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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Fifth District Bancorp, Inc. (FDSB) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5171 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D -52.0% Spearman, 237 dates
Market Cap $88M small-cap · #26 of 34 peers
Summary

Fifth District Bancorp, Inc. (FDSB) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Fifth District Bancorp, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Fifth District Bancorp, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $88M. It ranks number 26 by market capitalization among the 34 Savings Institution, Federally Chartered issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/E Ratio of 62.50x is the highest of the 26 peers that report one.

For FDSB, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -52.0%, measured on 237 forecast dates between 2024-11-15 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -19.0%, measured on 280 forecast dates between 2024-11-15 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, FDSB included.

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Price

FDSB price chart and AI forecast

FDSB
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How FDSB ranks among 5171 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Fifth District Bancorp, Inc. (FDSB) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Savings Institution, Federally Chartered peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricFDSBIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $88M $194M 26/34
P/E Ratio 62.50x 15.03x 1/26
P/B Ratio 0.69x 1.01x 29/33
EPS $0.27 – –
Book Value/Share $24.64 – –
Revenue/Share $3.46 – –
FCF/Share $0.24 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricFDSBIndustry medianRank
ROE 1.3% 6.0% 25/31
ROA 0.3% 0.7% 25/31
Net Margin 9.1% 20.8% 25/31
EBT Margin 11.2% 25.9% 25/33
Tax Rate 18.3% – –

Financial Health

MetricFDSBIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 3.12x 8.35x 31/34
Financial Leverage 4.12x 9.23x 30/33

Cash Flow

MetricFDSBIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $2M $20M 30/34
Free Cash Flow $1M $20M 26/27
Capital Spending -$710K -$2M 9/27
OCF Growth YoY 45.6% 40.0% 15/30
FCF Growth YoY 18.3% 26.6% 13/22
FCF/Sales 7.0% 30.5% 25/26
CapEx/Sales 3.9% 1.8% 4/26

Operational Efficiency

MetricFDSBIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.03x 0.03x 16/31
Fixed Assets Turnover 1.5x 3.5x 23/28

Income Statement

MetricFDSBIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $18M $59M 27/31
Net Income $2M $13M 24/31

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricFDSBIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 5M – –
Net Income Growth -35.7% 22.5% 23/24
EPS Growth -32.5% 23.9% 24/26

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$19M3.6% of assets
Total Liabilities$403M75.9% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

FDSB quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Savings Institution, Federally Chartered

Fifth District Bancorp, Inc. (FDSB) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Fifth District Bancorp, Inc. (Savings Institution, Federally Chartered): 34 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
FDSB Fifth District Bancorp, Inc. ▲ $88M 62.5x 0.7x
HSBC Hsbc Holdings Plc ▼ $334.76B 23.8x –
AX Axos Financial, Inc. ▼ $5.00B 10.4x 1.6x
EBC Eastern Bankshares, Inc. ▼ $4.87B 14.3x 1.1x
TFSL Tfs Financial Corp ▶ $4.58B 46.7x 2.3x
PFS Provident Financial Services Inc ▼ $2.90B 9.8x 1.0x
CFFN Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. ▲ $1.03B 14.3x 1.0x
HTB Hometrust Bancshares, Inc. ▶ $786M 50.1x 1.3x
KRNY Kearny Financial Corp. ▼ $582M 15.7x 0.8x
NRIM Northrim Bancorp Inc ▲ $524M 9.7x 1.5x
PDLB Ponce Financial Group, Inc. ▲ $487M 15.5x 0.9x
FMAO Farmers & Merchants Bancorp Inc ▲ $486M 12.9x 1.3x
WSBF Waterstone Financial, Inc. ▲ $358M 12.9x 1.0x
FNRN First Northern Community Bancorp ▲ $275M 13.8x 1.3x
WNEB Western New England Bancorp, Inc. ▲ $272M 19.4x 1.1x
BCBP Bcb Bancorp Inc ▲ $250M – 0.9x
CZWI Citizens Community Bancorp Inc. ▲ $205M 17.1x 1.1x
FCAP First Capital Inc ▶ $205M 9.4x 1.4x
BVFL Bv Financial, Inc. ▲ $184M 13.9x 1.0x
FNWD Finward Bancorp ▼ $181M 22.5x 1.0x
FGBI First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. ▲ $135M – 0.6x
MGYR Magyar Bancorp, Inc. ▶ $128M 12.1x 1.0x
RVSB Riverview Bancorp Inc ▶ $119M – 0.8x
PROV Provident Financial Holdings Inc ▶ $113M 17.6x 0.9x
SFBC Sound Financial Bancorp, Inc. ▲ $111M 14.6x 1.0x
BYFC Broadway Financial Corp \De\ ▶ $107M – 4.2x
CPBI Central Plains Bancshares, Inc. ▲ $83M 16.8x 0.9x
NSTS Nsts Bancorp, Inc. ▼ $75M – 0.9x
HFBL Home Federal Bancorp, Inc. Of Louisiana ▲ $73M 11.9x 1.2x
CLST Catalyst Bancorp, Inc. ▶ $68M 29.9x 0.8x
KFFB Kentucky First Federal Bancorp ▲ $44M 49.2x 0.9x
MGNO Magnolia Bancorp, Inc. ▼ $12M – 0.6x
CARV Carver Bancorp Inc ▲ $9M – 0.3x
MFBI Monroe Federal Bancorp, Inc. ▼ $7M – 0.6x

Where FDSB sits on the market map

Finance · Savings Institution, Federally Chartered
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News

Fifth District Bancorp, Inc. (FDSB) stock news

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FAQ

Fifth District Bancorp, Inc. (FDSB) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Fifth District Bancorp, Inc. (FDSB) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Fifth District Bancorp, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Fifth District Bancorp, Inc. stock predictions?

For FDSB, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -52.0%, measured on 237 forecast dates between 2024-11-15 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -19.0%, measured on 280 forecast dates between 2024-11-15 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Fifth District Bancorp, Inc. forecasts updated?

Fifth District Bancorp, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Fifth District Bancorp, Inc.'s industry peers?

34 issuers in our coverage, FDSB included, share the SEC industry code Savings Institution, Federally Chartered. The largest are: Hsbc Holdings Plc (HSBC), Axos Financial, Inc. (AX), Eastern Bankshares, Inc. (EBC), Tfs Financial Corp (TFSL), Provident Financial Services Inc (PFS), Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. (CFFN).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.