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Model output · Signal date Oct. 16, 2026

Daily Signals

2758 companies scored · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · 30D 90D

Signal date 2026-10-16 Cut-offs from the 2026-10-16 run
Companies scored 2758 IC ≥ 0 · market cap ≥ $100M
Median forecast -0.41% Alpha · 90D
Long–short spread +5.20% Strong Buy minus Strong Sell, mean
Median IC 0.27 Spearman · 90D
Rating changes ▲ 277 ▼ 463 vs the previous run
Cross-section

Distribution of the day's forecasts

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Signals · All

395 companies

Sorted by market cap ↓ · forecast rankings are part of the paid plans

# Ticker Sector IC Mkt cap Rating 30D 90D Δ
151 AXAxos Financial, Inc. Finance 0.21 $5.0B Unlock rating and forecasts
152 EBCEastern Bankshares, Inc. Finance 0.09 $4.9B Unlock rating and forecasts
153 ATHSAthene Holding Ltd. Finance 0.12 $4.7B Neutral -0.38% -0.81% ▲ 2
154 FLGFLAGSTAR BANK, NATIONAL ASSOCIATION Finance 0.21 $4.6B Neutral -0.39% -0.82% ·
155 TFSLTFS Financial CORP Finance 0.27 $4.6B Neutral -0.01% +0.01% ▼ 1
156 NNINELNET INC Finance 0.19 $4.6B Neutral -0.34% -0.69% ·
157 HLNEHamilton Lane INC Finance 0.18 $4.5B Unlock rating and forecasts
158 RDNRADIAN GROUP INC Finance 0.39 $4.5B Neutral -0.13% -0.22% ·
159 BWINBaldwin Insurance Group, Inc. Finance 0.51 $4.5B Unlock rating and forecasts
160 ENVAEnova International, Inc. Finance 0.03 $4.4B Unlock rating and forecasts
161 FFINFIRST FINANCIAL BANKSHARES INC Finance 0.21 $4.4B Neutral -0.02% 0.00% ·
162 SFBSServisFirst Bancshares, Inc. Finance 0.11 $4.3B Unlock rating and forecasts
163 ARXAccelerant Holdings Finance 0.79 $4.3B Unlock rating and forecasts
164 FULTFULTON FINANCIAL CORP Finance 0.33 $4.3B Neutral -0.39% -0.85% ·
165 MCMoelis & Co Finance 0.52 $4.3B Neutral -0.36% -0.73% ·
166 IBOCINTERNATIONAL BANCSHARES CORP Finance 0.39 $4.2B Neutral -0.29% -0.56% ·
167 FBPFIRST BANCORP /PR/ Finance 0.07 $4.2B Neutral -0.26% -0.50% ·
168 FHIFEDERATED HERMES, INC. Finance 0.06 $4.2B Neutral -0.26% -0.49% ·
169 UCBUNITED COMMUNITY BANKS INC Finance 0.34 $4.1B Neutral -0.40% -0.87% ▼ 1
170 SLMSLM Corp Finance 0.14 $4.1B Unlock rating and forecasts
171 LAZLazard, Inc. Finance 0.04 $4.1B Neutral -0.22% -0.41% ·
172 NPNeptune Insurance Holdings Inc. Finance 0.49 $4.0B Neutral -0.14% -0.25% ·
173 CRVLCORVEL CORP Finance 0.08 $4.0B Neutral -0.41% -0.88% ▲ 1
174 CATYCATHAY GENERAL BANCORP Finance 0.08 $4.0B Neutral -0.12% -0.21% ·
175 TCBITEXAS CAPITAL BANCSHARES INC/TX Finance 0.31 $4.0B Neutral -0.31% -0.61% new
176 BFHBREAD FINANCIAL HOLDINGS, INC. Finance 0.46 $3.9B Unlock rating and forecasts
177 WSFSWSFS FINANCIAL CORP Finance 0.00 $3.9B Neutral -0.35% -0.72% ·
178 CVBFCVB FINANCIAL CORP Finance 0.03 $3.8B Neutral -0.21% -0.39% ·
179 INDBINDEPENDENT BANK CORP Finance 0.17 $3.8B Neutral -0.14% -0.24% ·
180 PLMRPalomar Holdings, Inc. Finance 0.14 $3.7B Unlock rating and forecasts
181 BANFBANCFIRST CORP /OK/ Finance 0.28 $3.7B Neutral -0.32% -0.65% ·
182 RNSTRENASANT CORP Finance 0.16 $3.6B Neutral -0.39% -0.83% ·
183 CNSCOHEN & STEERS, INC. Finance 0.24 $3.6B Unlock rating and forecasts
184 WSBCWESBANCO INC Finance 0.07 $3.6B Neutral -0.09% -0.15% ·
185 HGHamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. Finance 0.48 $3.6B Neutral -0.38% -0.79% ·
186 PJTPJT Partners Inc. Finance 0.14 $3.5B Unlock rating and forecasts
187 NICNICOLET BANKSHARES INC Finance 0.43 $3.4B Neutral -0.41% -0.89% ·
188 LMNDLemonade, Inc. Finance 0.05 $3.4B Unlock rating and forecasts
189 FIBKFIRST INTERSTATE BANCSYSTEM INC Finance 0.13 $3.3B Neutral -0.32% -0.63% ·
190 FFBCFIRST FINANCIAL BANCORP /OH/ Finance 0.30 $3.3B Unlock rating and forecasts
191 AAMIAcadian Asset Management Inc. Finance 0.36 $3.3B Neutral -0.37% -0.78% ·
192 WTWisdomTree, Inc. Finance 0.61 $3.2B Unlock rating and forecasts
193 PRKPARK NATIONAL CORP /OH/ Finance 0.13 $3.2B Neutral -0.20% -0.37% ·
194 SFNCSIMMONS FIRST NATIONAL CORP Finance 0.10 $3.2B Neutral -0.23% -0.44% ·
195 MCHBMechanics Bancorp Finance 0.06 $3.2B Neutral -0.24% -0.45% ·
196 SBCFSEACOAST BANKING CORP OF FLORIDA Finance 0.31 $3.2B Neutral +0.03% +0.09% ·
197 PFSIPennyMac Financial Services, Inc. Finance 0.53 $3.1B Neutral -0.25% -0.48% ·
198 AGOASSURED GUARANTY LTD Finance 0.15 $3.1B Unlock rating and forecasts
199 NMIHNMI Holdings, Inc. Finance 0.12 $3.1B Unlock rating and forecasts
200 FHBFIRST HAWAIIAN, INC. Finance 0.41 $3.0B Neutral -0.31% -0.63% ·
151–200 of 395 Previous Next
Since the previous run

Rating changes

▲ 277▼ 463
Which companies were upgraded or downgraded is part of the paid plans.
Next step

Unlock the full ranking

Every company's rating, its 30- and 90-day forecasts, the forecast and IC-weighted rankings, the daily rating changes and CSV export.

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Methodology

Ratings are relative: the forecasts of the latest complete daily run (2026-10-16) are ranked and cut at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles, so Strong Sell is the bottom 15%, Sell the next 20%, Neutral the middle 30%, Buy the next 20% and Strong Buy the top 15%. Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. IC is the company's Spearman information coefficient between its past forecasts and the realised returns at the selected horizon; IC-weighted ranking multiplies each forecast by its IC (negative IC counts as zero). Δ is the rating move since the company's previous signal, in rating steps. Each company shows its latest signal, including one from a run still in progress; every signal is rated against the cut-offs above. Quantitative research output, not investment advice.