US presses China on Mastercard, Citigroup market access in bilateral Bangkok talks, official says
The U.S. raised market access issues for Mastercard and Citigroup in China during bilateral meetings in Bangkok this week, a ...
Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16
Mastercard Inc (MA) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Rating · 90D
▼ Bearish
Exact rating locked
90-day forecast
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30-day forecast
Alpha
Rank in coverage
Bottom 35%
of 5171 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D
-3.0%
Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap
$540.87B
mega-cap · #2 of 60 peers
Summary
Mastercard Inc (MA) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Mastercard Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Mastercard Inc is a mega-cap company with a market capitalization of $540.87B. It ranks number 2 by market capitalization among the 60 Services-Business Services, NEC issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/B Ratio of 96.39x is the highest of the 47 peers that report one. Its Dividend Yield of 0.54% is the lowest of the 13 peers that report one.
For MA, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -3.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 8.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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MA price chart and AI forecast
Cross-section · 2026-10-16
How MA ranks among 5171 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Fundamentals · 2026-06-30
Mastercard Inc (MA) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Business Services, NEC peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | MA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $540.87B | 2/60 |
| P/E Ratio | 33.96x | 18/46 |
| P/B Ratio | 96.39x | 1/47 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.54% | 13/13 |
| EPS | $18.18 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $6.41 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $40.05 | – |
| FCF/Share | $19.07 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | MA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 289.3% | 3/39 |
| ROA | 28.1% | 4/42 |
| ROIC | 62.6% | 3/44 |
| Operating Margin | 58.3% | 2/51 |
| Net Margin | 46.3% | 2/45 |
| EBT Margin | 57.5% | 2/53 |
| Tax Rate | 19.4% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | MA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.06x | 42/55 |
| D/E Ratio | 9.28x | 6/51 |
| Financial Leverage | 10.28x | 6/47 |
| Interest Coverage | 7.2x | 22/48 |
| Working Capital | $1.52B | 10/55 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | MA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $17.44B | 2/54 |
| Free Cash Flow | $16.70B | 2/45 |
| Capital Spending | -$735M | 39/45 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 2.9% | 28/45 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 0.9% | 24/40 |
| FCF/Sales | 47.6% | 5/45 |
| CapEx/Sales | 2.1% | 20/45 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | MA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.61x | 25/42 |
| Receivables Turnover | 7.0x | 20/41 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 13.8x | 27/43 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 53 days | 22/41 |
Income Statement
| Metric | MA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $35.08B | 6/48 |
| Operating Income | $20.46B | 2/52 |
| Net Income | $16.23B | 2/45 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | MA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $3.33 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 18.3% | 9/10 |
| Shares Outstanding | 876M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 19.6% | 14/35 |
| EPS Growth | 22.6% | 18/36 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $26.52B | 46.0% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $11.29B | 19.6% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $5.05B | 8.7% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $52.09B | 90.3% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $23.87B | 41.4% of assets |
