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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Everus Construction Group, Inc. (ECG) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Neutral Alpha
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5171 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 45.0% Spearman, 236 dates
Market Cap $5.60B mid-cap · #5 of 17 peers
Summary

Everus Construction Group, Inc. (ECG) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 16, 2026, ECG is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.

Everus Construction Group, Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $5.60B. It ranks number 5 by market capitalization among the 17 Operative Builders issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/B Ratio of 7.24x is the highest of the 15 peers that report one.

For ECG, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 45.0%, measured on 236 forecast dates between 2024-11-22 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 14.0%, measured on 279 forecast dates between 2024-11-22 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.7%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

ECG price chart and AI forecast

ECG
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How ECG ranks among 5171 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Everus Construction Group, Inc. (ECG) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Operative Builders peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricECGIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $5.60B $2.63B 5/17
P/E Ratio 19.24x 14.68x 3/15
P/B Ratio 7.24x 0.99x 1/15
EPS $5.70 – –
Book Value/Share $15.14 – –
Revenue/Share $83.56 – –
FCF/Share $4.90 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricECGIndustry medianRank
ROE 32.9% 10.2% 2/13
ROA 12.4% 6.9% 2/14
ROIC 29.3% – –
Gross Margin 13.0% 22.0% 9/10
Operating Margin 7.8% 8.5% 4/6
Net Margin 6.0% 7.1% 8/12
EBT Margin 8.1% 6.7% 6/12
Tax Rate 25.9% – –

Financial Health

MetricECGIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.59x – –
Quick Ratio 1.53x – –
D/E Ratio 1.66x 0.77x 3/16
Financial Leverage 2.66x 1.77x 4/16
Interest Coverage 26.4x 66.9x 7/10
Working Capital $546M – –

Cash Flow

MetricECGIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $321M $190M 6/16
Free Cash Flow $250M $196M 6/15
Capital Spending -$71M -$23M 12/15
OCF Growth YoY 64.0% 13.9% 1/10
FCF Growth YoY 115.9% 14.9% 1/10
FCF/Sales 5.9% 6.4% 8/14
CapEx/Sales 1.7% 0.6% 1/14

Operational Efficiency

MetricECGIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 2.07x 0.89x 1/14
Receivables Turnover 4.6x 60.6x 7/7
Inventory Turnover 66.7x – –
Fixed Assets Turnover 22.8x 53.8x 8/9
Days Sales Outstanding 79 days 6 days 1/7
Days Inventory 5 days – –
Payables Period 27 days – –
Cash Conversion Cycle 57 days – –

Income Statement

MetricECGIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $4.27B $4.20B 6/14
Operating Income $331M $205M 3/6
Net Income $254M $291M 8/13
SG&A Expense $225M $499M 9/11
Cost of Goods Sold $3.71B $3.53B 4/8

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricECGIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 51M – –
Net Income Growth 9.2% -34.2% 1/12
EPS Growth 48.4% -40.1% 1/15

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$1.48B71.8% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$157M7.6% of assets
Accounts Receivable$919M44.7% of assets
Inventory$56M2.7% of assets
Total Liabilities$1.28B62.4% of assets
Short-term Debt$654M31.8% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

ECG quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Operative Builders

Everus Construction Group, Inc. (ECG) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Everus Construction Group, Inc. (Operative Builders): 17 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
ECG Everus Construction Group, Inc. ▶ $5.60B 19.2x 7.2x
DHI Horton D R Inc /De/ ▶ $38.99B 13.3x 1.6x
PHM Pultegroup Inc/Mi/ ▲ $21.18B 11.5x 1.6x
NVR Nvr Inc ▶ $15.83B 15.5x 4.7x
TOL Toll Brothers, Inc. ▶ $12.34B 10.8x 1.5x
MTH Meritage Homes Corp ▶ $3.93B 15.1x 0.8x
MHO M/I Homes, Inc. ▶ $3.19B 10.6x 1.0x
KBH Kb Home ▲ $2.68B 16.8x 0.7x
GRBK Green Brick Partners, Inc. ▶ $2.63B 9.2x 1.3x
CCS Century Communities, Inc. ▲ $1.55B 14.7x 0.6x
LGIH Lgi Homes, Inc. ▲ $1.02B 15.1x 0.5x
BZH Beazer Homes Usa Inc ▼ $892M 159.3x 0.8x
DFH Dream Finders Homes, Inc. ▲ $807M 4.8x 0.6x
HOV Hovnanian Enterprises Inc ▲ $602M 113.4x 0.7x
SDHC Smith Douglas Homes Corp. ▶ $525M 10.9x 6.6x
VNJA Vanjia Corp ▼ $165M – –
DREM Dream Homes & Development Corp. ▼ $780K – –

Where ECG sits on the market map

Real Estate & Construction · Operative Builders
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News

Everus Construction Group, Inc. (ECG) stock news

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FAQ

Everus Construction Group, Inc. (ECG) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Everus Construction Group, Inc. (ECG) stock forecast?

On Oct. 16, 2026, ECG is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Everus Construction Group, Inc. stock predictions?

For ECG, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 45.0%, measured on 236 forecast dates between 2024-11-22 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 14.0%, measured on 279 forecast dates between 2024-11-22 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Everus Construction Group, Inc. forecasts updated?

Everus Construction Group, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Everus Construction Group, Inc.'s industry peers?

17 issuers in our coverage, ECG included, share the SEC industry code Operative Builders. The largest are: Horton D R Inc /De/ (DHI), Pultegroup Inc/Mi/ (PHM), Nvr Inc (NVR), Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL), Meritage Homes Corp (MTH), M/I Homes, Inc. (MHO).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.