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Model output · Signal date Oct. 16, 2026

Daily SignalsNeutral

2761 companies scored · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · 30D 90D

Signal date 2026-10-16 Cut-offs from the 2026-10-16 run
Companies scored 2761 IC ≥ 0 · market cap ≥ $100M
Median forecast -0.44% Alpha · 90D
Long–short spread +5.12% Strong Buy minus Strong Sell, mean
Median IC 0.27 Spearman · 90D
Rating changes ▲ 281 ▼ 463 vs the previous run
Cross-section

Distribution of the day's forecasts

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Signals · Neutral

183 companies

Sorted by 90D forecast ↓

# Ticker Sector IC Mkt cap Rating 30D 90D Δ
51 NPNeptune Insurance Holdings Inc. Finance 0.49 $4.0B Neutral -0.14% -0.25% ·
52 ZIONZIONS BANCORPORATION, NATIONAL ASSOCIATION /UT/ Finance 0.47 $9.2B Neutral -0.14% -0.25% ▼ 1
53 FBKFB Financial Corp Finance 0.08 $2.6B Neutral -0.15% -0.26% ·
54 MTCMMTEC, INC. Finance 0.37 $531M Neutral -0.15% -0.26% ▲ 2
55 PRIPrimerica, Inc. Finance 0.30 $8.7B Neutral -0.15% -0.26% ·
56 GABCGERMAN AMERICAN BANCORP, INC. Finance 0.05 $1.9B Neutral -0.15% -0.27% ·
57 HTHHilltop Holdings Inc. Finance 0.12 $2.1B Neutral -0.15% -0.27% ·
58 WSBCWESBANCO INC Finance 0.07 $3.6B Neutral -0.15% -0.27% ·
59 NBHCNational Bank Holdings Corp Finance 0.22 $1.7B Neutral -0.16% -0.28% ·
60 TCBKTRICO BANCSHARES / Finance 0.03 $1.7B Neutral -0.16% -0.28% ▼ 1
61 BBTBeacon Financial Corp Finance 0.06 $2.3B Neutral -0.17% -0.30% ·
62 HBNCHORIZON BANCORP INC /IN/ Finance 0.19 $999M Neutral -0.17% -0.30% ·
63 HAPNHappen, Inc. Finance 0.14 $1.7B Neutral -0.17% -0.31% ·
64 IBKRInteractive Brokers Group, Inc. Finance 0.27 $38.4B Neutral -0.17% -0.31% ·
65 MBINMerchants Bancorp Finance 0.35 $2.2B Neutral -0.17% -0.31% ·
66 HAFCHANMI FINANCIAL CORP Finance 0.35 $923M Neutral -0.18% -0.32% ·
67 SNEXStoneX Group Inc. Finance 0.18 $7.2B Neutral -0.18% -0.32% ▼ 1
68 WTFCWINTRUST FINANCIAL CORP Finance 0.32 $9.7B Neutral -0.18% -0.32% ·
69 CARECarter Bankshares, Inc. Finance 0.45 $670M Neutral -0.18% -0.33% ·
70 EFSCENTERPRISE FINANCIAL SERVICES CORP Finance 0.07 $2.2B Neutral -0.18% -0.33% ·
71 OVBCOHIO VALLEY BANC CORP Finance 0.40 $217M Neutral -0.18% -0.33% ·
72 ARESAres Management Corp Finance 0.26 $37.9B Neutral -0.20% -0.36% ·
73 BSBKBogota Financial Corp. Finance 0.06 $117M Neutral -0.20% -0.36% ▼ 1
74 MRBKMeridian Corp Finance 0.12 $220M Neutral -0.19% -0.36% ·
75 RBKBRhinebeck Bancorp, Inc. Finance 0.09 $201M Neutral -0.20% -0.36% ·
76 USBUS BANCORP \DE\ Finance 0.21 $89.4B Neutral -0.20% -0.36% ▲ 1
77 AFRMAffirm Holdings, Inc. Finance 0.37 $25.0B Neutral -0.20% -0.37% ·
78 CGCarlyle Group Inc. Finance 0.48 $13.0B Neutral -0.20% -0.37% ·
79 ISTRInvestar Holding Corp Finance 0.26 $397M Neutral -0.20% -0.37% ·
80 MCHBMechanics Bancorp Finance 0.06 $3.2B Neutral -0.20% -0.37% ·
81 MTBM&T BANK CORP Finance 0.27 $31.6B Neutral -0.20% -0.37% ·
82 PRKPARK NATIONAL CORP /OH/ Finance 0.13 $3.2B Neutral -0.20% -0.37% ·
83 WRLDWORLD ACCEPTANCE CORP Finance 0.44 $804M Neutral -0.20% -0.37% ▼ 1
84 AMALAmalgamated Financial Corp. Finance 0.24 $1.4B Neutral -0.21% -0.39% ·
85 CVBFCVB FINANCIAL CORP Finance 0.03 $3.8B Neutral -0.21% -0.39% ·
86 APOApollo Global Management, Inc. Finance 0.50 $65.4B Neutral -0.22% -0.40% ·
87 LAZLazard, Inc. Finance 0.04 $4.1B Neutral -0.22% -0.41% ·
88 MBWMMERCANTILE BANK CORP Finance 0.03 $1.0B Neutral -0.22% -0.41% ·
89 UFCSUNITED FIRE GROUP INC Finance 0.14 $1.4B Neutral -0.23% -0.43% ▼ 1
90 HFWAHERITAGE FINANCIAL CORP /WA/ Finance 0.08 $1.1B Neutral -0.24% -0.44% ·
91 PLGOPelagos Insurance Capital Ltd Finance 0.06 $2.0B Neutral -0.24% -0.44% ·
92 AIZASSURANT, INC. Finance 0.65 $14.0B Neutral -0.24% -0.45% ·
93 LKFNLAKELAND FINANCIAL CORP Finance 0.12 $1.4B Neutral -0.24% -0.45% ·
94 OWLBLUE OWL CAPITAL INC. Finance 0.23 $14.0B Neutral -0.24% -0.45% ·
95 OCFCOCEANFIRST FINANCIAL CORP Finance 0.24 $1.5B Neutral -0.24% -0.46% ·
96 TRMKTRUSTMARK CORP Finance 0.37 $2.6B Neutral -0.25% -0.47% ▼ 1
97 CRBGCorebridge Financial, Inc. Finance 0.35 $15.3B Neutral -0.25% -0.48% ·
98 FHIFEDERATED HERMES, INC. Finance 0.06 $4.2B Neutral -0.26% -0.49% ·
99 VABKVirginia National Bankshares Corp Finance 0.02 $279M Neutral -0.26% -0.49% new
100 FBPFIRST BANCORP /PR/ Finance 0.07 $4.2B Neutral -0.26% -0.50% ·
51–100 of 183 Previous Next
Since the previous run

Rating changes

▲ 281▼ 463
Which companies were upgraded or downgraded is part of the paid plans.
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Methodology

Ratings are relative: the forecasts of the latest complete daily run (2026-10-16) are ranked and cut at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles, so Strong Sell is the bottom 15%, Sell the next 20%, Neutral the middle 30%, Buy the next 20% and Strong Buy the top 15%. Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. IC is the company's Spearman information coefficient between its past forecasts and the realised returns at the selected horizon; IC-weighted ranking multiplies each forecast by its IC (negative IC counts as zero). Δ is the rating move since the company's previous signal, in rating steps. Each company shows its latest signal, including one from a run still in progress; every signal is rated against the cut-offs above. Quantitative research output, not investment advice.