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Model output · Signal date Oct. 16, 2026

Daily SignalsNeutral

2758 companies scored · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · 30D 90D

Signal date 2026-10-16 Cut-offs from the 2026-10-16 run
Companies scored 2758 IC ≥ 0 · market cap ≥ $100M
Median forecast -0.22% Alpha · 30D
Long–short spread +2.40% Strong Buy minus Strong Sell, mean
Median IC 0.17 Spearman · 30D
Rating changes ▲ 543 ▼ 484 vs the previous run
Cross-section

Distribution of the day's forecasts

30D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Signals · Neutral

192 companies

Sorted by 30D forecast ↓

# Ticker Sector IC Mkt cap Rating 30D 90D Δ
1 CZFSCITIZENS FINANCIAL SERVICES INC Finance 0.05 $385M Neutral +0.10% +0.22% ·
2 FNLCFirst Bancorp, Inc /ME/ Finance 0.22 $388M Neutral +0.10% +0.22% ▼ 1
3 MTGMGIC INVESTMENT CORP Finance 0.23 $5.7B Neutral +0.10% +0.22% ·
4 FBNCFIRST BANCORP /NC/ Finance 0.22 $2.5B Neutral +0.09% +0.21% ·
5 HOPEHOPE BANCORP INC Finance 0.04 $1.7B Neutral +0.09% +0.20% ·
6 CACCAMDEN NATIONAL CORP Finance 0.18 $948M Neutral +0.08% +0.18% ·
7 MTBM&T BANK CORP Finance 0.00 $31.1B Neutral +0.08% +0.19% ·
8 RRBIRED RIVER BANCSHARES INC Finance 0.25 $667M Neutral +0.07% +0.16% ·
9 SMBKSMARTFINANCIAL INC. Finance 0.04 $866M Neutral +0.07% +0.16% ·
10 TREELendingTree, Inc. Finance 0.30 $356M Neutral +0.06% +0.15% ·
11 CNCCENTENE CORP Finance 0.36 $34.2B Neutral +0.05% +0.12% ·
12 COSOCoastalSouth Bancshares, Inc. Finance 0.12 $319M Neutral +0.05% +0.13% ▼ 1
13 RVSBRIVERVIEW BANCORP INC Finance -0.12 $120M Neutral +0.05% +0.12% ·
14 FFINFIRST FINANCIAL BANKSHARES INC Finance 0.09 $4.4B Neutral +0.04% +0.11% ▲ 1
15 GBFHGBank Financial Holdings Inc. Finance 0.06 $254M Neutral +0.04% +0.10% ·
16 TPGTPG Inc. Finance -0.02 $16.3B Neutral +0.04% +0.11% ▼ 1
17 TSBKTIMBERLAND BANCORP INC Finance 0.19 $354M Neutral +0.04% +0.10% ▼ 1
18 FCNCAFIRST CITIZENS BANCSHARES INC /DE/ Finance 0.02 $24.0B Neutral +0.03% +0.09% ▼ 1
19 FHNFIRST HORIZON CORP Finance 0.19 $10.8B Neutral +0.03% +0.08% ·
20 PEBOPEOPLES BANCORP INC Finance 0.03 $1.3B Neutral +0.03% +0.10% ·
21 SBCFSEACOAST BANKING CORP OF FLORIDA Finance 0.17 $3.2B Neutral +0.03% +0.09% ·
22 UNTYUNITY BANCORP INC /NJ/ Finance 0.26 $566M Neutral +0.03% +0.10% ▼ 1
23 HKHCHorizon Kinetics Holding Corp Finance -0.07 $382M Neutral +0.02% +0.07% ·
24 TBBKBancorp, Inc. Finance 0.28 $2.0B Neutral +0.02% +0.08% ▼ 1
25 OMFOneMain Holdings, Inc. Finance 0.10 $6.6B Neutral +0.01% +0.05% ·
26 OSBCOLD SECOND BANCORP INC Finance 0.12 $1.3B Neutral +0.01% +0.06% ·
27 FRAFFRANKLIN FINANCIAL SERVICES CORP /PA/ Finance 0.12 $282M Neutral 0.00% +0.04% ·
28 UNMUnum Group Finance 0.13 $14.6B Neutral 0.00% +0.02% ▼ 1
29 BUSEFIRST BUSEY CORP /NV/ Finance 0.07 $2.4B Neutral -0.01% +0.01% ·
