LGI Homes, Inc. Q3 2026 Earnings Call Summary
LGI Homes expects to reach more than 180 active communities by the end of 2027, representing an approximate 20% increase from current levels. Full-year closing guidance was narrowed to between 4.6 ...
Model output · Signal date 2026-11-06
Lgi Homes, Inc. (LGIH) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026
Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Rating · 90D
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90-day forecast
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Alpha
Rank in coverage
of 5150 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D
29.0%
Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap
$1.06B
small-cap · #12 of 15 peers
Summary
Lgi Homes, Inc. (LGIH) stock forecast summary
Our AI scores Lgi Homes, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
Lgi Homes, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $1.06B. It ranks number 12 by market capitalization among the 15 Operative Builders issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/B Ratio of 0.49x is the lowest of the 14 peers that report one. Its ROE of 3.3% is the lowest of the 12 peers that report one.
For LGIH, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 29.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 11.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, LGIH included.
Price
LGIH price chart and AI forecast
Cross-section · 2026-11-06
How LGIH ranks among 5150 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Fundamentals · 2026-09-30
Lgi Homes, Inc. (LGIH) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Operative Builders peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | LGIH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $1.06B | 12/15 |
| P/E Ratio | 14.60x | 6/14 |
| P/B Ratio | 0.49x | 14/14 |
| EPS | $3.12 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $92.93 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $75.46 | – |
| FCF/Share | $7.84 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | LGIH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 3.3% | 12/12 |
| ROA | 1.8% | 13/13 |
| Gross Margin | 19.1% | 7/9 |
| Operating Margin | 4.5% | 5/5 |
| Net Margin | 4.0% | 10/12 |
| EBT Margin | 5.6% | 7/11 |
| Tax Rate | 27.7% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | LGIH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 0.82x | 7/14 |
| Financial Leverage | 1.82x | 7/14 |
| Interest Coverage | 321.6x | 2/9 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | LGIH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $185M | 8/14 |
| Free Cash Flow | $182M | 8/14 |
| Capital Spending | -$3M | 1/14 |
| FCF/Sales | 10.4% | 1/13 |
| CapEx/Sales | 0.1% | 13/13 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | LGIH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.45x | 13/13 |
| Receivables Turnover | 60.5x | 5/6 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 9.2x | 8/8 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 6 days | 2/6 |
Income Statement
| Metric | LGIH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $1.75B | 12/13 |
| Operating Income | $79M | – |
| Net Income | $71M | 12/12 |
| SG&A Expense | $261M | 8/11 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $1.42B | 6/8 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | LGIH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 23M | – |
| Net Income Growth | -33.1% | 7/12 |
| EPS Growth | -38.6% | 9/14 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $69M | 1.8% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $29M | 0.7% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $1.78B | 45.1% of assets |
Quarterly Financial Reports
LGIH quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · Operative Builders
Lgi Homes, Inc. (LGIH) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Lgi Homes, Inc. (Operative Builders): 15 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| LGIH Lgi Homes, Inc. | $1.06B | |
| DHI Horton D R Inc /De/ | $42.59B | |
| PHM Pultegroup Inc/Mi/ | $24.39B | |
| NVR Nvr Inc | $16.78B | |
| TOL Toll Brothers, Inc. | $14.06B | |
| MTH Meritage Homes Corp | $4.38B | |
| ECG Everus Construction Group, Inc. | $3.91B | |
| MHO M/I Homes, Inc. | $3.36B | |
| KBH Kb Home | $3.08B | |
| GRBK Green Brick Partners, Inc. | $2.75B | |
| CCS Century Communities, Inc. | $1.56B | |
| DFH Dream Finders Homes, Inc. | $1.14B | |
| HOV Hovnanian Enterprises Inc | $605M | |
| SDHC Smith Douglas Homes Corp. | $525M | |
| DREM Dream Homes & Development Corp. | $780K |
Where LGIH sits on the market map
Real Estate & Construction · Operative Builders
News
Lgi Homes, Inc. (LGIH) stock news
LGI Homes Reports Third-Quarter Revenue and Closing Growth
LGI Homes ( ) has issued an announcement. On November 3, 2026, LGI Homes reported third-quarter results showing 1,222 total closings, including 33 currently and previously leased ...
LGI Homes Inc (LGIH) (Q3 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Revenue and Margins Rise Despite Order ...
LGI Homes Inc (LGIH) grew revenue 10.2% to $444.5 million and expanded margins in Q3 2026, but net orders fell 61.2% and cancellations jumped to 53.8% as affordability pressures weighed on buyers.
FAQ
Lgi Homes, Inc. (LGIH) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Lgi Homes, Inc. (LGIH) stock forecast?
Our AI scores Lgi Homes, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
How accurate are Lgi Homes, Inc. stock predictions?
For LGIH, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 29.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 11.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Lgi Homes, Inc. forecasts updated?
Lgi Homes, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.
Which companies are Lgi Homes, Inc.'s industry peers?
15 issuers in our coverage, LGIH included, share the SEC industry code Operative Builders. The largest are: Horton D R Inc /De/ (DHI), Pultegroup Inc/Mi/ (PHM), Nvr Inc (NVR), Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL), Meritage Homes Corp (MTH), Everus Construction Group, Inc. (ECG).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.