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Model output · Signal date 2026-11-06

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. (MPWR) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026

Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Unlock rating and forecasts
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage of 5150 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 8.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $58.50B large-cap · #12 of 60 peers
Summary

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. (MPWR) stock forecast summary

Our AI scores Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $58.50B. It ranks number 12 by market capitalization among the 60 Semiconductors & Related Devices issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For MPWR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 8.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 4.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, MPWR included.

Price

MPWR price chart and AI forecast

MPWR
Cross-section · 2026-11-06

How MPWR ranks among 5150 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-09-30

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. (MPWR) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Semiconductors & Related Devices peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricMPWRIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $58.50B $7.69B 12/60
P/E Ratio 65.31x 40.73x 12/40
P/B Ratio 15.67x 4.95x 5/55
Dividend Yield 0.60% 1.09% 10/14
EPS $18.23 – –
Book Value/Share $75.98 – –
Revenue/Share $76.07 – –
FCF/Share $12.40 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricMPWRIndustry medianRank
ROE 24.0% 12.9% 9/42
ROA 19.2% 7.3% 7/42
ROIC 27.4% 8.7% 3/55
Gross Margin 55.3% 47.5% 18/56
Operating Margin 29.5% 10.9% 10/56
Net Margin 24.0% 13.1% 12/43
EBT Margin 30.6% 10.6% 11/56
Tax Rate 21.7% – –

Financial Health

MetricMPWRIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 3.70x 2.98x 21/58
Quick Ratio 2.51x 2.05x 24/55
D/E Ratio 0.25x 0.45x 45/58
Financial Leverage 1.25x 1.47x 45/56
Working Capital $1.73B $1.05B 17/58

Cash Flow

MetricMPWRIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $873M $271M 18/57
Free Cash Flow $609M $173M 15/53
Capital Spending -$264M -$55M 38/53
OCF Growth YoY -3.1% 19.3% 34/48
FCF Growth YoY -13.6% 7.0% 28/43
FCF/Sales 16.3% 11.2% 20/53
CapEx/Sales 7.0% 4.3% 14/53

Operational Efficiency

MetricMPWRIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.80x 0.56x 6/54
Receivables Turnover 8.1x 5.8x 11/52
Inventory Turnover 2.2x 2.5x 36/54
Fixed Assets Turnover 4.5x 6.5x 35/55
Days Sales Outstanding 45 days 63 days 42/52
Days Inventory 167 days 149 days 19/54
Payables Period 52 days 56 days 37/53
Cash Conversion Cycle 160 days 139 days 16/49

Income Statement

MetricMPWRIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $3.74B $1.44B 20/56
Operating Income $1.10B $187M 15/56
Net Income $897M $266M 14/43
R&D Expense $455M $220M 19/56
SG&A Expense $508M $233M 16/55
Cost of Goods Sold $1.67B $716M 21/56

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricMPWRIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $7.18 – –
Payout Ratio 39.4% 35.8% 7/14
Shares Outstanding 49M – –
Net Income Growth -52.6% 54.4% 25/28
EPS Growth -53.2% 57.4% 30/33

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$2.37B50.8% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$561M12.0% of assets
Accounts Receivable$462M9.9% of assets
Inventory$765M16.4% of assets
Total Liabilities$939M20.1% of assets
Short-term Debt$404M8.7% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

MPWR quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Semiconductors & Related Devices

