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Model output · Signal date 2026-11-06

Ponce Financial Group, Inc. (PDLB) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026

Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Unlock rating and forecasts
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage of 5150 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D -29.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $525M small-cap · #9 of 33 peers
Summary

Ponce Financial Group, Inc. (PDLB) stock forecast summary

Our AI scores Ponce Financial Group, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

Ponce Financial Group, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $525M. It ranks number 9 by market capitalization among the 33 Savings Institution, Federally Chartered issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its Net Margin of 37.9% is the highest of the 30 peers that report one.

For PDLB, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -29.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -25.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, PDLB included.

Price

PDLB price chart and AI forecast

PDLB
Cross-section · 2026-11-06

How PDLB ranks among 5150 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-09-30

Ponce Financial Group, Inc. (PDLB) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Savings Institution, Federally Chartered peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricPDLBIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $525M $209M 9/33
P/E Ratio 12.84x 15.12x 20/26
P/B Ratio 0.91x 1.04x 22/32
EPS $1.69 – –
Book Value/Share $23.91 – –
Revenue/Share $4.96 – –
FCF/Share $2.90 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricPDLBIndustry medianRank
ROE 7.9% 6.1% 12/30
ROA 1.2% 0.7% 6/30
Net Margin 37.9% 20.4% 1/30
EBT Margin 40.6% 26.5% 8/32
Tax Rate 6.7% – –

Financial Health

MetricPDLBIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 5.38x 8.38x 28/33
Financial Leverage 6.38x 9.34x 27/32

Cash Flow

MetricPDLBIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $70M $22M 9/33
Free Cash Flow $70M $21M 8/26
Capital Spending -$60K -$2M 2/26
OCF Growth YoY 61.5% 36.5% 12/29
FCF Growth YoY 67.1% 18.3% 8/21
FCF/Sales 58.5% 29.4% 3/25
CapEx/Sales 0.1% 2.0% 24/25

Operational Efficiency

MetricPDLBIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.03x 0.04x 16/30
Fixed Assets Turnover 11.0x 3.8x 2/28

Income Statement

MetricPDLBIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $120M $58M 10/30
Net Income $46M $12M 6/30

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricPDLBIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 24M – –
Net Income Growth 111.6% 20.5% 1/25
EPS Growth 168.2% 23.4% 1/27

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$132M3.6% of assets
Total Liabilities$3.11B84.3% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

PDLB quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Savings Institution, Federally Chartered

Ponce Financial Group, Inc. (PDLB) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Ponce Financial Group, Inc. (Savings Institution, Federally Chartered): 33 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
PDLB Ponce Financial Group, Inc. $525M 12.8x 0.9x
HSBC Hsbc Holdings Plc $311.71B 22.2x –
AX Axos Financial, Inc. $5.26B 10.5x 1.6x
EBC Eastern Bankshares, Inc. $5.22B 55.7x 1.2x
TFSL Tfs Financial Corp $4.61B 46.9x 2.4x
PFS Provident Financial Services Inc $2.99B 10.2x 1.1x
CFFN Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. $1.06B 14.8x 1.0x
HTB Hometrust Bancshares, Inc. $784M 42.7x 1.4x
KRNY Kearny Financial Corp. $586M 15.6x 0.8x
NRIM Northrim Bancorp Inc $524M 12.7x 1.5x
FMAO Farmers & Merchants Bancorp Inc $500M 10.1x 1.3x
WSBF Waterstone Financial, Inc. $357M 12.9x 1.0x
FNRN First Northern Community Bancorp $293M 14.8x 1.4x
BCBP Bcb Bancorp Inc $282M – 1.2x
WNEB Western New England Bancorp, Inc. $274M 15.0x 1.1x
CZWI Citizens Community Bancorp Inc. $226M 18.9x 1.2x
FCAP First Capital Inc $209M 9.6x 1.5x
FGBI First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. $195M – 0.9x
FNWD Finward Bancorp $188M 23.4x 1.1x
BVFL Bv Financial, Inc. $185M 14.0x 1.0x
MGYR Magyar Bancorp, Inc. $142M 13.3x 1.1x
RVSB Riverview Bancorp Inc $122M – 0.8x
SFBC Sound Financial Bancorp, Inc. $116M 15.2x 1.0x
PROV Provident Financial Holdings Inc $113M 17.7x 0.9x
BYFC Broadway Financial Corp \De\ $107M – 4.2x
FDSB Fifth District Bancorp, Inc. $93M 65.4x 0.7x
CPBI Central Plains Bancshares, Inc. $86M 17.5x 1.0x
CLST Catalyst Bancorp, Inc. $72M 32.0x 0.9x
HFBL Home Federal Bancorp, Inc. Of Louisiana $68M 11.1x 1.2x
KFFB Kentucky First Federal Bancorp $45M 50.8x 0.9x
MGNO Magnolia Bancorp, Inc. $12M – 0.6x
CARV Carver Bancorp Inc $10M – 0.3x
MFBI Monroe Federal Bancorp, Inc. $7M – 0.6x

Where PDLB sits on the market map

Finance · Savings Institution, Federally Chartered
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News

Ponce Financial Group, Inc. (PDLB) stock news

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FAQ

Ponce Financial Group, Inc. (PDLB) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Ponce Financial Group, Inc. (PDLB) stock forecast?

Our AI scores Ponce Financial Group, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

How accurate are Ponce Financial Group, Inc. stock predictions?

For PDLB, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -29.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -25.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Ponce Financial Group, Inc. forecasts updated?

Ponce Financial Group, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.

Which companies are Ponce Financial Group, Inc.'s industry peers?

33 issuers in our coverage, PDLB included, share the SEC industry code Savings Institution, Federally Chartered. The largest are: Hsbc Holdings Plc (HSBC), Axos Financial, Inc. (AX), Eastern Bankshares, Inc. (EBC), Tfs Financial Corp (TFSL), Provident Financial Services Inc (PFS), Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. (CFFN).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.