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Model output · Signal date 2026-11-06

Microchip Technology Inc (MCHP) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026

Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Unlock rating and forecasts
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage of 5150 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D -1.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $35.21B large-cap · #14 of 60 peers
Summary

Microchip Technology Inc (MCHP) stock forecast summary

Our AI scores Microchip Technology Inc every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

Microchip Technology Inc is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $35.21B. It ranks number 14 by market capitalization among the 60 Semiconductors & Related Devices issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For MCHP, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -1.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -4.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, MCHP included.

Price

MCHP price chart and AI forecast

MCHP
Cross-section · 2026-11-06

How MCHP ranks among 5150 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-09-30

Microchip Technology Inc (MCHP) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Semiconductors & Related Devices peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricMCHPIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $35.21B $7.69B 14/60
P/E Ratio 74.54x 40.73x 10/40
P/B Ratio 5.30x 4.95x 22/55
Dividend Yield 2.80% 1.09% 2/14
EPS $0.87 – –
Book Value/Share $12.23 – –
Revenue/Share $10.32 – –
FCF/Share $2.68 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricMCHPIndustry medianRank
ROIC 8.7% 8.7% 28/55
Gross Margin 62.7% 47.5% 10/56
Operating Margin 20.9% 10.9% 15/56
EBT Margin 17.2% 10.6% 23/56
Tax Rate 13.1% – –

Financial Health

MetricMCHPIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 2.24x 2.98x 42/58
Quick Ratio 1.33x 2.05x 50/55
D/E Ratio 1.21x 0.45x 12/58
Financial Leverage 2.21x 1.47x 12/56
Interest Coverage 1.0x 11.4x 38/45
Working Capital $1.52B $1.05B 21/58

Cash Flow

MetricMCHPIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $1.53B $271M 14/57
Free Cash Flow $1.46B $173M 12/53
Capital Spending -$74M -$55M 32/53
OCF Growth YoY 81.8% 19.3% 8/48
FCF Growth YoY 92.9% 7.0% 8/43
FCF/Sales 26.0% 11.2% 8/53
CapEx/Sales 1.3% 4.3% 52/53

Operational Efficiency

MetricMCHPIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.38x 0.56x 44/54
Receivables Turnover 5.8x 5.8x 25/52
Inventory Turnover 1.9x 2.5x 43/54
Fixed Assets Turnover 5.2x 6.5x 32/55
Days Sales Outstanding 63 days 63 days 28/52
Days Inventory 195 days 149 days 12/54
Payables Period 46 days 56 days 44/53
Cash Conversion Cycle 212 days 139 days 9/49

Income Statement

MetricMCHPIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $5.60B $1.44B 14/56
Operating Income $1.17B $187M 14/56
R&D Expense $1.20B $220M 12/56
SG&A Expense $714M $233M 13/55
Cost of Goods Sold $2.09B $716M 19/56

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricMCHPIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $1.82 – –
Payout Ratio 209.2% 35.8% 2/14
Shares Outstanding 543M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$2.75B18.7% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$457M3.1% of assets
Accounts Receivable$963M6.6% of assets
Inventory$1.12B7.6% of assets
Total Liabilities$8.02B54.7% of assets
Short-term Debt$962M6.6% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

MCHP quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Semiconductors & Related Devices

