Ames National: Q4 Earnings Snapshot
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Model output · Signal date 2026-11-06
Ames National Corp (ATLO) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026
Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Rating · 90D
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90-day forecast
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30-day forecast
Alpha
Rank in coverage
of 5150 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D
-4.0%
Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap
$300M
small-cap · #60 of 60 peers
Summary
Ames National Corp (ATLO) stock forecast summary
Our AI scores Ames National Corp every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
Ames National Corp is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $300M. It ranks number 60 by market capitalization among the 60 National Commercial Banks issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For ATLO, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -4.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 13.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, ATLO included.
Price
ATLO price chart and AI forecast
Cross-section · 2026-11-06
How ATLO ranks among 5150 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Fundamentals · 2026-09-30
Ames National Corp (ATLO) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the National Commercial Banks peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | ATLO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $300M | 60/60 |
| P/E Ratio | 12.79x | 23/59 |
| P/B Ratio | 1.46x | 17/59 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.71% | 30/53 |
| EPS | $2.65 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $23.23 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $8.71 | – |
| FCF/Share | $2.52 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | ATLO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 12.4% | 19/55 |
| ROA | 1.2% | 26/49 |
| Net Margin | 33.0% | 17/54 |
| EBT Margin | 42.5% | 20/59 |
| Tax Rate | 22.4% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | ATLO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 9.12x | 19/60 |
| Financial Leverage | 10.12x | 17/52 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | ATLO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $24M | 57/60 |
| Free Cash Flow | $22M | 42/43 |
| Capital Spending | -$2M | 3/43 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 23.1% | 27/55 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 15.4% | 25/42 |
| FCF/Sales | 28.9% | 29/43 |
| CapEx/Sales | 2.7% | 21/43 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | ATLO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.04x | 9/49 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 3.5x | 38/52 |
Income Statement
| Metric | ATLO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $77M | 55/57 |
| Net Income | $25M | 55/55 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | ATLO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $0.92 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 34.7% | 27/53 |
| Shares Outstanding | 9M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 58.8% | 9/54 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $75M | 3.6% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $1.88B | 90.1% of assets |
Quarterly Financial Reports
ATLO quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · National Commercial Banks
Ames National Corp (ATLO) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Ames National Corp (National Commercial Banks): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| ATLO Ames National Corp | $300M | |
| JPM Jpmorgan Chase & Co | $889.14B | |
| BAC Bank Of America Corp /De/ | $341.01B | |
| WFC Wells Fargo & Company/Mn | $254.56B | |
| C Citigroup Inc | $213.01B | |
| UBS Ubs Group Ag | $159.66B | |
| COF Capital One Financial Corp | $123.84B | |
| MFG Mizuho Financial Group Inc | $117.17B | |
| USB Us Bancorp \De\ | $92.63B | |
| PNC Pnc Financial Services Group, Inc. | $90.46B | |
| TFC Truist Financial Corp | $59.18B | |
| HBAN Huntington Bancshares Inc /Md/ | $31.18B | |
| RF Regions Financial Corp | $24.12B | |
| KEY Keycorp /New/ | $22.37B | |
| FHN First Horizon Corp | $10.92B | |
| UMBF Umb Financial Corp | $10.23B | |
| CFR Cullen/Frost Bankers, Inc. | $9.65B | |
| ZION Zions Bancorporation, National Association /Ut/ | $9.48B | |
| ONB Old National Bancorp /In/ | $9.43B | |
| BOKF Bok Financial Corp | $7.87B | |
| VLY Valley National Bancorp | $7.78B | |
| FNB Fnb Corp/Pa/ | $6.32B | |
| FULT Fulton Financial Corp | $4.54B | |
| WSFS Wsfs Financial Corp | $4.03B | |
| BANF Bancfirst Corp /Ok/ | $3.87B | |
| WSBC Wesbanco Inc | $3.70B | |
| NIC Nicolet Bankshares Inc | $3.60B | |
| FFBC First Financial Bancorp /Oh/ | $3.41B | |
| SFNC Simmons First National Corp | $3.36B | |
| PRK Park National Corp /Oh/ | $3.25B | |
| BANC Banc Of California, Inc. | $2.84B | |
| NBTB Nbt Bancorp Inc | $2.75B | |
| TRMK Trustmark Corp | $2.59B | |
| FRME First Merchants Corp | $2.56B | |
| NWBI Northwest Bancshares, Inc. | $2.24B | |
| WAFD Wafd Inc | $2.18B | |
| FCF First Commonwealth Financial Corp /Pa/ | $2.13B | |
| CHCO City Holding Co | $1.99B | |
| TBBK Bancorp, Inc. | $1.97B | |
| DCOM Dime Commercial Bancshares, Inc. /Ny/ | $1.85B | |
| FSUN Firstsun Capital Bancorp | $1.81B | |
| OCFC Oceanfirst Financial Corp | $1.75B | |
| HOPE Hope Bancorp Inc | $1.68B | |
| NBHC National Bank Holdings Corp | $1.66B | |
| BFC Bank First Corp | $1.64B | |
| CASH Pathward Financial, Inc. | $1.58B | |
| BHRB Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. | $1.41B | |
| WABC Westamerica Bancorporation | $1.38B | |
| AMTB Amerant Bancorp Inc. | $1.16B | |
| FMCB Farmers & Merchants Bancorp | $1.00B | |
| CAC Camden National Corp | $980M | |
| HAFC Hanmi Financial Corp | $969M | |
| ALRS Alerus Financial Corp | $842M | |
| SMBK Smartfinancial Inc. | $813M | |
| FISI Financial Institutions Inc | $783M | |
| SHBI Shore Bancshares Inc | $749M | |
| PFIS Peoples Financial Services Corp. | $723M | |
| BCAL California Bancorp \ Ca | $701M | |
| CBNK Capital Bancorp Inc | $691M | |
| CARE Carter Bankshares, Inc. | $636M |
Where ATLO sits on the market map
Finance · National Commercial Banks
News
Ames National Corp (ATLO) stock news
John Nelson
John Patrick Nelson has held leadership roles at Ames National Corp. since 1993, including President, Chief Executive Officer & Director starting in 2018. He has also served as President & Chief ...
Form 13F-HR AMES NATIONAL CORP For: Jun 30
The institutional investment manager filing this report and the person by whom it is signed hereby represent that the person signing the report is authorized to submit it, that all information ...
FAQ
Ames National Corp (ATLO) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Ames National Corp (ATLO) stock forecast?
Our AI scores Ames National Corp every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
How accurate are Ames National Corp stock predictions?
For ATLO, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -4.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 13.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Ames National Corp forecasts updated?
Ames National Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.
Which companies are Ames National Corp's industry peers?
60 issuers in our coverage, ATLO included, share the SEC industry code National Commercial Banks. The largest are: Jpmorgan Chase & Co (JPM), Bank Of America Corp /De/ (BAC), Wells Fargo & Company/Mn (WFC), Citigroup Inc (C), Ubs Group Ag (UBS), Capital One Financial Corp (COF).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.