30 SHBISHORE BANCSHARES INC Finance 0.15 $753M Neutral -0.01% +0.01% ▼ 1
31 TFSLTFS Financial CORP Finance -0.04 $4.6B Neutral -0.01% +0.01% ▼ 1
32 CPFCENTRAL PACIFIC FINANCIAL CORP Finance 0.25 $939M Neutral -0.02% -0.01% ·
33 LCNBLCNB CORP Finance 0.15 $269M Neutral -0.02% -0.01% ·
34 MSMORGAN STANLEY Finance 0.20 $283.6B Neutral -0.02% 0.00% ·
35 ATLOAMES NATIONAL CORP Finance 0.14 $285M Neutral -0.03% -0.03% ·
36 FSUNFIRSTSUN CAPITAL BANCORP Finance 0.19 $1.8B Neutral -0.03% -0.03% ·
37 CFFIC & F FINANCIAL CORP Finance 0.22 $332M Neutral -0.04% -0.05% ·
38 SNEXStoneX Group Inc. Finance 0.15 $6.9B Neutral -0.04% -0.04% ·
39 CZNCCITIZENS & NORTHERN CORP Finance 0.31 $457M Neutral -0.05% -0.06% ·
40 HWCHANCOCK WHITNEY CORP Finance 0.21 $5.9B Neutral -0.05% -0.07% ·
41 ORRFORRSTOWN FINANCIAL SERVICES INC Finance 0.07 $819M Neutral -0.05% -0.07% ·
42 HIPOHippo Holdings Inc. Finance 0.25 $931M Neutral -0.07% -0.11% ·
43 CNOBConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. Finance 0.06 $1.7B Neutral -0.08% -0.12% ·
44 HTBHomeTrust Bancshares, Inc. Finance 0.03 $786M Neutral -0.08% -0.13% ·
45 EGBNEAGLE BANCORP INC Finance 0.09 $864M Neutral -0.09% -0.14% ·
46 RBCAAREPUBLIC BANCORP INC /KY/ Finance 0.04 $1.8B Neutral -0.09% -0.15% ·
47 RKTRocket Companies, Inc. Finance -0.09 $30.4B Neutral -0.09% -0.14% ·
48 WSBCWESBANCO INC Finance 0.19 $3.6B Neutral -0.09% -0.15% ·
49 ALLALLSTATE CORP Finance 0.18 $62.7B Neutral -0.10% -0.17% ·
50 STCSTEWART INFORMATION SERVICES CORP Finance 0.35 $1.6B Neutral -0.10% -0.16% ▼ 1
1–50 of 192 Previous Next
Since the previous run

Rating changes

▲ 543▼ 484
Which companies were upgraded or downgraded is part of the paid plans.
Next step

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Every company's rating, its 30- and 90-day forecasts, the forecast and IC-weighted rankings, the daily rating changes and CSV export.

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Methodology

Ratings are relative: the forecasts of the latest complete daily run (2026-10-16) are ranked and cut at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles, so Strong Sell is the bottom 15%, Sell the next 20%, Neutral the middle 30%, Buy the next 20% and Strong Buy the top 15%. Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. IC is the company's Spearman information coefficient between its past forecasts and the realised returns at the selected horizon; IC-weighted ranking multiplies each forecast by its IC (negative IC counts as zero). Δ is the rating move since the company's previous signal, in rating steps. Each company shows its latest signal, including one from a run still in progress; every signal is rated against the cut-offs above. Quantitative research output, not investment advice.