Microchip Technology Inc (MCHP) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Microchip Technology Inc (Semiconductors & Related Devices): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
MCHP Microchip Technology Inc $35.21B 74.5x 5.3x
NVDA Nvidia Corp $4.50T 21.5x 19.6x
AVGO Broadcom Inc. $1.40T 37.5x 14.1x
AMD Advanced Micro Devices Inc $733.05B 94.7x 10.7x
INTC Intel Corp $299.13B – 2.6x
AMAT Applied Materials Inc /De $264.05B 28.7x 10.3x
TXN Texas Instruments Inc $253.44B 35.9x 13.2x
ARM Arm Holdings Plc /Uk $186.49B 232.8x 20.5x
ADI Analog Devices Inc $176.17B 39.5x 5.3x
MRVL Marvell Technology, Inc. $117.11B 42.0x 6.3x
ASX Ase Technology Holding Co., Ltd. $69.62B – –
NXPI Nxp Semiconductors N.V. $61.61B 19.2x 5.1x
MPWR Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. $58.50B 65.3x 15.7x
STM Stmicroelectronics N.V. $37.08B 15.9x 2.1x
ALAB Astera Labs, Inc. $33.09B 75.1x 16.6x
ON On Semiconductor Corp $24.65B 140.7x 3.3x
Q Qnity Electronics, Inc. $24.48B 31.2x 3.2x
CRDO Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd $22.65B 42.4x 8.3x
FSLR First Solar, Inc. $21.62B 11.6x 2.0x
GFS Globalfoundries Inc. $21.46B 13.7x –
CBRS Cerebras Systems Inc. $21.30B – 2.3x
MTSI Macom Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. $16.11B 82.7x 10.5x
TSEM Tower Semiconductor Ltd $15.40B 21.0x 5.3x
NXT Nextpower Inc. $14.99B 25.0x 5.7x
LSCC Lattice Semiconductor Corp $14.92B 1312.8x 10.5x
SITM Sitime Corp $12.54B 718.8x 3.6x
SWKS Skyworks Solutions, Inc. $12.37B 70.3x 2.2x
SMTC Semtech Corp $8.47B – 14.8x
AMKR Amkor Technology, Inc. $8.13B 13.4x 1.7x
RMBS Rambus Inc $7.98B 30.5x 5.6x
SLAB Silicon Laboratories Inc. $7.39B – 6.8x
VIAV Viavi Solutions Inc. $6.49B 101.2x 4.9x
FORM Formfactor Inc $6.34B 57.1x 5.4x
CRUS Cirrus Logic, Inc. $5.69B 14.3x 2.6x
ALGM Allegro Microsystems, Inc. $5.25B 2817.1x 5.2x
SYNA Synaptics Inc $4.56B – 5.0x
MXL Maxlinear, Inc $4.48B – 8.4x
AAOI Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. $4.24B – 1.9x
ENPH Enphase Energy, Inc. $3.77B 29.7x 3.0x
DIOD Diodes Inc /Del/ $3.56B 25.2x 1.8x
KLIC Kulicke & Soffa Industries Inc $3.35B 56.7x 3.7x
OSIS Osi Systems Inc $3.01B 20.7x 3.9x
IPGP Ipg Photonics Corp $2.78B 64.0x 1.3x
AMBA Ambarella Inc $2.58B – 4.2x
AXTI Axt Inc $2.55B – 2.9x
PENG Penguin Solutions, Inc. $2.52B 16.1x 4.8x
LASR Nlight, Inc. $2.19B – 5.0x
POWI Power Integrations Inc $2.17B 53.2x 3.1x
NVTS Navitas Semiconductor Corp $2.12B – 5.5x
UCTT Ultra Clean Holdings, Inc. $1.97B 61.4x 2.7x
NLST Netlist Inc $1.82B – 78.6x
SEDG Solaredge Technologies, Inc. $1.69B – 4.0x
SHLS Shoals Technologies Group, Inc. $1.69B 42.0x 2.7x
PLAB Photronics Inc $1.50B 8.7x 1.2x
HIMX Himax Technologies, Inc. $1.48B – –
WOLF Wolfspeed, Inc. $1.26B – 1.6x
ICHR Ichor Holdings, Ltd. $1.16B – 1.3x
ARRY Array Technologies, Inc. $902M – –
POET Poet Technologies Inc. $877M – –
AIP Arteris, Inc. $875M – 13.3x

Where MCHP sits on the market map

Manufacturing · Semiconductors & Related Devices
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News

Microchip Technology Inc (MCHP) stock news

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FAQ

Microchip Technology Inc (MCHP) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Microchip Technology Inc (MCHP) stock forecast?

Our AI scores Microchip Technology Inc every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

How accurate are Microchip Technology Inc stock predictions?

For MCHP, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -1.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -4.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Microchip Technology Inc forecasts updated?

Microchip Technology Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.

Which companies are Microchip Technology Inc's industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, MCHP included, share the SEC industry code Semiconductors & Related Devices. The largest are: Nvidia Corp (NVDA), Broadcom Inc. (AVGO), Advanced Micro Devices Inc (AMD), Intel Corp (INTC), Applied Materials Inc /De (AMAT), Texas Instruments Inc (TXN).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.