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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Advanced Micro Devices Inc (AMD) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Neutral Alpha
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D -6.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $863.17B mega-cap · #3 of 60 peers
Summary

Advanced Micro Devices Inc (AMD) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 16, 2026, AMD is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.

Advanced Micro Devices Inc is a mega-cap company with a market capitalization of $863.17B. It ranks number 3 by market capitalization among the 60 Semiconductors & Related Devices issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For AMD, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -6.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -2.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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AMD
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How AMD ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-27

Advanced Micro Devices Inc (AMD) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Semiconductors & Related Devices peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricAMDIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $863.17B $9.72B 3/60
P/E Ratio 151.50x 42.48x 6/40
P/B Ratio 12.84x 5.06x 14/57
EPS $3.49 – –
Book Value/Share $41.18 – –
Revenue/Share $25.30 – –
FCF/Share $5.15 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricAMDIndustry medianRank
ROE 9.6% 12.2% 28/45
ROA 7.6% 7.2% 22/44
ROIC 9.0% 7.3% 24/53
Gross Margin 53.2% 45.0% 20/57
Operating Margin 15.7% 10.6% 21/57
Net Margin 15.6% 12.9% 20/45
EBT Margin 14.4% 10.3% 22/57
Tax Rate 18.4% – –

Financial Health

MetricAMDIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 2.61x 3.17x 38/55
Quick Ratio 1.91x 2.33x 38/54
D/E Ratio 0.26x 0.44x 42/59
Financial Leverage 1.26x 1.45x 42/57
Interest Coverage 53.8x 8.2x 9/45
Working Capital $19.44B $1.19B 4/55

Cash Flow

MetricAMDIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $10.08B $271M 4/57
Free Cash Flow $8.40B $186M 3/52
Capital Spending -$1.68B -$56M 47/52
OCF Growth YoY 106.7% 27.1% 6/46
FCF Growth YoY 107.8% 15.7% 7/41
FCF/Sales 20.3% 15.1% 16/52
CapEx/Sales 4.1% 4.2% 28/52

Operational Efficiency

MetricAMDIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.49x 0.57x 37/54
Receivables Turnover 5.7x 6.3x 31/49
Inventory Turnover 2.3x 2.5x 32/53
Fixed Assets Turnover 12.0x 6.0x 14/52
Days Sales Outstanding 64 days 58 days 19/49
Days Inventory 160 days 148 days 22/53
Payables Period 101 days 56 days 6/50
Cash Conversion Cycle 123 days 133 days 28/46

Income Statement

MetricAMDIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $41.30B $1.45B 4/56
Operating Income $6.49B $126M 5/57
Net Income $6.43B $369M 4/45
R&D Expense $9.39B $217M 4/56
SG&A Expense $4.92B $242M 2/55
Cost of Goods Sold $19.33B $781M 4/57

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricAMDIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 1632M – –
Net Income Growth 127.0% 35.6% 6/27
EPS Growth 152.9% 37.0% 6/30

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$31.52B37.3% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$5.09B6.0% of assets
Accounts Receivable$7.28B8.6% of assets
Inventory$8.47B10.0% of assets
Total Liabilities$17.24B20.4% of assets
Short-term Debt$6.72B8.0% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

AMD quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Semiconductors & Related Devices

