Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. (MPWR) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. (MPWR) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, MPWR is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.
Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $59.51B. It ranks number 11 by market capitalization among the 60 Semiconductors & Related Devices issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For MPWR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 12.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -2.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How MPWR ranks among 5171 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. (MPWR) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Semiconductors & Related Devices peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | MPWR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $59.51B | 11/60 |
| P/E Ratio | 73.70x | 12/40 |
| P/B Ratio | 15.28x | 9/57 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.55% | 10/13 |
| EPS | $16.43 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $79.27 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $66.60 | – |
| FCF/Share | $11.91 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | MPWR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 20.6% | 10/45 |
| ROA | 17.2% | 7/44 |
| ROIC | 22.4% | 5/53 |
| Gross Margin | 55.2% | 17/57 |
| Operating Margin | 28.7% | 10/57 |
| Net Margin | 24.6% | 12/45 |
| EBT Margin | 30.1% | 10/57 |
| Tax Rate | 18.3% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | MPWR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 4.98x | 15/55 |
| Quick Ratio | 3.62x | 17/54 |
| D/E Ratio | 0.20x | 46/59 |
| Financial Leverage | 1.20x | 47/57 |
| Working Capital | $1.98B | 16/55 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | MPWR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $822M | 19/57 |
| Free Cash Flow | $586M | 17/52 |
| Capital Spending | -$237M | 37/52 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -8.0% | 34/46 |
| FCF Growth YoY | -17.1% | 30/41 |
| FCF/Sales | 17.9% | 21/52 |
| CapEx/Sales | 7.2% | 12/52 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | MPWR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.70x | 12/54 |
| Receivables Turnover | 9.5x | 12/49 |
| Inventory Turnover | 2.2x | 36/53 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 4.2x | 34/52 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 38 days | 38/49 |
| Days Inventory | 168 days | 17/53 |
| Payables Period | 45 days | 42/50 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 161 days | 17/46 |
Income Statement
| Metric | MPWR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $3.27B | 21/56 |
| Operating Income | $940M | 13/57 |
| Net Income | $804M | 14/45 |
| R&D Expense | $413M | 20/56 |
| SG&A Expense | $454M | 18/55 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $1.47B | 22/57 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | MPWR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $6.70 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 40.8% | 7/13 |
| Shares Outstanding | 49M | – |
| Net Income Growth | -56.8% | 25/27 |
| EPS Growth | -57.0% | 29/30 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $2.48B | 52.9% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $1.01B | 21.5% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $344M | 7.3% of assets |
| Inventory | $676M | 14.4% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $791M | 16.9% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $316M | 6.7% of assets |
MPWR quarterly financials and insider trading
Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. (MPWR) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. (Semiconductors & Related Devices): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| MPWR Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. | ▶ | $59.51B |
| NVDA Nvidia Corp | ▶ | $5.16T |
| AVGO Broadcom Inc. | ▶ | $1.57T |
| AMD Advanced Micro Devices Inc | ▶ | $863.17B |
| INTC Intel Corp | ▲ | $453.20B |
| AMAT Applied Materials Inc /De | ▶ | $324.81B |
| TXN Texas Instruments Inc | ▼ | $254.91B |
| ARM Arm Holdings Plc /Uk | ▲ | $243.29B |
| MRVL Marvell Technology, Inc. | ▲ | $199.78B |
| ADI Analog Devices Inc | ▼ | $191.62B |
| ASX Ase Technology Holding Co., Ltd. | ▲ | $86.49B |
| NXPI Nxp Semiconductors N.V. | ▼ | $57.72B |
| ALAB Astera Labs, Inc. | ▲ | $49.59B |
| STM Stmicroelectronics N.V. | ▶ | $40.34B |
| MCHP Microchip Technology Inc | ▶ | $40.10B |
| CRDO Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd | ▲ | $31.90B |
| CBRS Cerebras Systems Inc. | ▶ | $30.22B |
| ON On Semiconductor Corp | ▶ | $28.04B |
| GFS Globalfoundries Inc. | ▶ | $25.93B |
| Q Qnity Electronics, Inc. | ▼ | $25.02B |
| TSEM Tower Semiconductor Ltd | ▲ | $23.53B |
| MTSI Macom Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $20.03B |
| FSLR First Solar, Inc. | ▶ | $18.55B |
| SITM Sitime Corp | ▲ | $15.08B |
| LSCC Lattice Semiconductor Corp | ▶ | $14.72B |
| SMTC Semtech Corp | ▲ | $13.43B |
| NXT Nextpower Inc. | ▼ | $12.14B |
| SWKS Skyworks Solutions, Inc. | ▲ | $11.90B |
| AMKR Amkor Technology, Inc. | ▶ | $10.34B |
| QRVO Qorvo, Inc. | ▲ | $10.05B |
| RMBS Rambus Inc | ▶ | $9.39B |
| VIAV Viavi Solutions Inc. | ▲ | $9.09B |
| FORM Formfactor Inc | ▶ | $8.20B |
| SLAB Silicon Laboratories Inc. | ▼ | $7.38B |
| MXL Maxlinear, Inc | ▲ | $6.47B |
| AAOI Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. | ▶ | $6.39B |
| ALGM Allegro Microsystems, Inc. | ▶ | $5.89B |
| CRUS Cirrus Logic, Inc. | ▲ | $5.41B |
| SYNA Synaptics Inc | ▲ | $4.60B |
| KLIC Kulicke & Soffa Industries Inc | ▲ | $4.11B |
| ENPH Enphase Energy, Inc. | ▶ | $4.00B |
| DIOD Diodes Inc /Del/ | ▼ | $3.82B |
| AXTI Axt Inc | ▶ | $3.38B |
| OSIS Osi Systems Inc | ▼ | $3.11B |
| IPGP Ipg Photonics Corp | ▼ | $3.02B |
| PENG Penguin Solutions, Inc. | ▲ | $2.93B |
| AMBA Ambarella Inc | ▲ | $2.72B |
| UCTT Ultra Clean Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $2.53B |
| POWI Power Integrations Inc | ▶ | $2.49B |
| NLST Netlist Inc | ▲ | $2.07B |
| HIMX Himax Technologies, Inc. | ▲ | $2.03B |
| NVTS Navitas Semiconductor Corp | ▼ | $1.97B |
| LASR Nlight, Inc. | ▼ | $1.94B |
| SEDG Solaredge Technologies, Inc. | ▲ | $1.93B |
| PLAB Photronics Inc | ▼ | $1.62B |
| ICHR Ichor Holdings, Ltd. | ▶ | $1.58B |
| BRKH Blaize Holdings, Inc. | ▼ | $1.45B |
| WOLF Wolfspeed, Inc. | ▶ | $1.37B |
| SHLS Shoals Technologies Group, Inc. | ▶ | $1.31B |
| AMBQ Ambiq Micro, Inc. | ▲ | $1.26B |
Where MPWR sits on the market map
Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. (MPWR) stock news
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Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. (MPWR) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. (MPWR) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, MPWR is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. stock predictions?
For MPWR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 12.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -2.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. forecasts updated?
Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.'s industry peers?
60 issuers in our coverage, MPWR included, share the SEC industry code Semiconductors & Related Devices. The largest are: Nvidia Corp (NVDA), Broadcom Inc. (AVGO), Advanced Micro Devices Inc (AMD), Intel Corp (INTC), Applied Materials Inc /De (AMAT), Texas Instruments Inc (TXN).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.