Shift4 Payments, Inc. (FOUR) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Shift4 Payments, Inc. (FOUR) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, FOUR is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.
Shift4 Payments, Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $3.11B. It ranks number 43 by market capitalization among the 60 Services-Business Services, NEC issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For FOUR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 50.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 21.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How FOUR ranks among 5171 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Shift4 Payments, Inc. (FOUR) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Business Services, NEC peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | FOUR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $3.11B | 43/60 |
| P/E Ratio | 29.57x | 23/46 |
| P/B Ratio | 10.43x | 11/47 |
| Book Value/Share | $3.78 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $60.56 | – |
| FCF/Share | $7.26 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | FOUR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | -12.3% | 36/39 |
| Gross Margin | 35.9% | 31/41 |
| Operating Margin | 25.6% | 10/51 |
| Net Margin | -2.4% | 38/45 |
| EBT Margin | 10.1% | 26/53 |
| Tax Rate | 19.9% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | FOUR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.21x | 34/55 |
| D/E Ratio | 6.43x | 9/51 |
| Interest Coverage | 47.5x | 4/48 |
| Working Capital | $361M | 28/55 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | FOUR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $592M | 25/54 |
| Free Cash Flow | $573M | 22/45 |
| Capital Spending | -$20M | 15/45 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 4.7% | 26/45 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 2.3% | 23/40 |
| FCF/Sales | 12.0% | 30/45 |
| CapEx/Sales | 0.4% | 36/45 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | FOUR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Receivables Turnover | 5.9x | 24/41 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 16.0x | 24/43 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 62 days | 18/41 |
| Payables Period | 75 days | 6/34 |
Income Statement
| Metric | FOUR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $4.78B | 22/48 |
| Operating Income | $388M | 26/52 |
| Net Income | -$37M | 38/45 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $3.06B | 16/42 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | FOUR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 79M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $2.07B | 87.9% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $356M | 15.1% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $809M | 34.4% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $1.92B | 81.5% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $1.08B | 45.7% of assets |
FOUR quarterly financials and insider trading
Shift4 Payments, Inc. (FOUR) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Shift4 Payments, Inc. (Services-Business Services, NEC): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| FOUR Shift4 Payments, Inc. | ▶ | $3.11B |
| V Visa Inc. | ▶ | $733.78B |
| MA Mastercard Inc | ▼ | $539.90B |
| BABA Alibaba Group Holding Ltd | ▶ | $253.06B |
| ACN Accenture Plc | ▶ | $153.33B |
| UBER Uber Technologies, Inc | ▶ | $145.57B |
| PDD Pdd Holdings Inc. | ▼ | $118.17B |
| MELI Mercadolibre Inc | ▶ | $94.14B |
| DASH Doordash, Inc. | ▶ | $81.96B |
| RELX Relx Plc | ▼ | $69.89B |
| EBAY Ebay Inc | ▼ | $53.52B |
| PYPL Paypal Holdings, Inc. | ▼ | $53.48B |
| MSCI Msci Inc. | ▼ | $41.81B |
| CPAY Corpay, Inc. | ▼ | $26.25B |
| TCOM Trip.Com Group Ltd | ▼ | $26.15B |
| FISV Fiserv Inc | ▼ | $25.29B |
| GPN Global Payments Inc | ▼ | $22.14B |
| BR Broadridge Financial Solutions, Inc. | ▼ | $19.97B |
| FIS Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. | ▼ | $18.57B |
| KSPI Joint Stock Co Kaspi.Kz | ▶ | $18.04B |
| FICO Fair Isaac Corp | ▲ | $16.66B |
| RBA Rb Global Inc. | ▼ | $16.14B |
| CSGP Costar Group, Inc. | ▶ | $13.09B |
| AKAM Akamai Technologies Inc | ▲ | $12.62B |
| WSE Wise Group Plc | ▶ | $12.33B |
| GRAB Grab Holdings Ltd | ▶ | $12.03B |
| CART Maplebear Inc. | ▲ | $11.54B |
| ETSY Etsy Inc | ▲ | $7.81B |
| HQY Healthequity, Inc. | ▼ | $7.61B |
| Z Zillow Group, Inc. | ▲ | $7.07B |
| ANDG Andersen Group Inc. | ▲ | $6.58B |
| LYFT Lyft, Inc. | ▶ | $6.50B |
| EXLS Exlservice Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $6.28B |
| WEX Wex Inc. | ▼ | $6.17B |
| XMTR Xometry, Inc. | ▲ | $5.71B |
| MBGL Mobility Global Inc. | ▶ | $5.52B |
| RELY Remitly Global, Inc. | ▲ | $5.22B |
| AMTM Amentum Holdings, Inc. | ▼ | $4.77B |
| SEZL Sezzle Inc. | ▶ | $4.46B |
| DLO Dlocal Ltd | ▶ | $4.33B |
| PAY Paymentus Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $4.05B |
| TNET Trinet Group, Inc. | ▼ | $3.23B |
| MMS Maximus, Inc. | ▼ | $3.15B |
| CBZ Cbiz, Inc. | ▼ | $2.97B |
| PAYO Payoneer Global Inc. | ▼ | $2.42B |
| TIC Tic Solutions, Inc. | ▶ | $1.89B |
| ACVA Acv Auctions Inc. | ▲ | $1.78B |
| CNXC Concentrix Corp | ▲ | $1.70B |
| NUTX Nutex Health Inc. | ▶ | $1.41B |
| LQDT Liquidity Services Inc | ▼ | $1.38B |
| RDWR Radware Ltd | ▲ | $1.22B |
| RSKD Riskified Ltd. | ▲ | $1.14B |
| QNST Quinstreet, Inc | ▲ | $930M |
| PAYS Paysign, Inc. | ▲ | $881M |
| CASS Cass Information Systems Inc | ▶ | $700M |
| PHR Phreesia, Inc. | ▶ | $685M |
| PRTH Priority Technology Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $645M |
| MAX Mediaalpha, Inc. | ▲ | $619M |
| RMNI Rimini Street, Inc. | ▲ | $384M |
| CTEV Claritev Corp | ▲ | $375M |
Where FOUR sits on the market map
Shift4 Payments, Inc. (FOUR) stock news
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Shift4 Payments, Inc. (FOUR) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Shift4 Payments, Inc. (FOUR) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, FOUR is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Shift4 Payments, Inc. stock predictions?
For FOUR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 50.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 21.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Shift4 Payments, Inc. forecasts updated?
Shift4 Payments, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Shift4 Payments, Inc.'s industry peers?
60 issuers in our coverage, FOUR included, share the SEC industry code Services-Business Services, NEC. The largest are: Visa Inc. (V), Mastercard Inc (MA), Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA), Accenture Plc (ACN), Uber Technologies, Inc (UBER), Pdd Holdings Inc. (PDD).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.