Hovnanian Enterprises Inc (HOV) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026
Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Hovnanian Enterprises Inc (HOV) stock forecast summary
Our AI scores Hovnanian Enterprises Inc every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
Hovnanian Enterprises Inc is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $605M. It ranks number 13 by market capitalization among the 15 Operative Builders issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/E Ratio of 114.00x is the highest of the 14 peers that report one. Its D/E Ratio of 2.49x is the highest of the 14 peers that report one.
For HOV, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 7.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 33.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)
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HOV price chart and AI forecast
How HOV ranks among 5150 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Hovnanian Enterprises Inc (HOV) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Operative Builders peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | HOV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $605M | 13/15 |
| P/E Ratio | 114.00x | 1/14 |
| P/B Ratio | 0.74x | 12/14 |
| EPS | $0.89 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $137.36 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $473.71 | – |
| FCF/Share | $33.19 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | HOV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| EBT Margin | 0.8% | 11/11 |
| Tax Rate | 21.6% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | HOV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 2.49x | 1/14 |
| Financial Leverage | 3.49x | 2/14 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | HOV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $219M | 7/14 |
| Free Cash Flow | $198M | 7/14 |
| Capital Spending | -$21M | 6/14 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 62.1% | 2/11 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 74.1% | 2/11 |
| FCF/Sales | 7.0% | 6/13 |
| CapEx/Sales | 0.8% | 5/13 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | HOV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.99x | 4/13 |
Income Statement
| Metric | HOV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $2.82B | 10/13 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | HOV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 6M | – |
| EPS Growth | -95.7% | 14/14 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $291M | 10.2% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $2.04B | 71.4% of assets |
HOV quarterly financials and insider trading
Hovnanian Enterprises Inc (HOV) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Hovnanian Enterprises Inc (Operative Builders): 15 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| HOV Hovnanian Enterprises Inc | $605M | |
| DHI Horton D R Inc /De/ | $42.59B | |
| PHM Pultegroup Inc/Mi/ | $24.39B | |
| NVR Nvr Inc | $16.78B | |
| TOL Toll Brothers, Inc. | $14.06B | |
| MTH Meritage Homes Corp | $4.38B | |
| ECG Everus Construction Group, Inc. | $3.91B | |
| MHO M/I Homes, Inc. | $3.36B | |
| KBH Kb Home | $3.08B | |
| GRBK Green Brick Partners, Inc. | $2.75B | |
| CCS Century Communities, Inc. | $1.56B | |
| DFH Dream Finders Homes, Inc. | $1.14B | |
| LGIH Lgi Homes, Inc. | $1.06B | |
| SDHC Smith Douglas Homes Corp. | $525M | |
| DREM Dream Homes & Development Corp. | $780K |
Where HOV sits on the market map
Hovnanian Enterprises Inc (HOV) stock news
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Hovnanian Enterprises Inc (HOV) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Hovnanian Enterprises Inc (HOV) stock forecast?
Our AI scores Hovnanian Enterprises Inc every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
How accurate are Hovnanian Enterprises Inc stock predictions?
For HOV, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 7.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 33.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Hovnanian Enterprises Inc forecasts updated?
Hovnanian Enterprises Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.
Which companies are Hovnanian Enterprises Inc's industry peers?
15 issuers in our coverage, HOV included, share the SEC industry code Operative Builders. The largest are: Horton D R Inc /De/ (DHI), Pultegroup Inc/Mi/ (PHM), Nvr Inc (NVR), Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL), Meritage Homes Corp (MTH), Everus Construction Group, Inc. (ECG).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.