Provident Financial Holdings Inc (PROV) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026
Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Provident Financial Holdings Inc (PROV) stock forecast summary
Our AI scores Provident Financial Holdings Inc every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
Provident Financial Holdings Inc is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $113M. It ranks number 24 by market capitalization among the 33 Savings Institution, Federally Chartered issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For PROV, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -7.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -5.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, PROV included.
PROV price chart and AI forecast
How PROV ranks among 5150 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Provident Financial Holdings Inc (PROV) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Savings Institution, Federally Chartered peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | PROV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $113M | 24/33 |
| P/E Ratio | 17.67x | 10/26 |
| P/B Ratio | 0.90x | 24/32 |
| Dividend Yield | 3.17% | 6/19 |
| EPS | $1.03 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $20.25 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $6.51 | – |
| FCF/Share | $1.37 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | PROV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 5.3% | 17/30 |
| ROA | 0.6% | 19/30 |
| Net Margin | 16.4% | 21/30 |
| EBT Margin | 23.7% | 21/32 |
| Tax Rate | 30.9% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | PROV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 8.57x | 13/33 |
| Financial Leverage | 9.57x | 12/32 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | PROV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $9M | 22/33 |
| Free Cash Flow | $9M | 20/26 |
| Capital Spending | -$430K | 7/26 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 3.3% | 22/29 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 4.7% | 14/21 |
| FCF/Sales | 21.0% | 20/25 |
| CapEx/Sales | 1.1% | 19/25 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | PROV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.03x | 16/30 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 4.4x | 12/28 |
Income Statement
| Metric | PROV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $41M | 21/30 |
| Net Income | $7M | 19/30 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | PROV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $0.58 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 56.3% | 7/16 |
| Shares Outstanding | 6M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 6.4% | 18/25 |
| EPS Growth | 10.8% | 19/27 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $49M | 4.1% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $1.08B | 89.6% of assets |
PROV quarterly financials and insider trading
Provident Financial Holdings Inc (PROV) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Provident Financial Holdings Inc (Savings Institution, Federally Chartered): 33 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| PROV Provident Financial Holdings Inc | $113M | |
| HSBC Hsbc Holdings Plc | $311.71B | |
| AX Axos Financial, Inc. | $5.26B | |
| EBC Eastern Bankshares, Inc. | $5.22B | |
| TFSL Tfs Financial Corp | $4.61B | |
| PFS Provident Financial Services Inc | $2.99B | |
| CFFN Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. | $1.06B | |
| HTB Hometrust Bancshares, Inc. | $784M | |
| KRNY Kearny Financial Corp. | $586M | |
| PDLB Ponce Financial Group, Inc. | $525M | |
| NRIM Northrim Bancorp Inc | $524M | |
| FMAO Farmers & Merchants Bancorp Inc | $500M | |
| WSBF Waterstone Financial, Inc. | $357M | |
| FNRN First Northern Community Bancorp | $293M | |
| BCBP Bcb Bancorp Inc | $282M | |
| WNEB Western New England Bancorp, Inc. | $274M | |
| CZWI Citizens Community Bancorp Inc. | $226M | |
| FCAP First Capital Inc | $209M | |
| FGBI First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. | $195M | |
| FNWD Finward Bancorp | $188M | |
| BVFL Bv Financial, Inc. | $185M | |
| MGYR Magyar Bancorp, Inc. | $142M | |
| RVSB Riverview Bancorp Inc | $122M | |
| SFBC Sound Financial Bancorp, Inc. | $116M | |
| BYFC Broadway Financial Corp \De\ | $107M | |
| FDSB Fifth District Bancorp, Inc. | $93M | |
| CPBI Central Plains Bancshares, Inc. | $86M | |
| CLST Catalyst Bancorp, Inc. | $72M | |
| HFBL Home Federal Bancorp, Inc. Of Louisiana | $68M | |
| KFFB Kentucky First Federal Bancorp | $45M | |
| MGNO Magnolia Bancorp, Inc. | $12M | |
| CARV Carver Bancorp Inc | $10M | |
| MFBI Monroe Federal Bancorp, Inc. | $7M |
Where PROV sits on the market map
Provident Financial Holdings Inc (PROV) stock news
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Provident Financial Holdings Inc (PROV) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Provident Financial Holdings Inc (PROV) stock forecast?
Our AI scores Provident Financial Holdings Inc every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
How accurate are Provident Financial Holdings Inc stock predictions?
For PROV, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -7.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -5.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Provident Financial Holdings Inc forecasts updated?
Provident Financial Holdings Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.
Which companies are Provident Financial Holdings Inc's industry peers?
33 issuers in our coverage, PROV included, share the SEC industry code Savings Institution, Federally Chartered. The largest are: Hsbc Holdings Plc (HSBC), Axos Financial, Inc. (AX), Eastern Bankshares, Inc. (EBC), Tfs Financial Corp (TFSL), Provident Financial Services Inc (PFS), Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. (CFFN).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.