Intratio
Loading...
Skip to main content
Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Trip.Com Group Ltd (TCOM) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq

Follow Unlock full AI forecasts
Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 61.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $26.21B large-cap · #14 of 60 peers
Summary

Trip.Com Group Ltd (TCOM) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Trip.Com Group Ltd outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Trip.Com Group Ltd is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $26.21B. It ranks number 14 by market capitalization among the 60 Services-Business Services, NEC issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For TCOM, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 61.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 42.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.0%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, TCOM included.

Follow TCOM free
Price

TCOM price chart and AI forecast

TCOM
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How TCOM ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2022-12-31

Trip.Com Group Ltd (TCOM) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Business Services, NEC peers listed below that report each metric. Statement values were filed in CNY and are shown converted to USD (flows at the trailing twelve-month average rate, balances at the balance-sheet date rate).

Valuation & Market

MetricTCOMIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $26.21B $6.48B 14/60
P/E Ratio 13.34x 28.72x 36/46
P/B Ratio 11.11x 4.54x 10/47
EPS $3.00 – –
Book Value/Share $3.60 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricTCOMIndustry medianRank
Tax Rate 27.7% – –

Financial Health

MetricTCOMIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 0.70x 1.45x 42/51
Financial Leverage 1.71x 2.45x 39/47
Interest Coverage 0.1x 6.1x 42/48

Cash Flow

MetricTCOMIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $167M $494M 39/54

Income Statement

MetricTCOMIndustry medianRank
Operating Income $87M $369M 34/52
R&D Expense $1.05B $372M 7/26
SG&A Expense $1.66B $849M 16/42
Cost of Goods Sold $749M $1.14B 29/42

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricTCOMIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 655M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions, converted from CNY)

Total Liabilities$1.65B41.2% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

TCOM quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Services-Business Services, NEC

Trip.Com Group Ltd (TCOM) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Trip.Com Group Ltd (Services-Business Services, NEC): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors

Sign up free
Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
TCOM Trip.Com Group Ltd ▼ $26.21B 13.3x 11.1x
V Visa Inc. ▼ $739.03B 33.2x 20.7x
MA Mastercard Inc ▼ $540.87B 34.0x 96.4x
BABA Alibaba Group Holding Ltd ▶ $253.06B 76.8x 1.7x
ACN Accenture Plc ▼ $153.33B 16.9x 4.9x
UBER Uber Technologies, Inc ▶ $143.69B 13.4x 5.3x
PDD Pdd Holdings Inc. ▼ $116.09B – 27.8x
MELI Mercadolibre Inc ▶ $92.98B 49.9x 11.9x
DASH Doordash, Inc. ▶ $81.96B 97.5x 8.3x
RELX Relx Plc ▼ $71.05B 7.5x –
EBAY Ebay Inc ▼ $53.52B 25.0x 11.5x
PYPL Paypal Holdings, Inc. ▶ $53.05B 10.6x 2.7x
MSCI Msci Inc. ▼ $41.37B 31.1x –
CPAY Corpay, Inc. ▼ $26.25B 24.4x 7.4x
FISV Fiserv Inc ▼ $25.29B 9.1x 0.9x
GPN Global Payments Inc ▼ $22.14B – 1.0x
BR Broadridge Financial Solutions, Inc. ▼ $19.97B 18.2x 7.0x
FIS Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. ▼ $18.57B 5.4x 1.2x
KSPI Joint Stock Co Kaspi.Kz ▶ $17.73B – –
FICO Fair Isaac Corp ▶ $16.66B 22.3x –
RBA Rb Global Inc. ▼ $15.61B 38.0x 2.8x
CSGP Costar Group, Inc. ▼ $13.09B 215.4x 1.7x
AKAM Akamai Technologies Inc ▲ $12.62B 30.5x 2.7x
GRAB Grab Holdings Ltd ▶ $12.03B – –
CART Maplebear Inc. ▶ $11.54B 30.4x 5.0x
WSE Wise Group Plc ▶ $11.19B – 5.8x
ETSY Etsy Inc ▲ $7.81B 109.2x –
HQY Healthequity, Inc. ▼ $7.61B 36.0x 3.8x
Z Zillow Group, Inc. ▲ $6.93B 513.7x 1.6x
ANDG Andersen Group Inc. ▶ $6.58B – –
LYFT Lyft, Inc. ▶ $6.37B 2.5x –
EXLS Exlservice Holdings, Inc. ▼ $6.28B 25.2x 8.1x
WEX Wex Inc. ▼ $6.20B 18.2x 4.6x
MBGL Mobility Global Inc. ▶ $5.51B – 0.6x
XMTR Xometry, Inc. ▲ $5.21B – –
RELY Remitly Global, Inc. ▲ $5.11B 20.0x 4.5x
AMTM Amentum Holdings, Inc. ▶ $4.77B 39.0x 1.0x
DLO Dlocal Ltd ▶ $4.33B – –
SEZL Sezzle Inc. ▲ $4.30B 27.9x 18.5x
PAY Paymentus Holdings, Inc. ▶ $3.97B 51.7x 6.5x
TNET Trinet Group, Inc. ▼ $3.25B 18.8x 26.0x
MMS Maximus, Inc. ▼ $3.22B 8.3x 1.9x
FOUR Shift4 Payments, Inc. ▶ $3.11B 29.6x 10.4x
CBZ Cbiz, Inc. ▼ $2.97B 238.2x 1.6x
PAYO Payoneer Global Inc. ▼ $2.41B 54.8x 3.7x
TIC Tic Solutions, Inc. ▲ $1.89B – 0.9x
ACVA Acv Auctions Inc. ▲ $1.78B – 4.6x
CNXC Concentrix Corp ▲ $1.70B – 1.0x
LQDT Liquidity Services Inc ▼ $1.37B 45.7x 5.8x
NUTX Nutex Health Inc. ▲ $1.31B 7.1x 3.3x
RDWR Radware Ltd ▲ $1.17B 1357.9x 3.4x
RSKD Riskified Ltd. ▲ $1.09B – 3.7x
QNST Quinstreet, Inc ▲ $932M 11.7x 2.9x
PAYS Paysign, Inc. ▲ $836M 67.3x 13.9x
CASS Cass Information Systems Inc ▼ $700M 19.8x 2.9x
PHR Phreesia, Inc. ▶ $679M 182.3x 2.6x
PRTH Priority Technology Holdings, Inc. ▲ $645M 11.9x –
MAX Mediaalpha, Inc. ▲ $609M 8.4x 21.4x
CTEV Claritev Corp ▲ $375M – –
RMNI Rimini Street, Inc. ▲ $374M 40.1x –

Where TCOM sits on the market map

Trade & Services · Services-Business Services, NEC
Explore the map →
News

Trip.Com Group Ltd (TCOM) stock news

More news available

Sign up free to read all 12 news articles and stay updated on market developments.

Sign Up Free to Read More
FAQ

Trip.Com Group Ltd (TCOM) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Trip.Com Group Ltd (TCOM) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Trip.Com Group Ltd outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Trip.Com Group Ltd stock predictions?

For TCOM, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 61.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 42.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Trip.Com Group Ltd forecasts updated?

Trip.Com Group Ltd forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Trip.Com Group Ltd's industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, TCOM included, share the SEC industry code Services-Business Services, NEC. The largest are: Visa Inc. (V), Mastercard Inc (MA), Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA), Accenture Plc (ACN), Uber Technologies, Inc (UBER), Pdd Holdings Inc. (PDD).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.