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Model output · Signal date 2026-11-06

Farmers & Merchants Bancorp Inc (FMAO) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026

Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Unlock rating and forecasts
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage of 5150 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D -23.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $500M small-cap · #11 of 33 peers
Summary

Farmers & Merchants Bancorp Inc (FMAO) stock forecast summary

Our AI scores Farmers & Merchants Bancorp Inc every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

Farmers & Merchants Bancorp Inc is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $500M. It ranks number 11 by market capitalization among the 33 Savings Institution, Federally Chartered issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For FMAO, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -23.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -3.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, FMAO included.

Price

FMAO price chart and AI forecast

FMAO
Cross-section · 2026-11-06

How FMAO ranks among 5150 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-09-30

Farmers & Merchants Bancorp Inc (FMAO) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Savings Institution, Federally Chartered peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricFMAOIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $500M $209M 11/33
P/E Ratio 10.04x 15.12x 25/26
P/B Ratio 1.29x 1.04x 8/32
Dividend Yield 2.49% 2.49% 10/19
EPS $3.62 – –
Book Value/Share $28.12 – –
Revenue/Share $9.63 – –
FCF/Share $3.30 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricFMAOIndustry medianRank
ROE 11.0% 6.1% 4/30
ROA 1.2% 0.7% 8/30
Net Margin 32.2% 20.4% 6/30
EBT Margin 40.9% 26.5% 7/32
Tax Rate 21.1% – –

Financial Health

MetricFMAOIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 8.30x 8.46x 19/33
Financial Leverage 9.30x 9.42x 18/32

Cash Flow

MetricFMAOIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $47M $22M 11/33
Free Cash Flow $45M $21M 9/26
Capital Spending -$1M -$2M 13/26
OCF Growth YoY 80.3% 45.6% 10/29
FCF Growth YoY 92.2% 20.0% 8/21
FCF/Sales 34.3% 29.4% 7/25
CapEx/Sales 1.0% 2.0% 20/25

Operational Efficiency

MetricFMAOIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.04x 0.04x 6/30
Fixed Assets Turnover 4.5x 3.8x 11/28

Income Statement

MetricFMAOIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $132M $58M 9/30
Net Income $43M $12M 7/30
SG&A Expense $6M – –

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricFMAOIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $0.91 – –
Payout Ratio 25.1% 40.5% 15/16
Shares Outstanding 14M – –
Net Income Growth 33.9% 20.5% 6/25
EPS Growth 38.2% 23.4% 8/27

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$205M5.7% of assets
Total Liabilities$3.21B89.2% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

FMAO quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Savings Institution, Federally Chartered

Farmers & Merchants Bancorp Inc (FMAO) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Farmers & Merchants Bancorp Inc (Savings Institution, Federally Chartered): 33 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
FMAO Farmers & Merchants Bancorp Inc $500M 10.0x 1.3x
HSBC Hsbc Holdings Plc $308.17B 21.9x –
AX Axos Financial, Inc. $5.26B 10.5x 1.6x
EBC Eastern Bankshares, Inc. $5.22B 55.7x 1.2x
TFSL Tfs Financial Corp $4.61B 46.9x 2.4x
PFS Provident Financial Services Inc $2.99B 10.2x 1.1x
CFFN Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. $1.06B 14.8x 1.0x
HTB Hometrust Bancshares, Inc. $784M 42.7x 1.4x
KRNY Kearny Financial Corp. $585M 15.5x 0.8x
PDLB Ponce Financial Group, Inc. $525M 12.8x 0.9x
NRIM Northrim Bancorp Inc $524M 12.7x 1.5x
WSBF Waterstone Financial, Inc. $357M 12.9x 1.0x
BCBP Bcb Bancorp Inc $282M – 1.2x
FNRN First Northern Community Bancorp $279M 13.4x 1.3x
WNEB Western New England Bancorp, Inc. $274M 15.0x 1.1x
CZWI Citizens Community Bancorp Inc. $226M 18.9x 1.2x
FCAP First Capital Inc $209M 9.6x 1.5x
FGBI First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. $195M – 0.9x
FNWD Finward Bancorp $188M 23.4x 1.1x
BVFL Bv Financial, Inc. $185M 14.0x 1.0x
MGYR Magyar Bancorp, Inc. $142M 13.3x 1.1x
RVSB Riverview Bancorp Inc $122M – 0.8x
SFBC Sound Financial Bancorp, Inc. $116M 15.2x 1.0x
PROV Provident Financial Holdings Inc $113M 17.7x 0.9x
BYFC Broadway Financial Corp \De\ $107M – 4.2x
FDSB Fifth District Bancorp, Inc. $93M 65.4x 0.7x
CPBI Central Plains Bancshares, Inc. $86M 17.5x 1.0x
CLST Catalyst Bancorp, Inc. $72M 32.0x 0.9x
HFBL Home Federal Bancorp, Inc. Of Louisiana $68M 11.1x 1.2x
KFFB Kentucky First Federal Bancorp $45M 50.8x 0.9x
MGNO Magnolia Bancorp, Inc. $12M – 0.6x
CARV Carver Bancorp Inc $10M – 0.3x
MFBI Monroe Federal Bancorp, Inc. $7M – 0.6x

Where FMAO sits on the market map

Finance · Savings Institution, Federally Chartered
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News

Farmers & Merchants Bancorp Inc (FMAO) stock news

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FAQ

Farmers & Merchants Bancorp Inc (FMAO) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Farmers & Merchants Bancorp Inc (FMAO) stock forecast?

Our AI scores Farmers & Merchants Bancorp Inc every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

How accurate are Farmers & Merchants Bancorp Inc stock predictions?

For FMAO, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -23.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -3.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Farmers & Merchants Bancorp Inc forecasts updated?

Farmers & Merchants Bancorp Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.

Which companies are Farmers & Merchants Bancorp Inc's industry peers?

33 issuers in our coverage, FMAO included, share the SEC industry code Savings Institution, Federally Chartered. The largest are: Hsbc Holdings Plc (HSBC), Axos Financial, Inc. (AX), Eastern Bankshares, Inc. (EBC), Tfs Financial Corp (TFSL), Provident Financial Services Inc (PFS), Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. (CFFN).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.