Dream Finders Homes, Inc. (DFH) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026
Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Dream Finders Homes, Inc. (DFH) stock forecast summary
Our AI scores Dream Finders Homes, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
Dream Finders Homes, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $1.14B. It ranks number 11 by market capitalization among the 15 Operative Builders issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its Net Margin of 2.6% is the lowest of the 12 peers that report one.
For DFH, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 11.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -7.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, DFH included.
DFH price chart and AI forecast
How DFH ranks among 5150 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Dream Finders Homes, Inc. (DFH) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Operative Builders peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | DFH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $1.14B | 11/15 |
| P/E Ratio | 11.17x | 12/14 |
| P/B Ratio | 0.79x | 11/14 |
| EPS | $1.11 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $15.60 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $45.31 | – |
| FCF/Share | $-2.01 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | DFH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 7.4% | 8/12 |
| ROA | 2.5% | 11/13 |
| Net Margin | 2.6% | 12/12 |
| EBT Margin | 3.5% | 9/11 |
| Tax Rate | 26.9% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | DFH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 1.76x | 3/14 |
| Financial Leverage | 2.93x | 3/14 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | DFH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | -$161M | 14/14 |
| Free Cash Flow | -$185M | 14/14 |
| Capital Spending | -$24M | 7/14 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -358.1% | 11/11 |
| FCF Growth YoY | -559.5% | 11/11 |
| FCF/Sales | -4.4% | 13/13 |
| CapEx/Sales | 0.6% | 7/13 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | DFH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.99x | 4/13 |
| Receivables Turnover | 145.2x | 2/6 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 3 days | 5/6 |
Income Statement
| Metric | DFH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $4.16B | 8/13 |
| Net Income | $106M | 11/12 |
| SG&A Expense | $508M | 6/11 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | DFH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 92M | – |
| Net Income Growth | -63.0% | 12/12 |
| EPS Growth | -61.2% | 12/14 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $246M | 6.2% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $29M | 0.7% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $2.52B | 63.6% of assets |
DFH quarterly financials and insider trading
Dream Finders Homes, Inc. (DFH) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Dream Finders Homes, Inc. (Operative Builders): 15 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| DFH Dream Finders Homes, Inc. | $1.14B | |
| DHI Horton D R Inc /De/ | $44.09B | |
| PHM Pultegroup Inc/Mi/ | $24.39B | |
| NVR Nvr Inc | $16.78B | |
| TOL Toll Brothers, Inc. | $14.06B | |
| MTH Meritage Homes Corp | $4.38B | |
| ECG Everus Construction Group, Inc. | $3.70B | |
| MHO M/I Homes, Inc. | $3.36B | |
| KBH Kb Home | $3.08B | |
| GRBK Green Brick Partners, Inc. | $2.75B | |
| CCS Century Communities, Inc. | $1.56B | |
| LGIH Lgi Homes, Inc. | $1.06B | |
| HOV Hovnanian Enterprises Inc | $605M | |
| SDHC Smith Douglas Homes Corp. | $525M | |
| DREM Dream Homes & Development Corp. | $780K |
Where DFH sits on the market map
Dream Finders Homes, Inc. (DFH) stock news
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Dream Finders Homes, Inc. (DFH) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Dream Finders Homes, Inc. (DFH) stock forecast?
Our AI scores Dream Finders Homes, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
How accurate are Dream Finders Homes, Inc. stock predictions?
For DFH, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 11.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -7.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Dream Finders Homes, Inc. forecasts updated?
Dream Finders Homes, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.
Which companies are Dream Finders Homes, Inc.'s industry peers?
15 issuers in our coverage, DFH included, share the SEC industry code Operative Builders. The largest are: Horton D R Inc /De/ (DHI), Pultegroup Inc/Mi/ (PHM), Nvr Inc (NVR), Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL), Meritage Homes Corp (MTH), Everus Construction Group, Inc. (ECG).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.