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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Astera Labs, Inc. (ALAB) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5185 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D -35.0% Spearman, 264 dates
Market Cap $49.59B large-cap · #13 of 60 peers
Summary

Astera Labs, Inc. (ALAB) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Astera Labs, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Astera Labs, Inc. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $49.59B. It ranks number 13 by market capitalization among the 60 Semiconductors & Related Devices issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For ALAB, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -35.0%, measured on 264 forecast dates between 2024-05-10 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -16.0%, measured on 307 forecast dates between 2024-05-10 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, ALAB included.

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Price

ALAB price chart and AI forecast

ALAB
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How ALAB ranks among 5185 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Astera Labs, Inc. (ALAB) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Semiconductors & Related Devices peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricALABIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $49.59B $9.72B 13/60
P/E Ratio 162.39x 42.48x 5/40
P/B Ratio 28.73x 5.06x 3/57
EPS $1.76 – –
Book Value/Share $9.95 – –
Revenue/Share $6.93 – –
FCF/Share $1.59 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricALABIndustry medianRank
ROE 21.4% 12.2% 9/45
ROA 19.1% 7.2% 5/44
ROIC 15.5% 7.3% 13/53
Gross Margin 75.1% 45.0% 3/57
Operating Margin 22.8% 10.6% 13/57
Net Margin 30.7% 12.9% 7/45
EBT Margin 26.8% 10.3% 13/57
Tax Rate -14.7% – –

Financial Health

MetricALABIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 10.05x 3.17x 4/55
Quick Ratio 9.36x 2.33x 4/54
D/E Ratio 0.12x 0.44x 56/59
Financial Leverage 1.12x 1.45x 54/57
Working Capital $1.49B $1.19B 20/55

Cash Flow

MetricALABIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $336M $271M 26/57
Free Cash Flow $277M $186M 23/52
Capital Spending -$59M -$56M 27/52
OCF Growth YoY 34.8% 27.1% 18/46
FCF Growth YoY 31.5% 15.7% 19/41
FCF/Sales 23.0% 15.1% 12/52
CapEx/Sales 4.9% 4.2% 21/52

Operational Efficiency

MetricALABIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.62x 0.57x 22/54
Receivables Turnover 6.2x 6.3x 26/49
Inventory Turnover 2.6x 2.5x 24/53
Fixed Assets Turnover 10.1x 6.0x 16/52
Days Sales Outstanding 58 days 58 days 24/49
Days Inventory 139 days 148 days 30/53
Payables Period 66 days 56 days 16/50
Cash Conversion Cycle 132 days 133 days 24/46

Income Statement

MetricALABIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $1.20B $1.45B 31/56
Operating Income $273M $126M 24/57
Net Income $369M $369M 23/45
R&D Expense $434M $217M 19/56
SG&A Expense $446M $242M 19/55
Cost of Goods Sold $299M $781M 44/57

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricALABIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 173M – –
Net Income Growth 268.9% 35.6% 3/27

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$1.65B85.5% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$111M5.8% of assets
Accounts Receivable$192M10.0% of assets
Inventory$114M5.9% of assets
Total Liabilities$206M10.7% of assets
Short-term Debt$110M5.7% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

ALAB quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Semiconductors & Related Devices

