First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. (FGBI) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026
Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. (FGBI) stock forecast summary
Our AI scores First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $195M. It ranks number 18 by market capitalization among the 33 Savings Institution, Federally Chartered issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its Dividend Yield of 0.32% is the lowest of the 19 peers that report one.
For FGBI, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 20.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 11.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, FGBI included.
FGBI price chart and AI forecast
How FGBI ranks among 5150 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. (FGBI) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Savings Institution, Federally Chartered peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | FGBI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $195M | 18/33 |
| P/B Ratio | 0.86x | 26/32 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.32% | 19/19 |
| Book Value/Share | $13.75 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $2.28 | – |
| FCF/Share | $2.33 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | FGBI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | -16.0% | 28/30 |
| ROA | -0.9% | 28/30 |
| Net Margin | -96.5% | 29/30 |
| EBT Margin | -114.6% | 31/32 |
| Tax Rate | 15.8% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | FGBI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 16.13x | 2/33 |
| Financial Leverage | 17.13x | 2/32 |
| Interest Coverage | -2.3x | – |
Cash Flow
| Metric | FGBI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $55M | 10/33 |
| Free Cash Flow | $38M | 11/26 |
| Capital Spending | -$16M | 23/26 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 400.0% | 2/29 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 274.8% | 2/21 |
| FCF/Sales | 102.1% | 2/25 |
| CapEx/Sales | 42.5% | 1/25 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | FGBI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.01x | 29/30 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 0.5x | 28/28 |
Income Statement
| Metric | FGBI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $38M | 23/30 |
| Net Income | -$36M | 29/30 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | FGBI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $0.04 | – |
| Shares Outstanding | 17M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $781M | 20.1% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $3.67B | 94.2% of assets |
FGBI quarterly financials and insider trading
First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. (FGBI) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. (Savings Institution, Federally Chartered): 33 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| FGBI First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. | $195M | |
| HSBC Hsbc Holdings Plc | $308.17B | |
| AX Axos Financial, Inc. | $5.26B | |
| EBC Eastern Bankshares, Inc. | $5.22B | |
| TFSL Tfs Financial Corp | $4.61B | |
| PFS Provident Financial Services Inc | $2.99B | |
| CFFN Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. | $1.06B | |
| HTB Hometrust Bancshares, Inc. | $784M | |
| KRNY Kearny Financial Corp. | $585M | |
| PDLB Ponce Financial Group, Inc. | $525M | |
| NRIM Northrim Bancorp Inc | $524M | |
| FMAO Farmers & Merchants Bancorp Inc | $500M | |
| WSBF Waterstone Financial, Inc. | $357M | |
| BCBP Bcb Bancorp Inc | $282M | |
| FNRN First Northern Community Bancorp | $279M | |
| WNEB Western New England Bancorp, Inc. | $274M | |
| CZWI Citizens Community Bancorp Inc. | $226M | |
| FCAP First Capital Inc | $209M | |
| FNWD Finward Bancorp | $188M | |
| BVFL Bv Financial, Inc. | $185M | |
| MGYR Magyar Bancorp, Inc. | $142M | |
| RVSB Riverview Bancorp Inc | $122M | |
| SFBC Sound Financial Bancorp, Inc. | $116M | |
| PROV Provident Financial Holdings Inc | $113M | |
| BYFC Broadway Financial Corp \De\ | $107M | |
| FDSB Fifth District Bancorp, Inc. | $93M | |
| CPBI Central Plains Bancshares, Inc. | $86M | |
| CLST Catalyst Bancorp, Inc. | $72M | |
| HFBL Home Federal Bancorp, Inc. Of Louisiana | $68M | |
| KFFB Kentucky First Federal Bancorp | $45M | |
| MGNO Magnolia Bancorp, Inc. | $12M | |
| CARV Carver Bancorp Inc | $10M | |
| MFBI Monroe Federal Bancorp, Inc. | $7M |
Where FGBI sits on the market map
First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. (FGBI) stock news
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First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. (FGBI) stock forecast FAQ
What is the First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. (FGBI) stock forecast?
Our AI scores First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
How accurate are First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. stock predictions?
For FGBI, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 20.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 11.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. forecasts updated?
First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.
Which companies are First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc.'s industry peers?
33 issuers in our coverage, FGBI included, share the SEC industry code Savings Institution, Federally Chartered. The largest are: Hsbc Holdings Plc (HSBC), Axos Financial, Inc. (AX), Eastern Bankshares, Inc. (EBC), Tfs Financial Corp (TFSL), Provident Financial Services Inc (PFS), Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. (CFFN).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.