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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Beazer Homes Usa Inc (BZH) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 44.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $892M small-cap · #12 of 17 peers
Summary

Beazer Homes Usa Inc (BZH) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Beazer Homes Usa Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Beazer Homes Usa Inc is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $892M. It ranks number 12 by market capitalization among the 17 Operative Builders issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/E Ratio of 159.28x is the highest of the 15 peers that report one. Its Gross Margin of 12.4% is the lowest of the 10 peers that report one.

For BZH, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 44.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 19.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

BZH price chart and AI forecast

BZH
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How BZH ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Beazer Homes Usa Inc (BZH) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Operative Builders peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricBZHIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $892M $2.63B 12/17
P/E Ratio 159.28x 14.68x 1/15
P/B Ratio 0.78x 0.98x 9/15
EPS $0.21 – –
Book Value/Share $42.99 – –
Revenue/Share $78.02 – –
FCF/Share $-5.75 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricBZHIndustry medianRank
Gross Margin 12.4% 22.0% 10/10
Operating Margin -1.8% 8.5% 6/6
EBT Margin -1.6% 6.7% 12/12
Tax Rate 77.3% – –

The effective tax rate is outside the normal band, which points to a large non-recurring tax item in the trailing twelve months; headline net income, net margin and P/E are affected by it.

Financial Health

MetricBZHIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 1.53x 0.77x 5/16
Financial Leverage 2.53x 1.77x 5/16
Interest Coverage -0.3x 66.9x 9/10

Cash Flow

MetricBZHIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow -$126M $190M 15/16
Free Cash Flow -$153M $196M 14/15
Capital Spending -$28M -$23M 9/15
FCF/Sales -7.4% 6.4% 14/14
CapEx/Sales 1.3% 0.6% 2/14

Operational Efficiency

MetricBZHIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.72x 0.89x 13/14
Receivables Turnover 21.5x 60.6x 6/7
Fixed Assets Turnover 37.7x 53.8x 6/9
Days Sales Outstanding 17 days 6 days 2/7

Income Statement

MetricBZHIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $2.08B $4.20B 11/14
Operating Income -$37M $205M 6/6

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricBZHIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 27M – –
EPS Growth -91.2% -40.1% 14/15

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$125M4.3% of assets
Accounts Receivable$97M3.3% of assets
Total Liabilities$1.76B60.6% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

BZH quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Operative Builders

Beazer Homes Usa Inc (BZH) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Beazer Homes Usa Inc (Operative Builders): 17 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
BZH Beazer Homes Usa Inc ▼ $892M 159.3x 0.8x
DHI Horton D R Inc /De/ ▶ $38.99B 13.3x 1.6x
PHM Pultegroup Inc/Mi/ ▶ $21.29B 11.6x 1.6x
NVR Nvr Inc ▶ $15.78B 15.4x 4.7x
TOL Toll Brothers, Inc. ▶ $12.32B 10.8x 1.4x
ECG Everus Construction Group, Inc. ▶ $5.60B 19.2x 7.2x
MTH Meritage Homes Corp ▶ $3.86B 14.8x 0.8x
MHO M/I Homes, Inc. ▶ $3.15B 10.5x 1.0x
KBH Kb Home ▲ $2.65B 16.7x 0.7x
GRBK Green Brick Partners, Inc. ▶ $2.63B 9.2x 1.3x
CCS Century Communities, Inc. ▲ $1.55B 14.7x 0.6x
LGIH Lgi Homes, Inc. ▲ $1000M 14.7x 0.5x
DFH Dream Finders Homes, Inc. ▲ $807M 4.8x 0.6x
HOV Hovnanian Enterprises Inc ▲ $580M 109.3x 0.7x
VNJA Vanjia Corp ▼ $165M – –
SDHC Smith Douglas Homes Corp. ▶ $90M 10.8x 1.1x
DREM Dream Homes & Development Corp. ▼ $780K – –

Where BZH sits on the market map

Real Estate & Construction · Operative Builders
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News

Beazer Homes Usa Inc (BZH) stock news

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FAQ

Beazer Homes Usa Inc (BZH) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Beazer Homes Usa Inc (BZH) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Beazer Homes Usa Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Beazer Homes Usa Inc stock predictions?

For BZH, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 44.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 19.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Beazer Homes Usa Inc forecasts updated?

Beazer Homes Usa Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Beazer Homes Usa Inc's industry peers?

17 issuers in our coverage, BZH included, share the SEC industry code Operative Builders. The largest are: Horton D R Inc /De/ (DHI), Pultegroup Inc/Mi/ (PHM), Nvr Inc (NVR), Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL), Everus Construction Group, Inc. (ECG), Meritage Homes Corp (MTH).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.