Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026
Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA) stock forecast summary
Our AI scores Alibaba Group Holding Ltd every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd is a mega-cap company with a market capitalization of $253.85B. It ranks number 3 by market capitalization among the 60 Services-Business Services, NEC issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For BABA, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -18.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 1.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, BABA included.
BABA price chart and AI forecast
How BABA ranks among 5150 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Business Services, NEC peers listed below that report each metric. Statement values were filed in CNY and are shown converted to USD (flows at the trailing twelve-month average rate, balances at the balance-sheet date rate).
Valuation & Market
| Metric | BABA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $253.85B | 3/60 |
| P/E Ratio | 77.02x | 6/44 |
| P/B Ratio | 1.65x | 35/47 |
| EPS | $1.42 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $66.30 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | BABA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROIC | 2.5% | 34/45 |
| Gross Margin | 40.9% | 26/42 |
| Operating Margin | 8.5% | 29/51 |
| EBT Margin | 15.7% | 18/53 |
| Tax Rate | 20.9% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | BABA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.28x | 32/56 |
| D/E Ratio | 0.74x | 41/52 |
| Financial Leverage | 1.80x | 36/48 |
| Interest Coverage | 5.1x | 25/49 |
| Working Capital | $19.48B | 1/56 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | BABA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $9.68B | 7/54 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | BABA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Payables Period | 37 days | 11/36 |
Income Statement
| Metric | BABA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Income | $5.01B | 7/52 |
| R&D Expense | $4.19B | 1/26 |
| SG&A Expense | $17.49B | 1/43 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $34.74B | 2/43 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | BABA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 2319M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions, converted from CNY)
| Total Current Assets | $88.53B | 32.0% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $19.07B | 6.9% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $5.22B | 1.9% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $113.54B | 41.0% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $65.44B | 23.6% of assets |
BABA quarterly financials and insider trading
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (Services-Business Services, NEC): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| BABA Alibaba Group Holding Ltd | $253.85B | |
| V Visa Inc. | $775.82B | |
| MA Mastercard Inc | $568.62B | |
| ACN Accenture Plc | $174.28B | |
| UBER Uber Technologies, Inc | $140.49B | |
| PDD Pdd Holdings Inc. | $120.37B | |
| DASH Doordash, Inc. | $78.33B | |
| MELI Mercadolibre Inc | $76.55B | |
| RELX Relx Plc | $73.07B | |
| EBAY Ebay Inc | $53.54B | |
| PYPL Paypal Holdings, Inc. | $49.21B | |
| MSCI Msci Inc. | $45.83B | |
| FISV Fiserv Inc | $33.36B | |
| CPAY Corpay, Inc. | $29.89B | |
| TCOM Trip.Com Group Ltd | $29.06B | |
| GPN Global Payments Inc | $25.77B | |
| BR Broadridge Financial Solutions, Inc. | $21.71B | |
| KSPI Joint Stock Co Kaspi.Kz | $17.44B | |
| RBA Rb Global Inc. | $17.32B | |
| FICO Fair Isaac Corp | $15.28B | |
| FIS Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. | $14.82B | |
| GRAB Grab Holdings Ltd | $13.95B | |
| CART Maplebear Inc. | $13.45B | |
| CSGP Costar Group, Inc. | $12.29B | |
| AKAM Akamai Technologies Inc | $11.94B | |
| WSE Wise Group Plc | $11.42B | |
| HQY Healthequity, Inc. | $8.56B | |
| ETSY Etsy Inc | $7.75B | |
| ANDG Andersen Group Inc. | $7.34B | |
| Z Zillow Group, Inc. | $6.81B | |
| EXLS Exlservice Holdings, Inc. | $6.51B | |
| LYFT Lyft, Inc. | $6.47B | |
| XMTR Xometry, Inc. | $6.25B | |
| WEX Wex Inc. | $5.91B | |
| MBGL Mobility Global Inc. | $5.86B | |
| AMTM Amentum Holdings, Inc. | $5.20B | |
| SEZL Sezzle Inc. | $5.03B | |
| RELY Remitly Global, Inc. | $4.56B | |
| PAY Paymentus Holdings, Inc. | $4.22B | |
| DLO Dlocal Ltd | $3.96B | |
| MMS Maximus, Inc. | $3.43B | |
| FOUR Shift4 Payments, Inc. | $3.38B | |
| TNET Trinet Group, Inc. | $3.05B | |
| CBZ Cbiz, Inc. | $3.03B | |
| PAYO Payoneer Global Inc. | $2.42B | |
| TIC Tic Solutions, Inc. | $2.26B | |
| CNXC Concentrix Corp | $1.85B | |
| LQDT Liquidity Services Inc | $1.37B | |
| NUTX Nutex Health Inc. | $1.36B | |
| RDWR Radware Ltd | $1.30B | |
| QNST Quinstreet, Inc | $1.18B | |
| RSKD Riskified Ltd. | $1.13B | |
| PAYS Paysign, Inc. | $809M | |
| PHR Phreesia, Inc. | $783M | |
| MAX Mediaalpha, Inc. | $736M | |
| CASS Cass Information Systems Inc | $694M | |
| PRTH Priority Technology Holdings, Inc. | $650M | |
| RMNI Rimini Street, Inc. | $484M | |
| ADV Advantage Solutions Inc. | $405M | |
| RPAY Repay Holdings Corp | $395M |
Where BABA sits on the market map
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA) stock news
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Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA) stock forecast?
Our AI scores Alibaba Group Holding Ltd every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
How accurate are Alibaba Group Holding Ltd stock predictions?
For BABA, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -18.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 1.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Alibaba Group Holding Ltd forecasts updated?
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.
Which companies are Alibaba Group Holding Ltd's industry peers?
60 issuers in our coverage, BABA included, share the SEC industry code Services-Business Services, NEC. The largest are: Visa Inc. (V), Mastercard Inc (MA), Accenture Plc (ACN), Uber Technologies, Inc (UBER), Pdd Holdings Inc. (PDD), Doordash, Inc. (DASH).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.