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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Fair Isaac Corp (FICO) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5171 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 44.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $16.66B large-cap · #20 of 60 peers
Summary

Fair Isaac Corp (FICO) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Fair Isaac Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Fair Isaac Corp is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $16.66B. It ranks number 20 by market capitalization among the 60 Services-Business Services, NEC issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For FICO, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 44.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 27.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, FICO included.

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Price

FICO price chart and AI forecast

FICO
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How FICO ranks among 5171 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Fair Isaac Corp (FICO) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Business Services, NEC peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricFICOIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $16.66B $6.54B 20/60
P/E Ratio 22.28x 29.23x 28/46
EPS $34.61 – –
Revenue/Share $110.83 – –
FCF/Share $46.12 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricFICOIndustry medianRank
ROA 40.0% 5.8% 2/42
ROIC 95.7% 15.2% 2/44
Gross Margin 85.1% 47.6% 2/41
Operating Margin 51.6% 11.0% 4/51
Net Margin 34.0% 9.5% 4/45
EBT Margin 44.5% 10.0% 4/53
Tax Rate 23.5% – –

Financial Health

MetricFICOIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.18x 1.31x 35/55
Interest Coverage 2.2x 6.1x 33/48
Working Capital $136M $361M 39/55

Cash Flow

MetricFICOIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $1.00B $494M 21/54
Free Cash Flow $996M $488M 16/45
Capital Spending -$6M -$56M 8/45
OCF Growth YoY 28.1% 9.3% 16/45
FCF Growth YoY 28.5% 5.1% 14/40
FCF/Sales 41.6% 16.3% 6/45
CapEx/Sales 0.2% 1.7% 40/45

Operational Efficiency

MetricFICOIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 1.17x 0.75x 9/42
Receivables Turnover 4.0x 6.6x 36/41
Fixed Assets Turnover 26.3x 18.2x 16/43
Days Sales Outstanding 90 days 55 days 6/41
Payables Period 28 days 24 days 15/34

Income Statement

MetricFICOIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $2.39B $3.77B 30/48
Operating Income $1.24B $369M 15/52
Net Income $815M $224M 14/45
R&D Expense $208M $372M 16/26
SG&A Expense $581M $849M 27/42
Cost of Goods Sold $357M $1.14B 35/42

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricFICOIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 22M – –
Net Income Growth 28.8% 15.2% 11/35
EPS Growth 35.4% 21.9% 14/36

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$882M43.3% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$248M12.2% of assets
Accounts Receivable$593M29.1% of assets
Total Liabilities$6.13B
Short-term Debt$718M35.3% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

FICO quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Services-Business Services, NEC

