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Model output · Signal date 2026-11-06

Sound Financial Bancorp, Inc. (SFBC) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026

Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Unlock rating and forecasts
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage of 5150 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 13.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $116M small-cap · #23 of 33 peers
Summary

Sound Financial Bancorp, Inc. (SFBC) stock forecast summary

Our AI scores Sound Financial Bancorp, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

Sound Financial Bancorp, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $116M. It ranks number 23 by market capitalization among the 33 Savings Institution, Federally Chartered issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For SFBC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 13.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 11.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, SFBC included.

Price

SFBC price chart and AI forecast

SFBC
Cross-section · 2026-11-06

How SFBC ranks among 5150 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Sound Financial Bancorp, Inc. (SFBC) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Savings Institution, Federally Chartered peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricSFBCIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $116M $209M 23/33
P/E Ratio 15.21x 15.12x 13/26
P/B Ratio 1.03x 1.04x 18/32
Dividend Yield 1.77% 2.49% 15/19
EPS $2.96 – –
Book Value/Share $43.83 – –
Revenue/Share $15.68 – –
FCF/Share $2.86 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricSFBCIndustry medianRank
ROE 7.1% 6.1% 13/30
ROA 0.8% 0.7% 14/30
Net Margin 19.9% 20.4% 17/30
EBT Margin 24.2% 26.5% 20/32
Tax Rate 17.6% – –

Financial Health

MetricSFBCIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 8.47x 8.38x 15/33
Financial Leverage 9.47x 9.34x 14/32

Cash Flow

MetricSFBCIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $8M $22M 25/33
Free Cash Flow $7M $21M 21/26
Capital Spending -$200K -$2M 4/26
OCF Growth YoY 57.4% 36.5% 13/29
FCF Growth YoY 57.5% 18.3% 9/21
FCF/Sales 18.2% 29.4% 22/25
CapEx/Sales 0.5% 2.0% 23/25

Operational Efficiency

MetricSFBCIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.04x 0.04x 6/30
Fixed Assets Turnover 9.8x 3.8x 3/28

Income Statement

MetricSFBCIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $40M $58M 22/30
Net Income $8M $12M 18/30
SG&A Expense $6M – –

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricSFBCIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $0.80 – –
Payout Ratio 27.0% 40.5% 14/16
Shares Outstanding 3M – –
Net Income Growth 27.6% 20.5% 9/25
EPS Growth 29.8% 23.4% 10/27

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$120M11.3% of assets
Total Liabilities$953M89.5% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

SFBC quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Savings Institution, Federally Chartered

Sound Financial Bancorp, Inc. (SFBC) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Sound Financial Bancorp, Inc. (Savings Institution, Federally Chartered): 33 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
SFBC Sound Financial Bancorp, Inc. $116M 15.2x 1.0x
HSBC Hsbc Holdings Plc $311.71B 22.2x –
AX Axos Financial, Inc. $5.26B 10.5x 1.6x
EBC Eastern Bankshares, Inc. $5.22B 55.7x 1.2x
TFSL Tfs Financial Corp $4.61B 46.9x 2.4x
PFS Provident Financial Services Inc $2.99B 10.2x 1.1x
CFFN Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. $1.06B 14.8x 1.0x
HTB Hometrust Bancshares, Inc. $784M 42.7x 1.4x
KRNY Kearny Financial Corp. $586M 15.6x 0.8x
PDLB Ponce Financial Group, Inc. $525M 12.8x 0.9x
NRIM Northrim Bancorp Inc $524M 12.7x 1.5x
FMAO Farmers & Merchants Bancorp Inc $500M 10.1x 1.3x
WSBF Waterstone Financial, Inc. $357M 12.9x 1.0x
FNRN First Northern Community Bancorp $293M 14.8x 1.4x
BCBP Bcb Bancorp Inc $282M – 1.2x
WNEB Western New England Bancorp, Inc. $274M 15.0x 1.1x
CZWI Citizens Community Bancorp Inc. $226M 18.9x 1.2x
FCAP First Capital Inc $209M 9.6x 1.5x
FGBI First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. $195M – 0.9x
FNWD Finward Bancorp $188M 23.4x 1.1x
BVFL Bv Financial, Inc. $185M 14.0x 1.0x
MGYR Magyar Bancorp, Inc. $142M 13.3x 1.1x
RVSB Riverview Bancorp Inc $122M – 0.8x
PROV Provident Financial Holdings Inc $113M 17.7x 0.9x
BYFC Broadway Financial Corp \De\ $107M – 4.2x
FDSB Fifth District Bancorp, Inc. $93M 65.4x 0.7x
CPBI Central Plains Bancshares, Inc. $86M 17.5x 1.0x
CLST Catalyst Bancorp, Inc. $72M 32.0x 0.9x
HFBL Home Federal Bancorp, Inc. Of Louisiana $68M 11.1x 1.2x
KFFB Kentucky First Federal Bancorp $45M 50.8x 0.9x
MGNO Magnolia Bancorp, Inc. $12M – 0.6x
CARV Carver Bancorp Inc $10M – 0.3x
MFBI Monroe Federal Bancorp, Inc. $7M – 0.6x

Where SFBC sits on the market map

Finance · Savings Institution, Federally Chartered
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News

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FAQ

Sound Financial Bancorp, Inc. (SFBC) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Sound Financial Bancorp, Inc. (SFBC) stock forecast?

Our AI scores Sound Financial Bancorp, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

How accurate are Sound Financial Bancorp, Inc. stock predictions?

For SFBC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 13.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 11.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Sound Financial Bancorp, Inc. forecasts updated?

Sound Financial Bancorp, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.

Which companies are Sound Financial Bancorp, Inc.'s industry peers?

33 issuers in our coverage, SFBC included, share the SEC industry code Savings Institution, Federally Chartered. The largest are: Hsbc Holdings Plc (HSBC), Axos Financial, Inc. (AX), Eastern Bankshares, Inc. (EBC), Tfs Financial Corp (TFSL), Provident Financial Services Inc (PFS), Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. (CFFN).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.