Astera Labs, Inc. (ALAB) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Astera Labs, Inc. (Semiconductors & Related Devices): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
ALAB Astera Labs, Inc. ▲ $49.59B 162.4x 28.7x
NVDA Nvidia Corp ▶ $5.16T 24.7x 22.5x
AVGO Broadcom Inc. ▶ $1.57T 41.9x 15.7x
AMD Advanced Micro Devices Inc ▶ $863.17B 151.5x 12.8x
INTC Intel Corp ▲ $453.20B – 5.2x
AMAT Applied Materials Inc /De ▶ $324.81B 35.3x 12.7x
TXN Texas Instruments Inc ▼ $252.49B 42.0x 14.0x
ARM Arm Holdings Plc /Uk ▲ $243.29B 232.5x 28.2x
MRVL Marvell Technology, Inc. ▲ $199.78B 71.6x 10.8x
ADI Analog Devices Inc ▼ $191.62B 42.9x 5.7x
ASX Ase Technology Holding Co., Ltd. ▲ $86.49B – –
MPWR Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. ▼ $59.51B 73.7x 15.3x
NXPI Nxp Semiconductors N.V. ▼ $57.72B 21.9x 5.3x
STM Stmicroelectronics N.V. ▶ $40.34B 17.3x 2.3x
MCHP Microchip Technology Inc ▶ $40.10B 108.6x 6.2x
CRDO Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd ▲ $31.90B 59.8x 11.7x
CBRS Cerebras Systems Inc. ▶ $30.22B – 3.3x
ON On Semiconductor Corp ▶ $28.04B 45.3x 3.9x
GFS Globalfoundries Inc. ▶ $25.93B 16.6x –
Q Qnity Electronics, Inc. ▼ $24.14B 29.7x 3.3x
TSEM Tower Semiconductor Ltd ▲ $21.94B 29.9x 7.5x
MTSI Macom Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. ▶ $20.03B 102.8x 13.0x
FSLR First Solar, Inc. ▶ $18.55B 10.6x 1.8x
LSCC Lattice Semiconductor Corp ▶ $14.72B 740.4x 18.7x
SITM Sitime Corp ▲ $14.20B 597.7x 13.9x
SMTC Semtech Corp ▲ $12.76B – 22.3x
NXT Nextpower Inc. ▼ $12.14B 20.7x 4.8x
SWKS Skyworks Solutions, Inc. ▲ $11.99B 68.1x 2.1x
AMKR Amkor Technology, Inc. ▶ $10.34B 24.0x 2.3x
QRVO Qorvo, Inc. ▲ $10.05B 29.7x 3.0x
RMBS Rambus Inc ▶ $9.39B 41.6x 6.7x
VIAV Viavi Solutions Inc. ▲ $8.24B – 5.7x
FORM Formfactor Inc ▶ $8.20B 82.0x 7.4x
SLAB Silicon Laboratories Inc. ▼ $7.37B – 6.7x
MXL Maxlinear, Inc ▲ $6.47B – 13.3x
AAOI Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. ▶ $6.39B – 3.8x
ALGM Allegro Microsystems, Inc. ▶ $5.89B 451.7x 6.1x
CRUS Cirrus Logic, Inc. ▲ $5.41B 13.2x 2.5x
SYNA Synaptics Inc ▲ $4.58B – 4.9x
KLIC Kulicke & Soffa Industries Inc ▲ $4.11B 69.6x 4.5x
ENPH Enphase Energy, Inc. ▶ $4.00B 30.3x 3.6x
DIOD Diodes Inc /Del/ ▼ $3.82B 57.5x 2.0x
AXTI Axt Inc ▶ $3.38B – 3.8x
OSIS Osi Systems Inc ▼ $3.11B 21.8x 3.7x
IPGP Ipg Photonics Corp ▼ $3.02B 102.9x 1.4x
PENG Penguin Solutions, Inc. ▲ $2.93B 58.9x 6.7x
AMBA Ambarella Inc ▲ $2.72B – 4.4x
POWI Power Integrations Inc ▶ $2.49B 82.4x 3.7x
UCTT Ultra Clean Holdings, Inc. ▶ $2.31B – 3.6x
HIMX Himax Technologies, Inc. ▲ $2.03B – –
NLST Netlist Inc ▲ $2.01B – 86.6x
NVTS Navitas Semiconductor Corp ▼ $1.97B – 5.1x
LASR Nlight, Inc. ▼ $1.94B – 4.4x
SEDG Solaredge Technologies, Inc. ▲ $1.93B – 4.7x
PLAB Photronics Inc ▼ $1.62B 9.4x 1.3x
ICHR Ichor Holdings, Ltd. ▶ $1.58B – 1.8x
BRKH Blaize Holdings, Inc. ▼ $1.45B – 33.9x
WOLF Wolfspeed, Inc. ▶ $1.23B – 1.3x
SHLS Shoals Technologies Group, Inc. ▲ $1.21B 37.7x 2.0x
AMBQ Ambiq Micro, Inc. ▲ $1.21B 3.6x 3.0x

Where ALAB sits on the market map

Manufacturing · Semiconductors & Related Devices
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News

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FAQ

Astera Labs, Inc. (ALAB) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Astera Labs, Inc. (ALAB) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Astera Labs, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Astera Labs, Inc. stock predictions?

For ALAB, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -35.0%, measured on 264 forecast dates between 2024-05-10 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -16.0%, measured on 307 forecast dates between 2024-05-10 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Astera Labs, Inc. forecasts updated?

Astera Labs, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Astera Labs, Inc.'s industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, ALAB included, share the SEC industry code Semiconductors & Related Devices. The largest are: Nvidia Corp (NVDA), Broadcom Inc. (AVGO), Advanced Micro Devices Inc (AMD), Intel Corp (INTC), Applied Materials Inc /De (AMAT), Texas Instruments Inc (TXN).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.