Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (SDHC) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026
Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (SDHC) stock forecast summary
Our AI scores Smith Douglas Homes Corp. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
Smith Douglas Homes Corp. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $525M. It ranks number 14 by market capitalization among the 15 Operative Builders issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/B Ratio of 6.45x is the highest of the 14 peers that report one. Its P/E Ratio of 10.12x is the lowest of the 14 peers that report one.
For SDHC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 26.0%, measured on 266 forecast dates between 2024-05-17 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 11.0%, measured on 309 forecast dates between 2024-05-17 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, SDHC included.
SDHC price chart and AI forecast
How SDHC ranks among 5150 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (SDHC) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Operative Builders peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | SDHC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $525M | 14/15 |
| P/E Ratio | 10.12x | 14/14 |
| P/B Ratio | 6.45x | 1/14 |
| EPS | $1.02 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $1.60 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $19.72 | – |
| FCF/Share | $-0.44 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | SDHC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 18.2% | 8/9 |
| EBT Margin | 2.6% | 10/11 |
| Tax Rate | 1.9% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | SDHC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 2.42x | 2/14 |
| Financial Leverage | 7.80x | 1/14 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | SDHC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | -$19M | 12/14 |
| Free Cash Flow | -$22M | 12/14 |
| Capital Spending | -$4M | 2/14 |
| FCF/Sales | -2.2% | 11/13 |
| CapEx/Sales | 0.4% | 9/13 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | SDHC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 1.58x | 3/13 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 114.9x | 3/8 |
Income Statement
| Metric | SDHC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $1.00B | 13/13 |
| SG&A Expense | $154M | 11/11 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $820M | 8/8 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | SDHC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 51M | – |
| EPS Growth | -30.6% | 7/14 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $6M | 2.1% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $197M | 70.8% of assets |
SDHC quarterly financials and insider trading
Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (SDHC) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (Operative Builders): 15 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| SDHC Smith Douglas Homes Corp. | $525M | |
| DHI Horton D R Inc /De/ | $44.09B | |
| PHM Pultegroup Inc/Mi/ | $24.39B | |
| NVR Nvr Inc | $16.78B | |
| TOL Toll Brothers, Inc. | $14.06B | |
| MTH Meritage Homes Corp | $4.38B | |
| ECG Everus Construction Group, Inc. | $3.70B | |
| MHO M/I Homes, Inc. | $3.36B | |
| KBH Kb Home | $3.08B | |
| GRBK Green Brick Partners, Inc. | $2.75B | |
| CCS Century Communities, Inc. | $1.56B | |
| DFH Dream Finders Homes, Inc. | $1.14B | |
| LGIH Lgi Homes, Inc. | $1.06B | |
| HOV Hovnanian Enterprises Inc | $605M | |
| DREM Dream Homes & Development Corp. | $780K |
Where SDHC sits on the market map
Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (SDHC) stock news
Loading...
Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (SDHC) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (SDHC) stock forecast?
Our AI scores Smith Douglas Homes Corp. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
How accurate are Smith Douglas Homes Corp. stock predictions?
For SDHC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 26.0%, measured on 266 forecast dates between 2024-05-17 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 11.0%, measured on 309 forecast dates between 2024-05-17 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Smith Douglas Homes Corp. forecasts updated?
Smith Douglas Homes Corp. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.
Which companies are Smith Douglas Homes Corp.'s industry peers?
15 issuers in our coverage, SDHC included, share the SEC industry code Operative Builders. The largest are: Horton D R Inc /De/ (DHI), Pultegroup Inc/Mi/ (PHM), Nvr Inc (NVR), Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL), Meritage Homes Corp (MTH), Everus Construction Group, Inc. (ECG).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.