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. (MPWR) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. (Semiconductors & Related Devices): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
MPWR Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. $58.50B 65.3x 15.7x
NVDA Nvidia Corp $4.50T 21.5x 19.6x
AVGO Broadcom Inc. $1.40T 37.5x 14.1x
AMD Advanced Micro Devices Inc $733.05B 94.7x 10.7x
INTC Intel Corp $277.71B – 2.4x
AMAT Applied Materials Inc /De $264.05B 28.7x 10.3x
TXN Texas Instruments Inc $253.44B 35.9x 13.2x
ARM Arm Holdings Plc /Uk $186.49B 232.8x 20.5x
ADI Analog Devices Inc $176.17B 39.5x 5.3x
MRVL Marvell Technology, Inc. $117.11B 42.0x 6.3x
ASX Ase Technology Holding Co., Ltd. $69.62B – –
NXPI Nxp Semiconductors N.V. $61.61B 19.2x 5.1x
STM Stmicroelectronics N.V. $37.08B 15.9x 2.1x
MCHP Microchip Technology Inc $35.21B 74.5x 5.3x
ALAB Astera Labs, Inc. $33.09B 75.1x 16.6x
ON On Semiconductor Corp $24.65B 140.7x 3.3x
Q Qnity Electronics, Inc. $24.48B 31.2x 3.2x
CRDO Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd $22.65B 42.4x 8.3x
FSLR First Solar, Inc. $21.62B 11.6x 2.0x
GFS Globalfoundries Inc. $21.46B 13.7x –
CBRS Cerebras Systems Inc. $21.30B – 2.3x
MTSI Macom Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. $16.11B 82.7x 10.5x
TSEM Tower Semiconductor Ltd $15.40B 21.0x 5.3x
NXT Nextpower Inc. $14.99B 25.0x 5.7x
LSCC Lattice Semiconductor Corp $14.92B 1312.8x 10.5x
SITM Sitime Corp $12.54B 718.8x 3.6x
SWKS Skyworks Solutions, Inc. $12.37B 70.3x 2.2x
SMTC Semtech Corp $8.47B – 14.8x
AMKR Amkor Technology, Inc. $8.13B 13.4x 1.7x
RMBS Rambus Inc $7.98B 30.5x 5.6x
SLAB Silicon Laboratories Inc. $7.39B – 6.8x
VIAV Viavi Solutions Inc. $6.49B 101.2x 4.9x
FORM Formfactor Inc $6.34B 57.1x 5.4x
CRUS Cirrus Logic, Inc. $5.69B 14.3x 2.6x
ALGM Allegro Microsystems, Inc. $5.25B 2817.1x 5.2x
SYNA Synaptics Inc $4.56B – 5.0x
MXL Maxlinear, Inc $4.48B – 8.4x
AAOI Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. $4.24B – 1.9x
ENPH Enphase Energy, Inc. $3.83B 30.2x 3.1x
DIOD Diodes Inc /Del/ $3.56B 25.2x 1.8x
KLIC Kulicke & Soffa Industries Inc $3.35B 56.7x 3.7x
OSIS Osi Systems Inc $3.01B 20.7x 3.9x
IPGP Ipg Photonics Corp $2.78B 64.0x 1.3x
AMBA Ambarella Inc $2.58B – 4.2x
AXTI Axt Inc $2.55B – 2.9x
PENG Penguin Solutions, Inc. $2.52B 16.1x 4.8x
LASR Nlight, Inc. $2.19B – 5.0x
POWI Power Integrations Inc $2.17B 53.2x 3.1x
NVTS Navitas Semiconductor Corp $2.12B – 5.5x
UCTT Ultra Clean Holdings, Inc. $1.97B 61.4x 2.7x
NLST Netlist Inc $1.82B – 78.6x
SEDG Solaredge Technologies, Inc. $1.69B – 4.0x
SHLS Shoals Technologies Group, Inc. $1.69B 42.0x 2.7x
PLAB Photronics Inc $1.50B 8.7x 1.2x
HIMX Himax Technologies, Inc. $1.48B – –
WOLF Wolfspeed, Inc. $1.26B – 1.6x
ICHR Ichor Holdings, Ltd. $1.16B – 1.3x
ARRY Array Technologies, Inc. $902M – –
POET Poet Technologies Inc. $877M – –
AIP Arteris, Inc. $875M – 13.3x

Where MPWR sits on the market map

Manufacturing · Semiconductors & Related Devices
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News

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FAQ

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. (MPWR) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. (MPWR) stock forecast?

Our AI scores Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

How accurate are Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. stock predictions?

For MPWR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 8.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 4.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. forecasts updated?

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.

Which companies are Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.'s industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, MPWR included, share the SEC industry code Semiconductors & Related Devices. The largest are: Nvidia Corp (NVDA), Broadcom Inc. (AVGO), Advanced Micro Devices Inc (AMD), Intel Corp (INTC), Applied Materials Inc /De (AMAT), Texas Instruments Inc (TXN).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.