Fair Isaac Corp (FICO) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Fair Isaac Corp (Services-Business Services, NEC): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
FICO Fair Isaac Corp ▲ $16.66B 22.3x –
V Visa Inc. ▶ $733.78B 33.0x 20.6x
MA Mastercard Inc ▼ $539.90B 33.9x 96.2x
BABA Alibaba Group Holding Ltd ▶ $253.06B 76.8x 1.7x
ACN Accenture Plc ▶ $153.33B 16.9x 4.9x
UBER Uber Technologies, Inc ▶ $145.57B 13.5x 5.3x
PDD Pdd Holdings Inc. ▼ $118.17B – 28.3x
MELI Mercadolibre Inc ▶ $94.14B 50.5x 12.0x
DASH Doordash, Inc. ▶ $81.96B 97.5x 8.3x
RELX Relx Plc ▼ $69.89B 7.4x –
EBAY Ebay Inc ▼ $53.52B 25.0x 11.5x
PYPL Paypal Holdings, Inc. ▼ $53.48B 10.7x 2.7x
MSCI Msci Inc. ▼ $41.81B 31.5x –
CPAY Corpay, Inc. ▼ $26.25B 24.4x 7.4x
TCOM Trip.Com Group Ltd ▼ $26.15B 13.3x 11.1x
FISV Fiserv Inc ▼ $25.29B 9.1x 0.9x
GPN Global Payments Inc ▼ $22.14B – 1.0x
BR Broadridge Financial Solutions, Inc. ▼ $19.97B 18.2x 7.0x
FIS Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. ▼ $18.57B 5.4x 1.2x
KSPI Joint Stock Co Kaspi.Kz ▶ $18.04B – –
RBA Rb Global Inc. ▼ $16.14B 39.3x 2.9x
CSGP Costar Group, Inc. ▶ $13.09B 215.4x 1.7x
AKAM Akamai Technologies Inc ▲ $12.62B 30.5x 2.7x
WSE Wise Group Plc ▶ $12.33B – 6.4x
GRAB Grab Holdings Ltd ▶ $12.03B – –
CART Maplebear Inc. ▲ $11.54B 30.4x 5.0x
ETSY Etsy Inc ▲ $7.81B 109.2x –
HQY Healthequity, Inc. ▼ $7.61B 36.0x 3.8x
Z Zillow Group, Inc. ▲ $7.07B 524.4x 1.6x
ANDG Andersen Group Inc. ▲ $6.58B – –
LYFT Lyft, Inc. ▶ $6.50B 2.5x –
EXLS Exlservice Holdings, Inc. ▶ $6.28B 25.2x 8.1x
WEX Wex Inc. ▼ $6.17B 18.1x 4.6x
XMTR Xometry, Inc. ▲ $5.71B – –
MBGL Mobility Global Inc. ▶ $5.52B – 0.6x
RELY Remitly Global, Inc. ▲ $5.22B 20.4x 4.6x
AMTM Amentum Holdings, Inc. ▼ $4.77B 39.0x 1.0x
SEZL Sezzle Inc. ▶ $4.46B 28.9x 19.1x
DLO Dlocal Ltd ▶ $4.33B – –
PAY Paymentus Holdings, Inc. ▶ $4.05B 52.7x 6.6x
TNET Trinet Group, Inc. ▼ $3.23B 18.7x 25.9x
MMS Maximus, Inc. ▼ $3.15B 8.1x 1.8x
FOUR Shift4 Payments, Inc. ▶ $3.11B 29.6x 10.4x
CBZ Cbiz, Inc. ▼ $2.97B 238.2x 1.6x
PAYO Payoneer Global Inc. ▼ $2.42B 54.9x 3.7x
TIC Tic Solutions, Inc. ▶ $1.89B – 0.9x
ACVA Acv Auctions Inc. ▲ $1.78B – 4.6x
CNXC Concentrix Corp ▲ $1.70B – 1.0x
NUTX Nutex Health Inc. ▶ $1.41B 7.7x 3.6x
LQDT Liquidity Services Inc ▼ $1.38B 45.9x 5.9x
RDWR Radware Ltd ▲ $1.22B 1418.4x 3.5x
RSKD Riskified Ltd. ▲ $1.14B – 3.9x
QNST Quinstreet, Inc ▲ $930M 11.6x 2.9x
PAYS Paysign, Inc. ▲ $881M 70.9x 14.6x
CASS Cass Information Systems Inc ▶ $700M 19.8x 2.9x
PHR Phreesia, Inc. ▶ $685M 184.0x 2.6x
PRTH Priority Technology Holdings, Inc. ▶ $645M 11.9x –
MAX Mediaalpha, Inc. ▲ $619M 8.5x 21.8x
RMNI Rimini Street, Inc. ▲ $384M 41.1x –
CTEV Claritev Corp ▲ $375M – –

Where FICO sits on the market map

Trade & Services · Services-Business Services, NEC
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News

Fair Isaac Corp (FICO) stock news

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FAQ

Fair Isaac Corp (FICO) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Fair Isaac Corp (FICO) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Fair Isaac Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Fair Isaac Corp stock predictions?

For FICO, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 44.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 27.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Fair Isaac Corp forecasts updated?

Fair Isaac Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Fair Isaac Corp's industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, FICO included, share the SEC industry code Services-Business Services, NEC. The largest are: Visa Inc. (V), Mastercard Inc (MA), Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA), Accenture Plc (ACN), Uber Technologies, Inc (UBER), Pdd Holdings Inc. (PDD).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.