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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

First Capital Inc (FCAP) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Neutral Alpha
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5171 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 1.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $205M small-cap · #17 of 34 peers
Summary

First Capital Inc (FCAP) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 16, 2026, FCAP is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.

First Capital Inc is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $205M. It ranks number 17 by market capitalization among the 34 Savings Institution, Federally Chartered issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/E Ratio of 9.44x is the lowest of the 26 peers that report one.

For FCAP, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 1.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -22.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

FCAP price chart and AI forecast

FCAP
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How FCAP ranks among 5171 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

First Capital Inc (FCAP) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Savings Institution, Federally Chartered peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricFCAPIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $205M $194M 17/34
P/E Ratio 9.44x 15.11x 26/26
P/B Ratio 1.44x 1.01x 5/33
Dividend Yield 2.04% 2.54% 14/19
EPS $6.49 – –
Book Value/Share $42.61 – –
Revenue/Share $15.92 – –
FCF/Share $6.49 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricFCAPIndustry medianRank
ROE 12.9% 6.0% 3/31
ROA 1.4% 0.7% 4/31
Operating Margin 33.9% – –
Net Margin 34.6% 20.8% 5/31
EBT Margin 42.7% 25.9% 6/33
Tax Rate 18.8% – –

Financial Health

MetricFCAPIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 8.05x 8.35x 20/34
Financial Leverage 9.05x 9.23x 19/33
Interest Coverage 0.5x – –

Cash Flow

MetricFCAPIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $24M $20M 15/34
Free Cash Flow $22M $20M 13/27
Capital Spending -$2M -$2M 16/27
OCF Growth YoY 20.3% 40.0% 18/30
FCF Growth YoY 15.1% 26.6% 14/22
FCF/Sales 40.8% 30.5% 8/26
CapEx/Sales 3.9% 1.8% 5/26

Operational Efficiency

MetricFCAPIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.04x 0.03x 6/31
Fixed Assets Turnover 3.5x 3.5x 14/28

Income Statement

MetricFCAPIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $53M $59M 18/31
Operating Income $18M – –
Net Income $18M $13M 13/31

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricFCAPIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $1.24 – –
Payout Ratio 19.1% 39.5% 16/16
Shares Outstanding 3M – –
Net Income Growth 40.1% 22.5% 6/24
EPS Growth 68.6% 23.9% 2/26

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$150M11.6% of assets
Total Liabilities$1.15B89.0% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

FCAP quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Savings Institution, Federally Chartered

First Capital Inc (FCAP) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as First Capital Inc (Savings Institution, Federally Chartered): 34 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
FCAP First Capital Inc ▶ $205M 9.4x 1.4x
HSBC Hsbc Holdings Plc ▼ $334.76B 23.8x –
AX Axos Financial, Inc. ▼ $5.00B 10.4x 1.6x
EBC Eastern Bankshares, Inc. ▼ $4.87B 14.3x 1.1x
TFSL Tfs Financial Corp ▶ $4.58B 46.7x 2.3x
PFS Provident Financial Services Inc ▼ $2.90B 9.7x 1.0x
CFFN Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. ▲ $1.03B 14.3x 1.0x
HTB Hometrust Bancshares, Inc. ▶ $786M 50.1x 1.3x
KRNY Kearny Financial Corp. ▼ $582M 15.7x 0.8x
NRIM Northrim Bancorp Inc ▲ $524M 9.7x 1.5x
PDLB Ponce Financial Group, Inc. ▲ $488M 15.5x 0.9x
FMAO Farmers & Merchants Bancorp Inc ▲ $486M 12.9x 1.3x
WSBF Waterstone Financial, Inc. ▲ $357M 12.9x 1.0x
FNRN First Northern Community Bancorp ▲ $275M 13.8x 1.3x
WNEB Western New England Bancorp, Inc. ▲ $272M 19.4x 1.1x
BCBP Bcb Bancorp Inc ▲ $250M – 0.9x
CZWI Citizens Community Bancorp Inc. ▲ $205M 17.1x 1.1x
BVFL Bv Financial, Inc. ▲ $184M 13.9x 1.0x
FNWD Finward Bancorp ▼ $181M 22.5x 1.0x
FGBI First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. ▲ $135M – 0.6x
MGYR Magyar Bancorp, Inc. ▶ $128M 12.1x 1.0x
RVSB Riverview Bancorp Inc ▲ $119M – 0.8x
PROV Provident Financial Holdings Inc ▶ $113M 17.6x 0.9x
SFBC Sound Financial Bancorp, Inc. ▲ $112M 14.7x 1.0x
BYFC Broadway Financial Corp \De\ ▶ $107M – 4.2x
FDSB Fifth District Bancorp, Inc. ▲ $88M 62.5x 0.7x
CPBI Central Plains Bancshares, Inc. ▲ $83M 16.8x 0.9x
NSTS Nsts Bancorp, Inc. ▼ $75M – 0.9x
HFBL Home Federal Bancorp, Inc. Of Louisiana ▲ $73M 11.9x 1.2x
CLST Catalyst Bancorp, Inc. ▶ $68M 29.9x 0.8x
KFFB Kentucky First Federal Bancorp ▲ $44M 49.2x 0.9x
MGNO Magnolia Bancorp, Inc. ▼ $12M – 0.6x
CARV Carver Bancorp Inc ▲ $9M – 0.3x
MFBI Monroe Federal Bancorp, Inc. ▼ $7M – 0.6x

Where FCAP sits on the market map

Finance · Savings Institution, Federally Chartered
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News

First Capital Inc (FCAP) stock news

source: streetinsider

CORYDON, Ind., April 24, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- First Capital, Inc. (the “Company”) (NASDAQ: FCAP), the holding company for First Harrison Bank (the “Bank”), today reported net income of $4.3 ...

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FAQ

First Capital Inc (FCAP) stock forecast FAQ

What is the First Capital Inc (FCAP) stock forecast?

On Oct. 16, 2026, FCAP is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are First Capital Inc stock predictions?

For FCAP, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 1.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -22.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are First Capital Inc forecasts updated?

First Capital Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are First Capital Inc's industry peers?

34 issuers in our coverage, FCAP included, share the SEC industry code Savings Institution, Federally Chartered. The largest are: Hsbc Holdings Plc (HSBC), Axos Financial, Inc. (AX), Eastern Bankshares, Inc. (EBC), Tfs Financial Corp (TFSL), Provident Financial Services Inc (PFS), Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. (CFFN).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.