Advanced Micro Devices Inc (AMD) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Advanced Micro Devices Inc (Semiconductors & Related Devices): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
AMD Advanced Micro Devices Inc ▶ $863.17B 151.5x 12.8x
NVDA Nvidia Corp ▶ $5.16T 24.7x 22.5x
AVGO Broadcom Inc. ▶ $1.57T 41.9x 15.7x
INTC Intel Corp ▲ $453.20B – 5.2x
AMAT Applied Materials Inc /De ▶ $324.81B 35.3x 12.7x
TXN Texas Instruments Inc ▼ $252.49B 42.0x 14.0x
ARM Arm Holdings Plc /Uk ▲ $243.29B 232.5x 28.2x
MRVL Marvell Technology, Inc. ▲ $199.78B 71.6x 10.8x
ADI Analog Devices Inc ▼ $191.62B 42.9x 5.7x
ASX Ase Technology Holding Co., Ltd. ▲ $86.49B – –
MPWR Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. ▼ $59.51B 73.7x 15.3x
NXPI Nxp Semiconductors N.V. ▼ $57.72B 21.9x 5.3x
ALAB Astera Labs, Inc. ▲ $49.59B 162.4x 28.7x
STM Stmicroelectronics N.V. ▶ $40.34B 17.3x 2.3x
MCHP Microchip Technology Inc ▶ $40.10B 108.6x 6.2x
CRDO Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd ▲ $31.90B 59.8x 11.7x
CBRS Cerebras Systems Inc. ▶ $30.22B – 3.3x
ON On Semiconductor Corp ▶ $28.04B 45.3x 3.9x
GFS Globalfoundries Inc. ▶ $25.93B 16.6x –
Q Qnity Electronics, Inc. ▼ $24.14B 29.7x 3.3x
TSEM Tower Semiconductor Ltd ▲ $21.94B 29.9x 7.5x
MTSI Macom Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. ▶ $20.03B 102.8x 13.0x
FSLR First Solar, Inc. ▶ $18.55B 10.6x 1.8x
LSCC Lattice Semiconductor Corp ▶ $14.72B 740.4x 18.7x
SITM Sitime Corp ▲ $14.20B 597.7x 13.9x
SMTC Semtech Corp ▲ $12.76B – 22.3x
NXT Nextpower Inc. ▼ $12.14B 20.7x 4.8x
SWKS Skyworks Solutions, Inc. ▲ $11.99B 68.1x 2.1x
AMKR Amkor Technology, Inc. ▶ $10.34B 24.0x 2.3x
QRVO Qorvo, Inc. ▲ $10.05B 29.7x 3.0x
RMBS Rambus Inc ▶ $9.39B 41.6x 6.7x
VIAV Viavi Solutions Inc. ▲ $8.24B – 5.7x
FORM Formfactor Inc ▶ $8.20B 82.0x 7.4x
SLAB Silicon Laboratories Inc. ▼ $7.37B – 6.7x
MXL Maxlinear, Inc ▲ $6.47B – 13.3x
AAOI Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. ▶ $6.39B – 3.8x
ALGM Allegro Microsystems, Inc. ▶ $5.89B 451.7x 6.1x
CRUS Cirrus Logic, Inc. ▲ $5.41B 13.2x 2.5x
SYNA Synaptics Inc ▲ $4.58B – 4.9x
KLIC Kulicke & Soffa Industries Inc ▲ $4.11B 69.6x 4.5x
ENPH Enphase Energy, Inc. ▶ $4.00B 30.3x 3.6x
DIOD Diodes Inc /Del/ ▼ $3.82B 57.5x 2.0x
AXTI Axt Inc ▶ $3.38B – 3.8x
OSIS Osi Systems Inc ▼ $3.11B 21.8x 3.7x
IPGP Ipg Photonics Corp ▼ $3.02B 102.9x 1.4x
PENG Penguin Solutions, Inc. ▲ $2.93B 58.9x 6.7x
AMBA Ambarella Inc ▲ $2.72B – 4.4x
POWI Power Integrations Inc ▶ $2.49B 82.4x 3.7x
UCTT Ultra Clean Holdings, Inc. ▶ $2.31B – 3.6x
NLST Netlist Inc ▲ $2.07B – 89.1x
HIMX Himax Technologies, Inc. ▲ $2.03B – –
NVTS Navitas Semiconductor Corp ▼ $1.97B – 5.1x
LASR Nlight, Inc. ▼ $1.94B – 4.4x
SEDG Solaredge Technologies, Inc. ▲ $1.93B – 4.7x
PLAB Photronics Inc ▼ $1.62B 9.4x 1.3x
ICHR Ichor Holdings, Ltd. ▶ $1.58B – 1.8x
BRKH Blaize Holdings, Inc. ▼ $1.45B – 33.9x
WOLF Wolfspeed, Inc. ▶ $1.23B – 1.3x
SHLS Shoals Technologies Group, Inc. ▲ $1.21B 37.7x 2.0x
AMBQ Ambiq Micro, Inc. ▲ $1.21B 3.6x 3.0x

Where AMD sits on the market map

Manufacturing · Semiconductors & Related Devices
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FAQ

Advanced Micro Devices Inc (AMD) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Advanced Micro Devices Inc (AMD) stock forecast?

On Oct. 16, 2026, AMD is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Advanced Micro Devices Inc stock predictions?

For AMD, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -6.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -2.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Advanced Micro Devices Inc forecasts updated?

Advanced Micro Devices Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Advanced Micro Devices Inc's industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, AMD included, share the SEC industry code Semiconductors & Related Devices. The largest are: Nvidia Corp (NVDA), Broadcom Inc. (AVGO), Intel Corp (INTC), Applied Materials Inc /De (AMAT), Texas Instruments Inc (TXN), Arm Holdings Plc /Uk (ARM).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.