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Model output · Signal date Oct. 16, 2026

Daily SignalsNeutral

2761 companies scored · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · 30D 90D

Signal date 2026-10-16 Cut-offs from the 2026-10-16 run
Companies scored 2761 IC ≥ 0 · market cap ≥ $100M
Median forecast -0.45% Alpha · 90D
Long–short spread +5.09% Strong Buy minus Strong Sell, mean
Median IC 0.27 Spearman · 90D
Rating changes ▲ 293 ▼ 466 vs the previous run
Cross-section

Distribution of the day's forecasts

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Signals · Neutral

100 companies

Sorted by 90D forecast ↓

# Ticker Sector IC Mkt cap Rating 30D 90D Δ
1 ACREAres Commercial Real Estate Corp Real Estate & Construction 0.30 $199M Neutral +0.06% +0.16% ▼ 1
2 MRPMillrose Properties, Inc. Real Estate & Construction 0.05 $3.7B Neutral +0.06% +0.15% ▼ 1
3 DLBDolby Laboratories, Inc. Real Estate & Construction 0.53 $5.7B Neutral +0.05% +0.14% ·
4 ESOAEnergy Services of America CORP Real Estate & Construction 0.04 $172M Neutral +0.05% +0.12% ▼ 1
5 IBPInstalled Building Products, Inc. Real Estate & Construction 0.07 $5.0B Neutral +0.04% +0.11% ▼ 1
6 PENNPENN Entertainment, Inc. Real Estate & Construction 0.48 $2.0B Neutral +0.03% +0.10% ▼ 1
7 RUNSunrun Inc. Real Estate & Construction 0.52 $1.8B Neutral +0.04% +0.10% ▼ 1
8 FPHFive Point Holdings, LLC Real Estate & Construction 0.10 $654M Neutral +0.02% +0.07% ▼ 1
9 MFAMFA FINANCIAL, INC. Real Estate & Construction 0.12 $677M Neutral +0.02% +0.07% ·
10 MLCOMelco Resorts & Entertainment LTD Real Estate & Construction 0.36 $1.7B Neutral +0.01% +0.06% ▼ 1
11 AMRCAmeresco, Inc. Real Estate & Construction 0.28 $1.0B Neutral -0.01% +0.02% ·
12 CURBCurbline Properties Corp. Real Estate & Construction 0.28 $3.1B Neutral -0.04% -0.04% ·
13 FIXCOMFORT SYSTEMS USA INC Real Estate & Construction 0.38 $50.6B Neutral -0.04% -0.04% ·
14 SDHCSmith Douglas Homes Corp. Real Estate & Construction 0.22 $525M Neutral -0.05% -0.06% new
15 PLDPrologis, Inc. Real Estate & Construction 0.12 $117.9B Neutral -0.05% -0.07% ·
16 ACTGACACIA RESEARCH CORP Real Estate & Construction 0.06 $413M Neutral -0.06% -0.09% ·
17 JOEST JOE Co Real Estate & Construction 0.14 $3.9B Neutral -0.07% -0.11% ·
18 AGXARGAN INC Real Estate & Construction 0.37 $4.8B Neutral -0.09% -0.15% ·
19 NREFNexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc. Real Estate & Construction 0.23 $289M Neutral -0.09% -0.15% ▼ 1
20 TRTXTPG RE Finance Trust, Inc. Real Estate & Construction 0.58 $463M Neutral -0.10% -0.17% ·
21 COMPCompass, Inc. Real Estate & Construction 0.26 $6.9B Neutral -0.12% -0.21% ·
22 DRHDiamondRock Hospitality Co Real Estate & Construction 0.55 $2.7B Neutral -0.12% -0.21% ·
23 BBCPConcrete Pumping Holdings, Inc. Real Estate & Construction 0.01 $458M Neutral -0.13% -0.22% ▼ 2
24 SHOSunstone Hotel Investors, Inc. Real Estate & Construction 0.13 $2.2B Neutral -0.13% -0.22% ·
25 EARNEllington Credit Co Real Estate & Construction 0.37 $125M Neutral -0.14% -0.25% ·
26 COLDAMERICOLD REALTY TRUST Real Estate & Construction 0.52 $3.9B Neutral -0.16% -0.29% ·
27 MWHSOLV Energy, Inc. Real Estate & Construction 0.28 $4.8B Neutral -0.17% -0.31% ·