Quarterly Financial Reports
MA quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · Services-Business Services, NEC
Mastercard Inc (MA) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Mastercard Inc (Services-Business Services, NEC): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| MA Mastercard Inc | ▼ | $540.87B |
| V Visa Inc. | ▶ | $733.78B |
| BABA Alibaba Group Holding Ltd | ▶ | $253.06B |
| ACN Accenture Plc | ▶ | $153.33B |
| UBER Uber Technologies, Inc | ▶ | $145.57B |
| PDD Pdd Holdings Inc. | ▼ | $116.09B |
| MELI Mercadolibre Inc | ▶ | $92.98B |
| DASH Doordash, Inc. | ▶ | $81.96B |
| RELX Relx Plc | ▼ | $71.05B |
| EBAY Ebay Inc | ▼ | $53.52B |
| PYPL Paypal Holdings, Inc. | ▼ | $53.05B |
| MSCI Msci Inc. | ▼ | $41.37B |
| CPAY Corpay, Inc. | ▼ | $26.25B |
| TCOM Trip.Com Group Ltd | ▼ | $26.21B |
| FISV Fiserv Inc | ▼ | $25.29B |
| GPN Global Payments Inc | ▼ | $22.14B |
| BR Broadridge Financial Solutions, Inc. | ▼ | $19.97B |
| FIS Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. | ▼ | $18.57B |
| KSPI Joint Stock Co Kaspi.Kz | ▶ | $17.73B |
| FICO Fair Isaac Corp | ▲ | $16.66B |
| RBA Rb Global Inc. | ▼ | $15.61B |
| CSGP Costar Group, Inc. | ▶ | $13.09B |
| AKAM Akamai Technologies Inc | ▲ | $12.62B |
| WSE Wise Group Plc | ▶ | $12.33B |
| GRAB Grab Holdings Ltd | ▶ | $12.03B |
| CART Maplebear Inc. | ▶ | $11.54B |
| ETSY Etsy Inc | ▲ | $7.81B |
| HQY Healthequity, Inc. | ▼ | $7.61B |
| Z Zillow Group, Inc. | ▲ | $7.07B |
| ANDG Andersen Group Inc. | ▲ | $6.58B |
| LYFT Lyft, Inc. | ▶ | $6.37B |
| EXLS Exlservice Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $6.28B |
| WEX Wex Inc. | ▼ | $6.17B |
| XMTR Xometry, Inc. | ▲ | $5.71B |
| MBGL Mobility Global Inc. | ▶ | $5.51B |
| RELY Remitly Global, Inc. | ▲ | $5.11B |
| AMTM Amentum Holdings, Inc. | ▼ | $4.77B |
| DLO Dlocal Ltd | ▶ | $4.33B |
| SEZL Sezzle Inc. | ▶ | $4.30B |
| PAY Paymentus Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $3.97B |
| TNET Trinet Group, Inc. | ▼ | $3.25B |
| MMS Maximus, Inc. | ▼ | $3.22B |
| FOUR Shift4 Payments, Inc. | ▶ | $3.11B |
| CBZ Cbiz, Inc. | ▼ | $2.97B |
| PAYO Payoneer Global Inc. | ▼ | $2.41B |
| TIC Tic Solutions, Inc. | ▶ | $1.89B |
| ACVA Acv Auctions Inc. | ▲ | $1.78B |
| CNXC Concentrix Corp | ▲ | $1.70B |
| LQDT Liquidity Services Inc | ▼ | $1.37B |
| NUTX Nutex Health Inc. | ▲ | $1.31B |
| RDWR Radware Ltd | ▲ | $1.17B |
| RSKD Riskified Ltd. | ▲ | $1.09B |
| QNST Quinstreet, Inc | ▲ | $932M |
| PAYS Paysign, Inc. | ▲ | $836M |
| CASS Cass Information Systems Inc | ▶ | $700M |
| PHR Phreesia, Inc. | ▶ | $679M |
| PRTH Priority Technology Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $645M |
| MAX Mediaalpha, Inc. | ▲ | $609M |
| CTEV Claritev Corp | ▲ | $375M |
| RMNI Rimini Street, Inc. | ▲ | $374M |
Where MA sits on the market map
Trade & Services · Services-Business Services, NEC
News
Mastercard Inc (MA) stock news
Mastercard, Citigroup in focus as US presses China on market access: report
Visa has received approval to prepare a wholly owned card-clearing business in China, while Mastercard seeks independent ...
Mastercard Inc (MA) Expands Digital Finance and AI Reach
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FAQ
Mastercard Inc (MA) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Mastercard Inc (MA) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Mastercard Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Mastercard Inc stock predictions?
For MA, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -3.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 8.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Mastercard Inc forecasts updated?
Mastercard Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Mastercard Inc's industry peers?
60 issuers in our coverage, MA included, share the SEC industry code Services-Business Services, NEC. The largest are: Visa Inc. (V), Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA), Accenture Plc (ACN), Uber Technologies, Inc (UBER), Pdd Holdings Inc. (PDD), Mercadolibre Inc (MELI).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.