Green Brick Partners, Inc. (GRBK) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026
Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Green Brick Partners, Inc. (GRBK) stock forecast summary
Our AI scores Green Brick Partners, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
Green Brick Partners, Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $2.75B. It ranks number 9 by market capitalization among the 15 Operative Builders issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its Net Margin of 13.9% is the highest of the 12 peers that report one. Its D/E Ratio of 0.29x is the lowest of the 14 peers that report one.
For GRBK, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 11.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 15.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, GRBK included.
GRBK price chart and AI forecast
How GRBK ranks among 5150 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Green Brick Partners, Inc. (GRBK) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Operative Builders peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | GRBK | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $2.75B | 9/15 |
| P/E Ratio | 10.42x | 13/14 |
| P/B Ratio | 1.36x | 7/14 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.13% | 7/7 |
| EPS | $6.22 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $47.56 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $46.19 | – |
| FCF/Share | $2.95 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | GRBK | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 13.5% | 5/12 |
| ROA | 10.2% | 3/13 |
| Gross Margin | 30.3% | 2/9 |
| Net Margin | 13.9% | 1/12 |
| EBT Margin | 19.1% | 2/11 |
| Tax Rate | 21.9% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | GRBK | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 0.29x | 14/14 |
| Financial Leverage | 1.33x | 14/14 |
| Interest Coverage | -2.8x | 9/9 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | GRBK | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $131M | 10/14 |
| Free Cash Flow | $125M | 10/14 |
| Capital Spending | -$6M | 3/14 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -19.1% | 6/11 |
| FCF Growth YoY | -20.9% | 6/11 |
| FCF/Sales | 6.4% | 7/13 |
| CapEx/Sales | 0.3% | 11/13 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | GRBK | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.73x | 11/13 |
| Receivables Turnover | 78.8x | 3/6 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 298.4x | 1/8 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 5 days | 4/6 |
Income Statement
| Metric | GRBK | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $1.96B | 11/13 |
| Net Income | $273M | 8/12 |
| SG&A Expense | $217M | 10/11 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $1.37B | 7/8 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | GRBK | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $0.08 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 1.3% | 7/7 |
| Shares Outstanding | 42M | – |
| Net Income Growth | -19.5% | 3/12 |
| EPS Growth | -18.4% | 4/14 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $100M | 3.8% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $25M | 1.0% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $583M | 22.4% of assets |
GRBK quarterly financials and insider trading
Green Brick Partners, Inc. (GRBK) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Green Brick Partners, Inc. (Operative Builders): 15 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| GRBK Green Brick Partners, Inc. | $2.75B | |
| DHI Horton D R Inc /De/ | $42.59B | |
| PHM Pultegroup Inc/Mi/ | $24.39B | |
| NVR Nvr Inc | $16.78B | |
| TOL Toll Brothers, Inc. | $14.06B | |
| MTH Meritage Homes Corp | $4.38B | |
| ECG Everus Construction Group, Inc. | $3.91B | |
| MHO M/I Homes, Inc. | $3.36B | |
| KBH Kb Home | $3.08B | |
| CCS Century Communities, Inc. | $1.56B | |
| DFH Dream Finders Homes, Inc. | $1.14B | |
| LGIH Lgi Homes, Inc. | $1.06B | |
| HOV Hovnanian Enterprises Inc | $605M | |
| SDHC Smith Douglas Homes Corp. | $525M | |
| DREM Dream Homes & Development Corp. | $780K |
Where GRBK sits on the market map
Green Brick Partners, Inc. (GRBK) stock news
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Green Brick Partners, Inc. (GRBK) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Green Brick Partners, Inc. (GRBK) stock forecast?
Our AI scores Green Brick Partners, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
How accurate are Green Brick Partners, Inc. stock predictions?
For GRBK, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 11.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 15.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Green Brick Partners, Inc. forecasts updated?
Green Brick Partners, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.
Which companies are Green Brick Partners, Inc.'s industry peers?
15 issuers in our coverage, GRBK included, share the SEC industry code Operative Builders. The largest are: Horton D R Inc /De/ (DHI), Pultegroup Inc/Mi/ (PHM), Nvr Inc (NVR), Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL), Meritage Homes Corp (MTH), Everus Construction Group, Inc. (ECG).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.