28 DEIDouglas Emmett Inc Real Estate & Construction 0.01 $1.6B Neutral -0.18% -0.33% ·
29 UHTUNIVERSAL HEALTH REALTY INCOME TRUST Real Estate & Construction 0.14 $531M Neutral -0.19% -0.34% ▼ 1
30 MHOM/I HOMES, INC. Real Estate & Construction 0.10 $3.2B Neutral -0.19% -0.35% ·
31 DHIHORTON D R INC /DE/ Real Estate & Construction 0.20 $39.0B Neutral -0.20% -0.37% ·
32 PINEAlpine Income Property Trust, Inc. Real Estate & Construction 0.29 $315M Neutral -0.20% -0.37% ·
33 CUZCOUSINS PROPERTIES INC Real Estate & Construction 0.44 $4.5B Neutral -0.21% -0.38% ·
34 MACMACERICH CO Real Estate & Construction 0.11 $6.5B Neutral -0.21% -0.39% ·
35 ESRTEmpire State Realty Trust, Inc. Real Estate & Construction 0.49 $781M Neutral -0.21% -0.40% ·
36 DHCDIVERSIFIED HEALTHCARE TRUST Real Estate & Construction 0.47 $1.8B Neutral -0.24% -0.46% ·
37 AOMRAngel Oak Mortgage REIT, Inc. Real Estate & Construction 0.28 $168M Neutral -0.25% -0.47% ▼ 1
38 GVAGRANITE CONSTRUCTION INC Real Estate & Construction 0.16 $4.8B Neutral -0.26% -0.49% ·
39 ESBAEmpire State Realty OP, L.P. Real Estate & Construction 0.02 $1.3B Neutral -0.26% -0.50% ▼ 1
40 ILPTIndustrial Logistics Properties Trust Real Estate & Construction 0.15 $460M Neutral -0.26% -0.50% ·
41 CLDTChatham Lodging Trust Real Estate & Construction 0.56 $654M Neutral -0.26% -0.51% ·
42 ECGEverus Construction Group, Inc. Real Estate & Construction 0.45 $5.6B Neutral -0.27% -0.52% ·
43 BXMTBLACKSTONE MORTGAGE TRUST, INC. Real Estate & Construction 0.40 $1.8B Neutral -0.27% -0.53% ·
44 NXRTNexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. Real Estate & Construction 0.33 $474M Neutral -0.28% -0.53% ·
45 CSRCENTERSPACE Real Estate & Construction 0.07 $941M Neutral -0.28% -0.55% ·
46 BRSPBrightSpire Capital, Inc. Real Estate & Construction 0.07 $467M Neutral -0.29% -0.57% ·
47 EMEEMCOR Group, Inc. Real Estate & Construction 0.21 $31.8B Neutral -0.29% -0.57% ·
48 KREFKKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. Real Estate & Construction 0.32 $350M Neutral -0.30% -0.59% ·
49 VACMARRIOTT VACATIONS WORLDWIDE Corp Real Estate & Construction 0.63 $3.9B Neutral -0.30% -0.59% ·
50 PLPCPREFORMED LINE PRODUCTS CO Real Estate & Construction 0.29 $1.8B Neutral -0.31% -0.61% ·
1–50 of 100 Previous Next
Since the previous run

Rating changes

▲ 293▼ 466
Which companies were upgraded or downgraded is part of the paid plans.
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Methodology

Ratings are relative: the forecasts of the latest complete daily run (2026-10-16) are ranked and cut at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles, so Strong Sell is the bottom 15%, Sell the next 20%, Neutral the middle 30%, Buy the next 20% and Strong Buy the top 15%. Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. IC is the company's Spearman information coefficient between its past forecasts and the realised returns at the selected horizon; IC-weighted ranking multiplies each forecast by its IC (negative IC counts as zero). Δ is the rating move since the company's previous signal, in rating steps. Each company shows its latest signal, including one from a run still in progress; every signal is rated against the cut-offs above. Quantitative research output, not investment advice.