Tfs Financial Corp (TFSL) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq
Tfs Financial Corp (TFSL) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, TFSL is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.
Tfs Financial Corp is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $4.58B. It ranks number 4 by market capitalization among the 34 Savings Institution, Federally Chartered issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For TFSL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 27.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -4.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.0%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How TFSL ranks among 5171 stocks
90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Tfs Financial Corp (TFSL) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Savings Institution, Federally Chartered peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | TFSL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $4.58B | 4/34 |
| P/E Ratio | 46.66x | 4/26 |
| P/B Ratio | 2.34x | 2/33 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.31% | 18/19 |
| EPS | $0.35 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $6.98 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $1.24 | – |
| FCF/Share | $0.31 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | TFSL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 5.2% | 19/31 |
| ROA | 0.6% | 19/31 |
| Net Margin | 29.4% | 10/31 |
| EBT Margin | 37.3% | 10/33 |
| Tax Rate | 21.2% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | TFSL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 8.23x | 18/34 |
| Financial Leverage | 9.23x | 17/33 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | TFSL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $98M | 7/34 |
| Free Cash Flow | $86M | 6/27 |
| Capital Spending | -$12M | 23/27 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 180.7% | 5/30 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 247.6% | 3/22 |
| FCF/Sales | 24.9% | 17/26 |
| CapEx/Sales | 3.3% | 7/26 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | TFSL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.02x | 26/31 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 7.6x | 7/28 |
Income Statement
| Metric | TFSL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $347M | 4/31 |
| Net Income | $102M | 4/31 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | TFSL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $0.21 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 60.0% | 5/16 |
| Shares Outstanding | 280M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 22.7% | 12/24 |
| EPS Growth | 20.7% | 16/26 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $569M | 3.1% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $16.12B | 89.2% of assets |
TFSL quarterly financials and insider trading
Tfs Financial Corp (TFSL) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Tfs Financial Corp (Savings Institution, Federally Chartered): 34 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| TFSL Tfs Financial Corp | ▶ | $4.58B |
| HSBC Hsbc Holdings Plc | ▼ | $334.76B |
| AX Axos Financial, Inc. | ▼ | $5.00B |
| EBC Eastern Bankshares, Inc. | ▼ | $4.87B |
| PFS Provident Financial Services Inc | ▼ | $2.90B |
| CFFN Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. | ▶ | $1.03B |
| HTB Hometrust Bancshares, Inc. | ▶ | $786M |
| KRNY Kearny Financial Corp. | ▼ | $582M |
| NRIM Northrim Bancorp Inc | ▲ | $524M |
| PDLB Ponce Financial Group, Inc. | ▶ | $487M |
| FMAO Farmers & Merchants Bancorp Inc | ▶ | $486M |
| WSBF Waterstone Financial, Inc. | ▶ | $358M |
| FNRN First Northern Community Bancorp | ▲ | $275M |
| WNEB Western New England Bancorp, Inc. | ▶ | $272M |
| BCBP Bcb Bancorp Inc | ▶ | $250M |
| CZWI Citizens Community Bancorp Inc. | ▶ | $205M |
| FCAP First Capital Inc | ▼ | $205M |
| BVFL Bv Financial, Inc. | ▶ | $184M |
| FNWD Finward Bancorp | ▼ | $181M |
| FGBI First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. | ▲ | $135M |
| MGYR Magyar Bancorp, Inc. | ▶ | $128M |
| RVSB Riverview Bancorp Inc | ▶ | $119M |
| PROV Provident Financial Holdings Inc | ▼ | $113M |
| SFBC Sound Financial Bancorp, Inc. | ▲ | $111M |
| BYFC Broadway Financial Corp \De\ | ▼ | $107M |
| FDSB Fifth District Bancorp, Inc. | ▶ | $88M |
| CPBI Central Plains Bancshares, Inc. | ▶ | $83M |
| NSTS Nsts Bancorp, Inc. | ▼ | $75M |
| HFBL Home Federal Bancorp, Inc. Of Louisiana | ▲ | $73M |
| CLST Catalyst Bancorp, Inc. | ▼ | $68M |
| KFFB Kentucky First Federal Bancorp | ▲ | $44M |
| MGNO Magnolia Bancorp, Inc. | ▼ | $12M |
| CARV Carver Bancorp Inc | ▲ | $9M |
| MFBI Monroe Federal Bancorp, Inc. | ▼ | $7M |
Where TFSL sits on the market map
Tfs Financial Corp (TFSL) stock news
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Tfs Financial Corp (TFSL) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Tfs Financial Corp (TFSL) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, TFSL is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Tfs Financial Corp stock predictions?
For TFSL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 27.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -4.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Tfs Financial Corp forecasts updated?
Tfs Financial Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Tfs Financial Corp's industry peers?
34 issuers in our coverage, TFSL included, share the SEC industry code Savings Institution, Federally Chartered. The largest are: Hsbc Holdings Plc (HSBC), Axos Financial, Inc. (AX), Eastern Bankshares, Inc. (EBC), Provident Financial Services Inc (PFS), Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. (CFFN), Hometrust Bancshares, Inc. (HTB).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.