Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Our AI scores Pultegroup Inc/Mi/ every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
Pultegroup Inc/Mi/ is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $24.39B. It ranks number 2 by market capitalization among the 15 Operative Builders issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For PHM, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -4.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 2.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, PHM included.
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Operative Builders peers listed below that report each metric.
| Metric | PHM | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $24.39B | 2/15 |
| P/E Ratio | 14.15x | 8/14 |
| P/B Ratio | 1.86x | 4/14 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.79% | 5/7 |
| EPS | $9.36 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $71.14 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $86.79 | – |
| FCF/Share | $7.05 | – |
| Metric | PHM | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 13.7% | 4/12 |
| ROA | 9.7% | 4/13 |
| Gross Margin | 27.8% | 3/9 |
| Net Margin | 11.2% | 2/12 |
| Metric | PHM | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 0.41x | 13/14 |
| Financial Leverage | 1.41x | 13/14 |
| Metric | PHM | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $1.41B | 2/14 |
| Free Cash Flow | $1.30B | 2/14 |
| Capital Spending | -$110M | 13/14 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -15.6% | 5/11 |
| FCF Growth YoY | -16.3% | 5/11 |
| FCF/Sales | 8.1% | 5/13 |
| CapEx/Sales | 0.7% | 6/13 |
| Metric | PHM | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.86x | 8/13 |
| Metric | PHM | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $15.98B | 2/13 |
| Net Income | $1.80B | 2/12 |
| SG&A Expense | $1.55B | 2/11 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $11.54B | 2/8 |
| Metric | PHM | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $1.05 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 11.2% | 5/7 |
| Shares Outstanding | 184M | – |
| Net Income Growth | -31.7% | 6/12 |
| EPS Growth | -27.8% | 6/14 |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $1.37B | 7.4% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $5.39B | 29.1% of assets |
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Pultegroup Inc/Mi/ (Operative Builders): 15 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| PHM Pultegroup Inc/Mi/ | $24.39B | |
| DHI Horton D R Inc /De/ | $42.59B | |
| NVR Nvr Inc | $16.78B | |
| TOL Toll Brothers, Inc. | $14.06B | |
| MTH Meritage Homes Corp | $4.38B | |
| ECG Everus Construction Group, Inc. | $3.91B | |
| MHO M/I Homes, Inc. | $3.36B | |
| KBH Kb Home | $3.08B | |
| GRBK Green Brick Partners, Inc. | $2.75B | |
| CCS Century Communities, Inc. | $1.56B | |
| DFH Dream Finders Homes, Inc. | $1.14B | |
| LGIH Lgi Homes, Inc. | $1.06B | |
| HOV Hovnanian Enterprises Inc | $605M | |
| SDHC Smith Douglas Homes Corp. | $525M | |
| DREM Dream Homes & Development Corp. | $780K |
Reminder: Report on a separate line for each class of securities beneficially owned directly or indirectly. * If the form is filed by more than one reporting person, see Instruction 4 (b)(v). ** ...
Good morning, and thank you for standing by. My name is Jenny, and I will be your conference Operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the PulteGroup, Inc. Second Quarter 2025 ...
Reviewed: ad hoc news New Release & Launch desk. Edited and checked on 2026-06-23, 05:02. Details in the imprint. Mailman Post from PulteGroup Inc. is the kind of place where you first notice the ...
Our AI scores Pultegroup Inc/Mi/ every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
For PHM, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -4.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 2.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Pultegroup Inc/Mi/ forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.
15 issuers in our coverage, PHM included, share the SEC industry code Operative Builders. The largest are: Horton D R Inc /De/ (DHI), Nvr Inc (NVR), Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL), Meritage Homes Corp (MTH), Everus Construction Group, Inc. (ECG), M/I Homes, Inc. (MHO).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
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