Axt Inc (AXTI) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Axt Inc (AXTI) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, AXTI is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.
Axt Inc is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $3.38B. It ranks number 43 by market capitalization among the 60 Semiconductors & Related Devices issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For AXTI, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 76.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 42.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How AXTI ranks among 5184 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Axt Inc (AXTI) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Semiconductors & Related Devices peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | AXTI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $3.38B | 43/60 |
| P/B Ratio | 3.80x | 38/57 |
| EPS | $-0.16 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $13.53 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $1.50 | – |
| FCF/Share | $-0.30 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | AXTI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROIC | 0.4% | 41/53 |
| Gross Margin | 41.0% | 35/57 |
| Operating Margin | 3.9% | 38/57 |
| EBT Margin | 9.7% | 30/57 |
| Tax Rate | 37.0% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | AXTI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 4.77x | 18/55 |
| Quick Ratio | 4.00x | 15/54 |
| D/E Ratio | 0.16x | 50/59 |
| Financial Leverage | 1.24x | 44/57 |
| Working Capital | $473M | 44/55 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | AXTI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | -$6M | 48/57 |
| Free Cash Flow | -$20M | 45/52 |
| Capital Spending | -$14M | 6/52 |
| FCF/Sales | -19.9% | 49/52 |
| CapEx/Sales | 14.0% | 7/52 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | AXTI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.09x | 54/54 |
| Receivables Turnover | 2.7x | 47/49 |
| Inventory Turnover | 0.9x | 53/53 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 0.6x | 51/52 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 136 days | 3/49 |
| Days Inventory | 413 days | 1/53 |
| Payables Period | 62 days | 19/50 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 487 days | 1/46 |
Income Statement
| Metric | AXTI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $99M | 54/56 |
| Operating Income | $4M | 42/57 |
| R&D Expense | $10M | 55/56 |
| SG&A Expense | $26M | 54/55 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $85M | 54/57 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | AXTI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 66M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $599M | 57.9% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $412M | 39.9% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $37M | 3.5% of assets |
| Inventory | $96M | 9.3% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $145M | 14.1% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $111M | 10.8% of assets |
AXTI quarterly financials and insider trading
Axt Inc (AXTI) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Axt Inc (Semiconductors & Related Devices): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| AXTI Axt Inc | ▶ | $3.38B |
| NVDA Nvidia Corp | ▶ | $5.16T |
| AVGO Broadcom Inc. | ▶ | $1.57T |
| AMD Advanced Micro Devices Inc | ▶ | $863.17B |
| INTC Intel Corp | ▲ | $453.20B |
| AMAT Applied Materials Inc /De | ▶ | $324.81B |
| TXN Texas Instruments Inc | ▼ | $252.49B |
| ARM Arm Holdings Plc /Uk | ▲ | $243.29B |
| MRVL Marvell Technology, Inc. | ▲ | $199.78B |
| ADI Analog Devices Inc | ▼ | $191.62B |
| ASX Ase Technology Holding Co., Ltd. | ▲ | $86.49B |
| MPWR Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. | ▼ | $59.51B |
| NXPI Nxp Semiconductors N.V. | ▼ | $57.72B |
| ALAB Astera Labs, Inc. | ▲ | $49.59B |
| STM Stmicroelectronics N.V. | ▶ | $40.34B |
| MCHP Microchip Technology Inc | ▶ | $40.10B |
| CRDO Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd | ▲ | $31.90B |
| CBRS Cerebras Systems Inc. | ▶ | $30.22B |
| ON On Semiconductor Corp | ▶ | $28.04B |
| GFS Globalfoundries Inc. | ▶ | $25.93B |
| Q Qnity Electronics, Inc. | ▼ | $24.14B |
| TSEM Tower Semiconductor Ltd | ▲ | $21.94B |
| MTSI Macom Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $20.03B |
| FSLR First Solar, Inc. | ▶ | $18.55B |
| LSCC Lattice Semiconductor Corp | ▶ | $14.72B |
| SITM Sitime Corp | ▲ | $14.20B |
| SMTC Semtech Corp | ▲ | $12.76B |
| NXT Nextpower Inc. | ▼ | $12.14B |
| SWKS Skyworks Solutions, Inc. | ▲ | $11.99B |
| AMKR Amkor Technology, Inc. | ▶ | $10.34B |
| QRVO Qorvo, Inc. | ▲ | $10.05B |
| RMBS Rambus Inc | ▶ | $9.39B |
| VIAV Viavi Solutions Inc. | ▲ | $8.24B |
| FORM Formfactor Inc | ▶ | $8.20B |
| SLAB Silicon Laboratories Inc. | ▼ | $7.37B |
| MXL Maxlinear, Inc | ▲ | $6.47B |
| AAOI Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. | ▶ | $6.39B |
| ALGM Allegro Microsystems, Inc. | ▶ | $5.89B |
| CRUS Cirrus Logic, Inc. | ▲ | $5.41B |
| SYNA Synaptics Inc | ▲ | $4.58B |
| KLIC Kulicke & Soffa Industries Inc | ▲ | $4.11B |
| ENPH Enphase Energy, Inc. | ▶ | $4.00B |
| DIOD Diodes Inc /Del/ | ▼ | $3.82B |
| OSIS Osi Systems Inc | ▼ | $3.11B |
| IPGP Ipg Photonics Corp | ▼ | $3.02B |
| PENG Penguin Solutions, Inc. | ▲ | $2.93B |
| AMBA Ambarella Inc | ▲ | $2.72B |
| POWI Power Integrations Inc | ▶ | $2.49B |
| UCTT Ultra Clean Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $2.31B |
| HIMX Himax Technologies, Inc. | ▲ | $2.03B |
| NLST Netlist Inc | ▲ | $2.00B |
| NVTS Navitas Semiconductor Corp | ▼ | $1.97B |
| LASR Nlight, Inc. | ▼ | $1.94B |
| SEDG Solaredge Technologies, Inc. | ▲ | $1.93B |
| PLAB Photronics Inc | ▼ | $1.62B |
| ICHR Ichor Holdings, Ltd. | ▶ | $1.58B |
| BRKH Blaize Holdings, Inc. | ▼ | $1.45B |
| WOLF Wolfspeed, Inc. | ▶ | $1.23B |
| SHLS Shoals Technologies Group, Inc. | ▲ | $1.21B |
| AMBQ Ambiq Micro, Inc. | ▲ | $1.21B |
Where AXTI sits on the market map
Axt Inc (AXTI) stock news
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Axt Inc (AXTI) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Axt Inc (AXTI) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, AXTI is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Axt Inc stock predictions?
For AXTI, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 76.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 42.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Axt Inc forecasts updated?
Axt Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Axt Inc's industry peers?
60 issuers in our coverage, AXTI included, share the SEC industry code Semiconductors & Related Devices. The largest are: Nvidia Corp (NVDA), Broadcom Inc. (AVGO), Advanced Micro Devices Inc (AMD), Intel Corp (INTC), Applied Materials Inc /De (AMAT), Texas Instruments Inc (TXN).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.