Hovnanian Enterprises Inc (HOV) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE
Hovnanian Enterprises Inc (HOV) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Hovnanian Enterprises Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Hovnanian Enterprises Inc is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $580M. It ranks number 14 by market capitalization among the 17 Operative Builders issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its D/E Ratio of 2.49x is the highest of the 16 peers that report one.
For HOV, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 15.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 36.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.0%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, HOV included.
Follow HOV freeHOV price chart and AI forecast
How HOV ranks among 5172 stocks
90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Hovnanian Enterprises Inc (HOV) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Operative Builders peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | HOV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $580M | 14/17 |
| P/E Ratio | 109.29x | 2/15 |
| P/B Ratio | 0.71x | 11/15 |
| EPS | $0.89 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $137.36 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $473.71 | – |
| FCF/Share | $33.19 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | HOV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| EBT Margin | 0.8% | 11/12 |
| Tax Rate | 21.6% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | HOV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 2.49x | 1/16 |
| Financial Leverage | 3.49x | 2/16 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | HOV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $219M | 7/16 |
| Free Cash Flow | $198M | 7/15 |
| Capital Spending | -$21M | 6/15 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 62.1% | 2/10 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 74.1% | 2/10 |
| FCF/Sales | 7.0% | 7/14 |
| CapEx/Sales | 0.8% | 6/14 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | HOV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.99x | 5/14 |
Income Statement
| Metric | HOV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $2.82B | 10/14 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | HOV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 6M | – |
| EPS Growth | -95.7% | 15/15 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $291M | 10.2% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $2.04B | 71.4% of assets |
HOV quarterly financials and insider trading
Hovnanian Enterprises Inc (HOV) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Hovnanian Enterprises Inc (Operative Builders): 17 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| HOV Hovnanian Enterprises Inc | ▲ | $580M |
| DHI Horton D R Inc /De/ | ▶ | $38.99B |
| PHM Pultegroup Inc/Mi/ | ▶ | $21.29B |
| NVR Nvr Inc | ▶ | $15.78B |
| TOL Toll Brothers, Inc. | ▶ | $12.32B |
| ECG Everus Construction Group, Inc. | ▲ | $5.60B |
| MTH Meritage Homes Corp | ▶ | $3.86B |
| MHO M/I Homes, Inc. | ▶ | $3.15B |
| KBH Kb Home | ▲ | $2.65B |
| GRBK Green Brick Partners, Inc. | ▶ | $2.63B |
| CCS Century Communities, Inc. | ▶ | $1.55B |
| LGIH Lgi Homes, Inc. | ▲ | $1000M |
| BZH Beazer Homes Usa Inc | ▼ | $892M |
| DFH Dream Finders Homes, Inc. | ▲ | $807M |
| SDHC Smith Douglas Homes Corp. | ▶ | $525M |
| VNJA Vanjia Corp | ▼ | $165M |
| DREM Dream Homes & Development Corp. | ▼ | $780K |
Where HOV sits on the market map
Hovnanian Enterprises Inc (HOV) stock news
Loading...
Hovnanian Enterprises Inc (HOV) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Hovnanian Enterprises Inc (HOV) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Hovnanian Enterprises Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Hovnanian Enterprises Inc stock predictions?
For HOV, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 15.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 36.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Hovnanian Enterprises Inc forecasts updated?
Hovnanian Enterprises Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Hovnanian Enterprises Inc's industry peers?
17 issuers in our coverage, HOV included, share the SEC industry code Operative Builders. The largest are: Horton D R Inc /De/ (DHI), Pultegroup Inc/Mi/ (PHM), Nvr Inc (NVR), Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL), Everus Construction Group, Inc. (ECG), Meritage Homes Corp (MTH).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.