0.03% ·
33 HKHCHorizon Kinetics Holding Corp Finance 0.00 $382M Neutral -0.03% -0.03% ▼ 1
34 ATLOAMES NATIONAL CORP Finance 0.01 $285M Neutral -0.04% -0.04% ·
35 SNEXStoneX Group Inc. Finance 0.18 $6.9B Neutral -0.04% -0.04% ▼ 1
36 CFFIC & F FINANCIAL CORP Finance 0.12 $332M Neutral -0.04% -0.05% ·
37 CZNCCITIZENS & NORTHERN CORP Finance 0.30 $457M Neutral -0.05% -0.07% ·
38 HWCHANCOCK WHITNEY CORP Finance 0.24 $5.9B Neutral -0.05% -0.07% ·
39 ORRFORRSTOWN FINANCIAL SERVICES INC Finance 0.17 $819M Neutral -0.05% -0.07% ·
40 HIPOHippo Holdings Inc. Finance 0.20 $931M Neutral -0.07% -0.11% ·
41 CNOBConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. Finance 0.08 $1.7B Neutral -0.08% -0.12% ·
42 HTBHomeTrust Bancshares, Inc. Finance 0.33 $786M Neutral -0.08% -0.13% ·
43 EGBNEAGLE BANCORP INC Finance 0.17 $864M Neutral -0.09% -0.14% ·
44 RKTRocket Companies, Inc. Finance 0.04 $30.4B Neutral -0.09% -0.14% ·
45 ELVElevance Health, Inc. Finance 0.40 $92.9B Neutral -0.09% -0.15% ·
46 RBCAAREPUBLIC BANCORP INC /KY/ Finance 0.09 $1.8B Neutral -0.09% -0.15% ·
47 WSBCWESBANCO INC Finance 0.07 $3.6B Neutral -0.09% -0.15% ·
48 STCSTEWART INFORMATION SERVICES CORP Finance 0.40 $1.6B Neutral -0.10% -0.16% ▼ 1
49 ALLALLSTATE CORP Finance 0.16 $62.7B Neutral -0.10% -0.17% ▼ 1
50 CCFNMUNCY COLUMBIA FINANCIAL Corp Finance 0.03 $324M Neutral -0.10% -0.17% ▼ 2
1–50 of 188 Previous Next
Since the previous run

Rating changes

▲ 290▼ 470
Which companies were upgraded or downgraded is part of the paid plans.
Next step

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Every company's rating, its 30- and 90-day forecasts, the forecast and IC-weighted rankings, the daily rating changes and CSV export.

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Methodology

Ratings are relative: the forecasts of the latest complete daily run (2026-10-16) are ranked and cut at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles, so Strong Sell is the bottom 15%, Sell the next 20%, Neutral the middle 30%, Buy the next 20% and Strong Buy the top 15%. Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. IC is the company's Spearman information coefficient between its past forecasts and the realised returns at the selected horizon; IC-weighted ranking multiplies each forecast by its IC (negative IC counts as zero). Δ is the rating move since the company's previous signal, in rating steps. Each company shows its latest signal, including one from a run still in progress; every signal is rated against the cut-offs above. Quantitative research output, not investment advice.