Pdd Holdings Inc. (PDD) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Pdd Holdings Inc. (PDD) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Pdd Holdings Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Pdd Holdings Inc. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $118.17B. It ranks number 6 by market capitalization among the 60 Services-Business Services, NEC issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For PDD, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 36.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 21.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How PDD ranks among 5171 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Pdd Holdings Inc. (PDD) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Business Services, NEC peers listed below that report each metric. Statement values were filed in CNY and are shown converted to USD (flows at the trailing twelve-month average rate, balances at the balance-sheet date rate).
Valuation & Market
| Metric | PDD | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $118.17B | 6/60 |
| P/B Ratio | 28.25x | 2/47 |
| Book Value/Share | $2.92 | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | PDD | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 2.50x | 17/51 |
| Financial Leverage | 3.50x | 16/47 |
| Interest Coverage | -15.3x | 48/48 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | PDD | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 1434M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions, converted from CNY)
| Total Liabilities | $10.46B | 71.4% of assets |
PDD quarterly financials and insider trading
Pdd Holdings Inc. (PDD) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Pdd Holdings Inc. (Services-Business Services, NEC): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| PDD Pdd Holdings Inc. | ▼ | $118.17B |
| V Visa Inc. | ▶ | $733.78B |
| MA Mastercard Inc | ▼ | $540.87B |
| BABA Alibaba Group Holding Ltd | ▶ | $253.06B |
| ACN Accenture Plc | ▶ | $153.33B |
| UBER Uber Technologies, Inc | ▶ | $145.57B |
| MELI Mercadolibre Inc | ▶ | $92.98B |
| DASH Doordash, Inc. | ▶ | $81.96B |
| RELX Relx Plc | ▼ | $69.89B |
| EBAY Ebay Inc | ▼ | $53.52B |
| PYPL Paypal Holdings, Inc. | ▼ | $53.48B |
| MSCI Msci Inc. | ▼ | $41.81B |
| CPAY Corpay, Inc. | ▼ | $26.25B |
| TCOM Trip.Com Group Ltd | ▼ | $26.15B |
| FISV Fiserv Inc | ▼ | $25.29B |
| GPN Global Payments Inc | ▼ | $22.14B |
| BR Broadridge Financial Solutions, Inc. | ▼ | $19.97B |
| FIS Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. | ▼ | $18.57B |
| KSPI Joint Stock Co Kaspi.Kz | ▶ | $17.73B |
| FICO Fair Isaac Corp | ▲ | $16.66B |
| RBA Rb Global Inc. | ▼ | $16.14B |
| CSGP Costar Group, Inc. | ▶ | $13.09B |
| AKAM Akamai Technologies Inc | ▲ | $12.62B |
| WSE Wise Group Plc | ▶ | $12.33B |
| GRAB Grab Holdings Ltd | ▶ | $12.03B |
| CART Maplebear Inc. | ▲ | $11.54B |
| ETSY Etsy Inc | ▲ | $7.81B |
| HQY Healthequity, Inc. | ▼ | $7.61B |
| Z Zillow Group, Inc. | ▲ | $7.07B |
| ANDG Andersen Group Inc. | ▲ | $6.58B |
| LYFT Lyft, Inc. | ▶ | $6.37B |
| EXLS Exlservice Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $6.28B |
| WEX Wex Inc. | ▼ | $6.17B |
| XMTR Xometry, Inc. | ▲ | $5.71B |
| MBGL Mobility Global Inc. | ▶ | $5.51B |
| RELY Remitly Global, Inc. | ▲ | $5.22B |
| AMTM Amentum Holdings, Inc. | ▼ | $4.77B |
| SEZL Sezzle Inc. | ▶ | $4.46B |
| DLO Dlocal Ltd | ▶ | $4.33B |
| PAY Paymentus Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $4.05B |
| TNET Trinet Group, Inc. | ▼ | $3.23B |
| MMS Maximus, Inc. | ▼ | $3.22B |
| FOUR Shift4 Payments, Inc. | ▶ | $3.11B |
| CBZ Cbiz, Inc. | ▼ | $2.97B |
| PAYO Payoneer Global Inc. | ▼ | $2.42B |
| TIC Tic Solutions, Inc. | ▶ | $1.89B |
| ACVA Acv Auctions Inc. | ▲ | $1.78B |
| CNXC Concentrix Corp | ▲ | $1.70B |
| NUTX Nutex Health Inc. | ▶ | $1.41B |
| LQDT Liquidity Services Inc | ▼ | $1.37B |
| RDWR Radware Ltd | ▲ | $1.22B |
| RSKD Riskified Ltd. | ▲ | $1.14B |
| QNST Quinstreet, Inc | ▲ | $930M |
| PAYS Paysign, Inc. | ▲ | $881M |
| CASS Cass Information Systems Inc | ▶ | $700M |
| PHR Phreesia, Inc. | ▶ | $685M |
| PRTH Priority Technology Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $645M |
| MAX Mediaalpha, Inc. | ▲ | $609M |
| RMNI Rimini Street, Inc. | ▲ | $384M |
| CTEV Claritev Corp | ▲ | $375M |
Where PDD sits on the market map
Pdd Holdings Inc. (PDD) stock news
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Pdd Holdings Inc. (PDD) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Pdd Holdings Inc. (PDD) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Pdd Holdings Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Pdd Holdings Inc. stock predictions?
For PDD, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 36.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 21.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Pdd Holdings Inc. forecasts updated?
Pdd Holdings Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Pdd Holdings Inc.'s industry peers?
60 issuers in our coverage, PDD included, share the SEC industry code Services-Business Services, NEC. The largest are: Visa Inc. (V), Mastercard Inc (MA), Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA), Accenture Plc (ACN), Uber Technologies, Inc (UBER), Mercadolibre Inc (MELI).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.