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Model output · Signal date 2026-11-06

Tfs Financial Corp (TFSL) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026

Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Unlock rating and forecasts
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage of 5150 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 25.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $4.61B mid-cap · #4 of 33 peers
Summary

Tfs Financial Corp (TFSL) stock forecast summary

Our AI scores Tfs Financial Corp every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

Tfs Financial Corp is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $4.61B. It ranks number 4 by market capitalization among the 33 Savings Institution, Federally Chartered issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For TFSL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 25.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -8.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, TFSL included.

Price

TFSL price chart and AI forecast

TFSL
Cross-section · 2026-11-06

How TFSL ranks among 5150 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Tfs Financial Corp (TFSL) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Savings Institution, Federally Chartered peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricTFSLIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $4.61B $209M 4/33
P/E Ratio 46.94x 15.12x 4/26
P/B Ratio 2.35x 1.04x 2/32
Dividend Yield 1.30% 2.49% 18/19
EPS $0.35 – –
Book Value/Share $6.98 – –
Revenue/Share $1.24 – –
FCF/Share $0.31 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricTFSLIndustry medianRank
ROE 5.2% 6.1% 18/30
ROA 0.6% 0.7% 18/30
Net Margin 29.4% 20.4% 8/30
EBT Margin 37.3% 26.5% 10/32
Tax Rate 21.2% – –

Financial Health

MetricTFSLIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 8.23x 8.46x 20/33
Financial Leverage 9.23x 9.42x 19/32

Cash Flow

MetricTFSLIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $98M $22M 6/33
Free Cash Flow $86M $21M 5/26
Capital Spending -$12M -$2M 22/26
OCF Growth YoY 180.7% 45.6% 5/29
FCF Growth YoY 247.6% 20.0% 3/21
FCF/Sales 24.9% 29.4% 17/25
CapEx/Sales 3.3% 2.0% 7/25

Operational Efficiency

MetricTFSLIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.02x 0.04x 25/30
Fixed Assets Turnover 7.6x 3.8x 7/28

Income Statement

MetricTFSLIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $347M $58M 4/30
Net Income $102M $12M 3/30

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricTFSLIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $0.21 – –
Payout Ratio 60.0% 40.5% 6/16
Shares Outstanding 280M – –
Net Income Growth 22.7% 20.5% 10/25
EPS Growth 20.7% 23.4% 16/27

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$569M3.1% of assets
Total Liabilities$16.12B89.2% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

TFSL quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Savings Institution, Federally Chartered

Tfs Financial Corp (TFSL) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Tfs Financial Corp (Savings Institution, Federally Chartered): 33 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
TFSL Tfs Financial Corp $4.61B 46.9x 2.4x
HSBC Hsbc Holdings Plc $308.17B 21.9x –
AX Axos Financial, Inc. $5.26B 10.5x 1.6x
EBC Eastern Bankshares, Inc. $5.22B 55.7x 1.2x
PFS Provident Financial Services Inc $2.99B 10.2x 1.1x
CFFN Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. $1.06B 14.8x 1.0x
HTB Hometrust Bancshares, Inc. $784M 42.7x 1.4x
KRNY Kearny Financial Corp. $585M 15.5x 0.8x
PDLB Ponce Financial Group, Inc. $525M 12.8x 0.9x
NRIM Northrim Bancorp Inc $523M 12.6x 1.5x
FMAO Farmers & Merchants Bancorp Inc $500M 10.0x 1.3x
WSBF Waterstone Financial, Inc. $357M 12.9x 1.0x
BCBP Bcb Bancorp Inc $282M – 1.2x
FNRN First Northern Community Bancorp $279M 13.4x 1.3x
WNEB Western New England Bancorp, Inc. $274M 15.0x 1.1x
CZWI Citizens Community Bancorp Inc. $226M 18.9x 1.2x
FCAP First Capital Inc $209M 9.6x 1.5x
FGBI First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. $195M – 0.9x
FNWD Finward Bancorp $188M 23.4x 1.1x
BVFL Bv Financial, Inc. $185M 14.0x 1.0x
MGYR Magyar Bancorp, Inc. $142M 13.3x 1.1x
RVSB Riverview Bancorp Inc $122M – 0.8x
SFBC Sound Financial Bancorp, Inc. $116M 15.2x 1.0x
PROV Provident Financial Holdings Inc $113M 17.7x 0.9x
BYFC Broadway Financial Corp \De\ $107M – 4.2x
FDSB Fifth District Bancorp, Inc. $93M 65.4x 0.7x
CPBI Central Plains Bancshares, Inc. $86M 17.5x 1.0x
CLST Catalyst Bancorp, Inc. $72M 32.0x 0.9x
HFBL Home Federal Bancorp, Inc. Of Louisiana $68M 11.1x 1.2x
KFFB Kentucky First Federal Bancorp $45M 50.8x 0.9x
MGNO Magnolia Bancorp, Inc. $12M – 0.6x
CARV Carver Bancorp Inc $10M – 0.3x
MFBI Monroe Federal Bancorp, Inc. $7M – 0.6x

Where TFSL sits on the market map

Finance · Savings Institution, Federally Chartered
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News

Tfs Financial Corp (TFSL) stock news

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FAQ

Tfs Financial Corp (TFSL) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Tfs Financial Corp (TFSL) stock forecast?

Our AI scores Tfs Financial Corp every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

How accurate are Tfs Financial Corp stock predictions?

For TFSL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 25.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -8.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Tfs Financial Corp forecasts updated?

Tfs Financial Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.

Which companies are Tfs Financial Corp's industry peers?

33 issuers in our coverage, TFSL included, share the SEC industry code Savings Institution, Federally Chartered. The largest are: Hsbc Holdings Plc (HSBC), Axos Financial, Inc. (AX), Eastern Bankshares, Inc. (EBC), Provident Financial Services Inc (PFS), Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. (CFFN), Hometrust Bancshares, Inc. (HTB).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.